4:21 PM PT: Remember, these are RURAL counties. We haven't even gotten into the vote-heavy and heavy-Democratic lake counties.
4:23 PM PT: Checking in with our handy chart of benchmark counties, turns out that we need to win Hillsborough 52-47 to break 50 percent statewide, so ... so far, so good.
4:32 PM PT: Donnelly takes the lead against Mourdock in Indiana Senate race, still with no big Democratic urban counties reporting. Even more amazing, Republicans only lead by 2-points in governor's race. That one wasn't close in the polling, and would be the night's biggest upset.
4:33 PM PT: CNN exit polls of Ohio -- Obama leads state by three, Sherrod Brown leads by more than five. Won't be that close.
I wonder if any Republicans still think they can win.