Kos frontpaged this. So in this diary, I've linked to some details about the Romney Campaign's unskewed numbers.
Romney was shellshocked to lose. His campaign staff felt "suckerpunched." They really believed they were going to win. Why? They believed their internal polls, which were every bit as much "unskewed" as those by Dean-o Chambers:
Tuesday's outcome laid bare this truth: The two campaigns placed very different bets on the nature of the 2012 electorate, and the Obama campaign won decisively.Magical unskewed unicorn numbers below the fold...
Romney officials had modeled an electorate that looked something like a mix of 2004 and 2008, only this time, Democratic turnout would be depressed, and the most motivated voters would be whites, seniors, Republicans and independents.
Heading into Election Day, the Romney campaign's final set of internal poll numbers showed their candidate with a 6-point lead in New Hampshire, a 3-point lead in Colorado,Whoa--six points in New Hampshire! What were they smoking?
a 2-point lead in Iowa, a 3-point lead in Florida and near ties in Virginia and Pennsylvania.Whoops.
Ohio was their biggest problem. According to the campaign's internal polls obtained by CNN, Romney was trailing in the must-win state by a full 5 points on the Sunday before the election, the last day of tracking.And yet, knowing they had no chance in must-win Ohio, Romney had a transition website prepared, but no concession speech.
Given that denial of data and other facts is the modus operandi of the current GOP, it seems unlikely that they'll avoid further shellshocks and suckerpunches. Onward to 2014 and 2016!