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Obama's Battleground %s:
CO: 80
FL: 52

314 EVs predicted

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Comment Preferences

  •  that's a lot of percentage! (4+ / 0-)

    what was it in 2008? 360 or so? Wait...they've got this thing now called the internet....lemme look it up. 365 electoral votes in 2008. Hey, 314 is also a lot.

    anyway, I'll be at an election party tomorrow night, hobnobbing with other Democrats, away from my computer. I'd love to be discussing it all with everyone here, as it happens, but won't be able to make any comments until very late. Isn't it interesting, though, that I would almost rather deal with people I've never met, except online, than people I went to school with, who I roomed with, who I worked with?

  •  WaPo: Why we are voting for President Obama: (3+ / 0-)

    -4.75, -5.33 Cheney 10/05/04: "I have not suggested there is a connection between Iraq and 9/11."

    by sunbro on Mon Nov 05, 2012 at 07:18:27 PM PST

  •  just saw it (0+ / 0-)

    just saw it - I am leery of percentages but I hope it's that big, cause Ohio is starting to look like a clusterfuck, NJ seems ripe for email voter fraud, and FL is gonna be tight -

    lord please let it be a landslide for Obama


    There are only two kinds of music - the blues and Zip Pa Dee Doo Dah - Townes Van Zandt

    by whiskeytown on Mon Nov 05, 2012 at 07:20:33 PM PST

  •  It's just been updated (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:

    With what looks like the final prediction (both the forecast and nowcast match).

    It's Obama 315.3
    Romney 222.7

    Obama now has a 92.2% chance of winning.

    Click here for all your political gear, including new laser etching technology! Don't like mine? Make your own!

    by sgilman on Mon Nov 05, 2012 at 07:26:28 PM PST

  •  Whew (0+ / 0-)

    I can sleep tonight, after reading this.  I have given up on everyone but Nate Silver.  He's the only voice I trust.

  •  Sweet!! :-) (0+ / 0-)

    Two weeks ago, just before the final debate, Obama was sitting on 288.  That would be the last time Willard and his pet rats would see 250.  Then Mitt's lies about Jeep spun out of control, and soon became the straw that broke the camel's back.

    Then came Hurricane Sandy, and when the choice (unspoken, though it may have been) came between partisan lust for power, and New Jersey, Gov. Chris Christie chose the people of NJ FIRST; and between him and Pres. Obama, a post-hurricane plan was put in place to get NJ back on its feet.

    Bipartisanship on display and at its best, for the whole world to see.  Republicanism, as displayed by Gov. Christie, the way it used to be, before the funny farm escapees took it over.  [I imagine he will now be persona non grata among them.]

    With the exception of maybe 7 EVs (as per Nate's board on 10/4), Obama has pretty much made up all the ground he lost from the 1st debate.  Winners know how to recover from a bad hand, and Obama has behaved like a winner before and since that debate.

    Nice to see FL (52.5%) in baby blue.

    Update:  Just as I was finishing this up, Obama has gone UP again, from 314.4 to 315.3, and from 91.4% to 92.2%.  FL is now 53.2% likelihood for Obama.

  •  About 2008 (0+ / 0-)

    What was Nate's probability of Obama's victory on the eve of the election in 2008?

  •  Thank you Nate & Kossacks (0+ / 0-)

    The President has just finished speaking in Iowa. His last campaign speech. It is now up to the voters. Thank you Nate for all your work this campaign, rising above the noise to give your analysis of the the trends of the campaign. And thanks to all you Kossacks for participating in the community that KOS set up, for being at times the only point of sanity I could find during this election. Now let's all go out and vote and let's keep change alive.

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