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It seems that the possibility of a US war/military intervention in Syria is a hot topic in the US these days.

Here in Turkey it is not. The possibility that the US will be militarily involved in Syria is just not being discussed and essentially no one believes it will or should happen.

The Turkish government takes great pains to avoid even saying the word 'Syria' in public and would be very happy if the whole affair just disappeared.

After checking around as much as I could it seems that the subject is not the subject of much discussion in the Middle East and most of Europe either.

But there is, as far as I can tell, some discussion in France and a little in the UK.

It is very interesting to me that the French government is one of the most vocal proponents of military intervention in Syria while at the same time being almost at the bottom of the list of donor countries (to the Syrian opposition and for humanitarian aid for Syrians). France would love to reassert its influence over Syria but would rather have someone else foot the bill it seems.

I have been observing the Syrian opposition for a long time and I have seen that there is one thing you can always count on. Whenever the Syrian opposition suffers political or military setbacks - and both are occurring now - a great deal of seemingly orchestrated discussion about how the West, especially the US, has to intervene in Syria, along with lots of talk of massacres and chemical weapons, suddenly appears.

And that is what I think is happening again now.


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Comment Preferences

  •  Tip Jar (13+ / 0-)

    Lamb chop, we can quibble what to call it, but I think we can both agree it's creepy.

    by InAntalya on Fri Apr 26, 2013 at 11:27:32 AM PDT

  •  Your perspective is fresh and always welcome (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:

    Interesting idea, that the recent talk of chemical weapons might stem from opposition members hoping to stir up some intervention talk.

    In light of the fact Israel and Syria are still technically at war, it seems safe to think no outside force will intervene until and unless the major regional powers are mostly in agreement on that step. That list definitely includes Turkey. If there is no intervention chatter in Turkish society, that is a strong signal no intervention is close to happening.

    •  The Syrian opposition has never had much public (7+ / 0-)

      support in Turkey but it did have strong government support for quite a while.

      I think the last straw was when the rebels decided to 'liberate' Ar-Raqqah even though its residents openly pleaded with them not to come.

      When it was pointed out to the rebels that if they 'liberated' the city there would be even greater difficulty in obtaining enough food for the million or so residents and the additional million or so Syrians who had fled to Ar-Raqqah to escape the fighting in Aleppo and Damascus. The rebels replied something to the effect 'It's not a problem. They can just go to Turkey'. This remark was not very well received here.

      Lamb chop, we can quibble what to call it, but I think we can both agree it's creepy.

      by InAntalya on Fri Apr 26, 2013 at 12:19:03 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

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