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First off, I would like to congratulate the Boston Police Department for tracking down and capturing accused bomber Dzhokhar Tsarnaev for his role in the Boston Marathon Bombing.

I admit I don't know how accurate Western New England University Polling Institute is but I figured I would give you their latest poll numbers for the 2013 Massachusetts Special Election to fill Secretary of State John Kerry's (D. MA) Senate seat:

A new poll conducted by the Western New England University Polling Institute is concluding that while U.S. Senate hopeful and Congressman Edward Markey, D-Mass., is the special election front-runner he is perceived to be, U.S. Rep. Stephen Lynch may be the Democrat best positioned to defeat any of the Republican candidates in the general election.
(022813 Quincy, MA) Gabriel Gomez speaks to reporters during an event of his campaign for U.S. Senate at an American Legion Hall in Quincy, Thursday, Feb. 28, 2013.    Photo by Chitose Suzuki.
And while GOP candidate Michael Sullivan is slightly behind Cohasset businessman Gabriel Gomez, according to the poll, both men hold sizable leads over Republican state Rep. Daniel Winslow.

The survey, conducted by the university's polling institute through a partnership with The Republican/ and CBS-3 Springfield, also determined that after eight days of polling, there are enough undecided voters in the race to sway its conclusion beyond what the current data show.

Markey, who emerged early as the Democratic Party's preferred U.S. Senate candidate, holds a 10-point lead over Lynch among likely Democratic primary voters. Within his own party, the lead increases by 10 points, as he bests Lynch 49 to 29 percent. - The Republican, 4/20/13

The poll shows Lynch with a 6 point lead over Markey with Independent voters, 41-35.  The poll also shows that 21 percent of likely Democratic primary voters are still undecided.  Both Markey and Lynch hold big leads over their GOP opponents but WNEU's poll shows Lynch with a bigger lead:
When Markey is placed against any of the Republican challengers, he leads by a margin of 15 to 19 percentage points. But when Lynch is placed against the Republican challengers, he leads by a margin of 32 to 36 percentage points.

"Markey has a comfortable lead over Lynch, but there is no doubt that Lynch is the stronger Democratic candidate in the general election," said Tim Vercellotti, professor of political science and director of the Polling Institute at Western New England University. "When placed in hypothetical general election match-ups, Markey has single-digit leads (over Republican candidates) with unenrolled voters but Lynch leads among independents 2-to-1."

In Massachusetts, independent, or unenrolled, voters, who can vote in either party's primary, constitute 52 percent of the electorate, making them a prize among political candidates.

The survey also found that Lynch is managing to attract support from up to 25 percent of Republican voters depending on the match-up. Markey draws support from between 9 and 13 percent of Republicans depending on the opponent. - The Republican, 4/20/13

WNEU's poll surveyed 582 adults ages 18 and older drawn from across Massachusetts using random-digit-dialing. The survey took place from April 11-18.  They have a 4.5 point MOE with 480 general election likely voters and a 6 point MOE with 270 likely Democratic primary voters.  Likely voters have a 41% favorable view of Lynch with an 18% unfavorable view.  Markey's favorable ratings with likely general election voters is 39/24 and 5/15 with likely Democratic primary voters.  On the Republican side, they polled 128 likely Republican primary voters with a 9 point MOE.  Gomez leads with 33%, Sullivan with 27% and Winslow with 9%.  The primary election is set for April 30th.

Also, the Boston Marathon bombing caused the 2nd debate between Markey and Lynch to be postponed but a date has now been scheduled for the 2nd debate:

(Lowell, MA, 04/08/13) Democratic hopeful for the U.S. Senate Mass. U.S. Reps. Stephen Lynch, left, and Edward Markey shake hands prior to the start of a debate at UMass Lowell on Monday, April 08, 2013. Staff photo by Christopher Evans
After being postponed following the terrorist attack at the Boston Marathon on Monday, the Democratic candidates running for U.S. Senate in Massachusetts have agreed to a rescheduled Springfield debate to take place on Tuesday, April 23.

Late Thursday evening, the campaigns of Senate hopefuls and U.S. Rep. Stephen Lynch of South Boston and U.S. Rep. Edward Markey of Malden came to an agreement with the Western Massachusetts Media Consortium to push the debate to the beginning of next week.

The debate will be conducted at WGBY-TV studios from 7 to 8 p.m. in a standard-format debate moderated by Jim Madigan, the public affairs director and host of several programs on the PBS affiliate.

The doors at the debate open to ticketholders at 6 p.m. and close at 6:30 p.m. for broadcast purposes. Although debate tickets for the original date will be honored on Tuesday, minus the stipend given to each campaign, there are no additional tickets available.

The event will also be broadcast on stations WGBY-TV, CBS-3 Springfield, ABC-40/FOX-6 and NBC-22, and air on New England Public Radio, 88.5 FM. - The Republican, 4/20/13  

If you're a Massachusetts Democratic primary voter, please be sure to tune into the debate and to get out the vote for Ed Markey, the true Democrat in this race on April 30th!  Markey holds strong and consistent progressive stances on the environment, health care, gun control, LGBT issues, a woman's right to choose and the middle-class whereas Lynch has voted against the Affordable Health Care Act, is pro-life, supported the Keystone XL Pipeline and opposed partner benefits and hate crimes legislation sponsored by gay-rights groups while a state Senator.  Lynch has also flip flopped on his past opposition to an assault weapons ban.  You can donate and get involved with the Markey campaign here:

P.S. Say Dropkick Murphys play in Los Angeles earlier this week.  They put on a kick ass show and did a big shout out to their home town of Boston and to everyone helping out in the aftermath of the Boston Marathon Bombing.  I leave you with this:

Originally posted to pdc on Sat Apr 20, 2013 at 10:24 PM PDT.

Also republished by Repeal or Amend the Second Amendment (RASA), Shut Down the NRA, In Support of Labor and Unions, Massachusetts Kosmopolitans, Climate Hawks, The Democratic Wing of the Democratic Party, Milk Men And Women, and LGBT Kos Community.

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Comment Preferences

  •  MSNBC had Sullivan on today talking about (3+ / 0-)

    Mirandizing the guy.  They had him on because he used to be with ATF and such.

    And he was leaning towards the Lindsey Graham/John McCain "Lock em up and torture them" strategy.

    "Nothing in all the world is more dangerous than sincere ignorance and conscientious stupidity." --M. L. King "You can't fix stupid" --Ron White -6.00, -5.18

    by zenbassoon on Sat Apr 20, 2013 at 11:18:35 PM PDT

  •  Ed Markey is a fine candidate. (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:

    He has a proven record of accomplishment on the environment and women's rights and among other things.

  •  a 20 point lead among Democrats (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    imchange still a pretty good position for Markey to be in, since previous polls, to the best of my knowledge, did not include "likely" Democratic primary voters, including independents.

    To the best of my knowledge, a 20 point lead among Democrats is about the same as Markey's held against Lynch.

    And it would always stand to reason that a more conservative Democrat would likely have more appeal to Republicans and Republican-leaning independents, especially if that Democrat also happened to have better name recognition (which could be the case with Lynch vs. Markey).

    Another observation: did anyone else notice how Lynch managed to get himself prominently positioned directly behind Gov. Patrick during at least one of the important Boston Marathon bombing press conferences? Suddenly, there was Lynch, posing for the cameras in the most visible spot he could possibly get for himself...and even more prominent visual spot than higher-ranking elected officials, such as either of the state's U.S. senators.

    In any case...even if this lead is, in fact, 10 points, that's a far preferable position to have about weeks before the primary than than to be ten points down.

    Markey should be able to make up ground among independents in a general election campaign, one would think, especially among Democratic-leaning independents.

  •  signs (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:

    I haven't seen too many signs or bumper stickers, but those that I have seen have been for Lynch. I live in Weymouth and take the bus from Quincy, so I manage to see a decent area.

    I think Markey would be a better senator overall, and definitely represent MA.

    I need to get in touch with the campaign to see about getting a sign and getting more signs and stickers out in this area.

    "When writing a novel that's pretty much entirely what life turns into: 'House burned down. Car stolen. Cat exploded. Did 1500 easy words, so all in all it was a pretty good day.'" -Neil Gaiman

    by BethyNYC on Sun Apr 21, 2013 at 08:28:53 AM PDT

    •  Markey campaign offices (0+ / 0-)

      tend to have bumper stickers, but his strategy has been to hire organizers to identify voters and turn them out. Very little in the way of signs. Your area, I'd imagine, would be fairly blanketed in Lynch signs. It's a big Lynch, Southie-diaspora area. Sen. Keenan is for Lynch. But really there are no Markey signs anywhere to speak of.

      Republicans...think the American standard of living is a fine thing--so long as it doesn't spread to all the people. And they admire the Government of the United States so much that they would like to buy it. Harry S. Truman

      by fenway49 on Tue Apr 23, 2013 at 02:18:23 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

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