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Leading Off:

NV-Gov: Over the past two months, a major story has rocked the political world in Nevada, all thanks to a high-octane investigative crusade by an out-of-state paper, the Sacramento Bee. The Bee discovered that state-run Nevada mental hospitals were engaging in an unthinkably low and despicable practice: packing mentally ill patients on to Greyhound buses alone and shipping them off to California, where they had no family nor any arrangements for their care. Utterly revolting barely begins to describe this kind of abuse.

Thanks to the Bee, though, the story began to receive huge attention in both states, and in Nevada, it's reached all the way up to Republican Gov. Brian Sandoval. Local analyst Jon Ralston now offers a tick-tock of how the entire saga unfolded, and how it's shaken Sandoval's administration, known for its sunny exterior and ruthless interior. Sandoval initially tried to stonewall, but follow-up reports from the Bee were so lacerating, and the subsequent Democratic pile-on so sustained, he ultimately had to respond, claiming the state was reversing its busing policy late last month.

But as Ralston notes, that certainly didn't put an end to the matter, as more negative stories have continued to emerge. Ralston says he thinks the Bee's investigation is "far from done," which would be good news for mental patients in Nevada, who badly need an advocate—and of course, very bad news for Sandoval, who desperately would like this story to go away. Will it ultimately hurt him for re-election next year? It's hard to say. But as Ralston observes, it's demonstrated a real weakness in Sandoval's operation, the kind of weakness that could potentially be exploited by an aggressive Democratic opponent in 2014.

Senate:

GA-Sen, GA-Gov: As Democrats hunt for a candidate for Georgia's open seat Senate race, a new name has emerged. Second-term state Rep. Scott Holcomb says he's considering a bid, and adds that he's also looking at the governor's race, too. Holcomb is pretty young (around 40), served in Iraq as a member of the Army JAG Corps, and survived a GOP attempt to shove him into a tougher seat via redistricting last year. Given his age, Holcomb may want to wait for Georgia's demographics to shift further toward the Democrats before taking a leap on to the statewide stage, as he himself acknowledges. But if he were to run this cycle and acquit himself well even while losing, he could potentially set himself up well for the future.

MA-Sen: Good news: On Wednesday morning, right after Rep. Ed Markey's victory in the special Senate primary, Massachusetts Democrats held a unity rally that, importantly, featured Rep. Stephen Lynch, Markey's opponent, who pledged to stand with the man who had just defeated him. I also suspect that, ahem, Markey won't be taking any vacations and will take his campaign against Republican businessman Gabriel Gomez seriously, seeing as he immediately began hammering Gomez for refusing to accept the so-called "People's Pledge" to limit the influence of outside money in the race.

As for how competitive an affair the June 25 election will actually be, PPP is going into the field this weekend, so we should get a good sense early next week. In the meantime, though, we've put together a map of Tuesday's Democratic special Senate primary results between Reps. Ed Markey and Stephen Lynch by town:

Map of 2013 Massachusetts special Democrat Senate primary by town
(click for larger)
Markey performed very well within his own 5th Congressional District, and other demographically similar towns in Boston's western suburbs just outside it to both the north and south. Markey also did very well in Western Mass., the affluent North Shore towns, Cape Cod, and the islands of Nantucket and Martha's Vineyard. Markey's margins in some of these towns are truly eye-popping: His raw-vote lead stands at about 80,000; Cambridge accounts for 10,000 of that, and Newton and Brookline another 8,000 and 6,000, respectively.

In contrast, Lynch did very well in towns south of the city of Boston, which also largely overlap with his home district, the 8th. Markey, though, did pick off two affluent towns, Hingham and Cohasset, located in MA-08. He also narrowly carried the city of Boston: The sections of the city within MA-08 almost definitely went for Lynch but were narrowly offset by the more minority-heavy and professional areas. Other pockets of Lynch's strength included the towns south and west of Worcester, as well as in the Merrimack Valley along the New Hampshire border.

Our findings show something of a relationship between income and Markey's performance. Some of the more industrial cities (that are also Democratic strongholds) like Lowell and Fall River went for Lynch, and Markey only narrowly edged out a win in Worcester. There's also fairly strong correlation here (between 0.65 and 0.70) with both the 2008 Democratic primary for president, but also, interestingly enough, the 2010 special general election between Martha Coakley and Scott Brown. Indeed, if you were to build a regression model of Markey's performance, the 2010 special was, remarkably, a better predictor than the 2008 presidential primary. (David Nir & jeffmd)

MI-Sen, MI-14: As expected, Rep. Gary Peters officially announced his entry into the race for Michigan's open Senate seat on Wednesday, giving Democrats their strongest possible candidate to replace the retiring Carl Levin. In 2008, Peters ousted GOP Rep. Joe Knollenberg in the 9th Congressional district, a swingy suburban Detroit seat, then managed to narrowly hang on two years later, in an election cycle when many other similarly situated Democrats were washed out by the GOP tide.

During the redistricting process that soon followed, Republicans eliminated Peters' seat, perhaps sensing him as a future threat. That move pushed Peters into a primary against fellow Rep. Hansen Clarke in the redrawn 14th, a very different district: It's in the city of Detroit itself, it went heavily for Obama, and it's one where a majority of the voters, like Clarke, are black. (Peters is white.) Despite having to change gears so dramatically from his prior two elections, Peters won an impressive 47-35 victory over Clarke.

With Peters now looking for a promotion, Clarke could conceivably run for this seat once more, though he seemed to have a surprisingly low level of interest in actually campaigning last year. Other potential contenders could include the third- and fourth-place finishers from that same primary, Southfield Mayor Brenda Lawrence and state Rep. Mary Waters. It's also possible that some of the candidates who tried to unseat veteran Rep. John Conyers in the neighboring 13th District in 2012 could also turn their attention to the 14th, particularly state Sen. Glenn Anderson, the runner up.

Regardless, interest will likely be high in Peters's seat, and given its dark blue hue, it will remain safely in Democratic hands. Meanwhile, Republicans still have no declared candidates in the Senate race, allowing Peters to get an early and unimpeded head start.

WV-Sen, WV-03: Unsurprisingly, Rep. Nick Rahall says he will not run for the seat being left open by retiring Sen. Jay Rockefeller next year. Early this year, Rahall sounded like he was on a spirit quest to determine whether had had the requisite "fire in the belly" for a Senate bid, which struck me as strange because you either have the fire or you don't. You can't go looking for it.

But this is probably best for all involved, since I think Rahall would have had a hard time trying to succeed Rockefeller and also would have jeopardized his House seat, which has become incredibly conservative in recent years. Fortunately, Rahall will seek a remarkable 20th term, but it won't be easy. Indeed, going by Barack Obama's 2012 performance, he now sits in the second-reddest seat held by a Democrat. Fortunately, WV-03 still has some ancestrally Democratic tendencies, but last year Rahall only managed to win with 54 percent of the vote, a harbinger of tough elections to come.

The good news for Rahall, though, is that he won't have to contend with a ticket headed up by Obama, who only earned 33 percent of the vote here versus 65 for Mitt Romney. Still, the GOP plans to contest this seat seriously, and the NRCC is reportedly trying to recruit freshman state Sen. Bill Cole to take him on. Delegate Rick Snuffer, who held Rahall to that 8-point win last year is also considering a rematch. As for the Senate race, the DSCC seems most interested in businessman Nick Preservati, but so far, no one has stepped forward to announce a run.

Gubernatorial:

AR-04, AR-01: Two Democratic legislators in Arkansas have declined bids for Congress: state Sen. Bruce Maloch and state Rep. Marshall Wright. Maloch had previously said he might run in the 4th District if GOP Rep. Tom Cotton makes a Senate bid; Cotton hasn't yet decided one way or the other, but I guess Maloch didn't want to wait around any longer. Meanwhile, Wright reportedly is telling people he won't run in the 1st, which is held by sophomore Rep. Rick Crawford.

Talk Business reporter Michael Cook suggests a couple of other Democratic names, though, who are thinking about seeking office themselves: Mid-South Community College President Glen Fenter in the 1st and state Rep. Jeff Wardlaw in the 4th. Democratic recruitment in Arkansas was brutal last cycle, in part because legislators were trying to hold on to both the state House and Senate. But Republicans took control of both chambers, so perhaps more lawmakers might be interested in trying to move up.

HI-Gov: Democratic Gov. Neil Abercrombie confirmed this week that he'd seek a second term and formally launched his re-election campaign. The timing is notable because recent reports have said that Rep. Colleen Hanabusa will challenge Sen. Brian Schatz in the Democratic primary; earlier speculation suggested she was considering a bid against Abercrombie, too. It's conceivable Abercrombie, who is 74, might have opted against running again if he had to face Hanabusa, but assuming press accounts about her intentions are correct, he should have smooth sailing in both the primary and general. Still, I find it strange that Hanabusa appears not to have uttered a single word in public about her plans.

PA-Gov: Hahah!

Philadelphia Daily News cover from May 1, 2013 featuring Gov. Tom Corbett and headline 'Big Bong Theory'
A reference to this. (Via Alex Roarty)

VA-Gov: Democrat Terry McAuliffe is out with his first television ad, following his Republican counterpart, Ken Cuccinelli, who made the same move last week. It's a positive biographical spot that emphasizes McAuliffe's family and his ties to Virginia. There's no word on the size of the buy.

House:

IL-10: If this is the return of Bob Dold! then the NRCC sure seems to have muffed his rollout. Democratic operatives got their hands on a fundraising letter for the former Republican congressman that, tellingly, cited the new 2014 limits for campaign donations ($2,600 per person, up from $2,500). So is he planning a rematch against Rep. Brad Schneider, the Democrat who unseated him last year? Dold didn't return reporter Tom Robb's phone calls, and his finance director (who was listed on the letter) refused to talk.

The only person who would speak a word, in fact, was an NRCC spokesperson who could only say that she is "hopeful Mr. Dold will make a decision in the coming days to run for his seat again." Hopeful? Sheesh. Previously, NRCC chief Greg Walden had told the local press he was recruiting Dold to run again, but I can't imagine this is how he intended to launch his campaign. Bob Dold!

NC-12: Looks like we may soon have another vacancy in the House. Barack Obama has nominated Democratic Rep. Mel Watt to head the Federal Housing Finance Agency, the department that's responsible for the mortgage giants Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. The 67-year-old Watt flirted with retirement last year, and even though he ultimately decided to seek another term, he made it clear he didn't plan to stick around much longer.

But will he get confirmed? GOP Sen. Bob Corker immediately signalled his hostility, saying that a Watt appointment would give "new meaning to the adage that the fox is guarding the hen house." And as Jonathan Chait points out, progressives have a lot of reasons to mistrust Watt as well, given his closeness with the financial industry in banking-heavy North Carolina, his home state.

Corker's objections notwithstanding, however, other Republicans seem to be giving Watt good marks, including North Carolina Sen. Richard Burr and, though he doesn't get a vote, former House Financial Services chair Spencer Bachus. [Edit: Bachus is the former Finance chair. The current chair is Jeb Hensarling.] So I suppose another lame presidential pick will once again make it through the Senate confirmation process. Hopefully Obama won't have to waste any political capital on Watt, though.

As for the incumbent's 12th Congressional District, it's a solidly blue seat (79 percent Obama) that's also just shy of 50 percent African American. So if Watt does ascend to the FHFA, those hoping to succeed him will all be Democrats, and, like Watt, they are very likely to be black.

And the Great Mentioner has predictably kicked into high gear, with the Charlotte Observer and Roll Call both offering plenty of names and a few quotes: state Sen. Malcolm Graham ("definitely running" if Watt is confirmed), former state House Majority Leader Hugh Holliman, Obama 2008 state political director Kevin Monroe, Charlotte City Councilor Patrick Cannon, state Reps. Rodney Moore ("strongly considering it"), Beverly Earle, Alma Adams, Marcus Brandon, and Ed Hanes, and former state NAACP chief Skip Alston (will run if Adams doesn't). Holliman, Roll Call notes, is white and would probably have to count on a crowded primary leading to a split in the black vote.

SC-01: Wowza. South Carolina Republicans are famous for stooping lower than anyone when it comes to political dirty tricks, but a flagrantly obvious push poll? Well, they did it to John McCain, and now, according to ThinkProgress, that's exactly the b.s. they're trying to pull on Elizabeth Colbert Busch. Here are some of the questions reportedly being asked by "SSI Polling," a "firm" that seems to have zero online presence outside of this story:

• "What would you think of Elizabeth Colbert Busch if I told you she had had an abortion?"

• "What would you think of Elizabeth Colbert Busch if I told you a judge held her in contempt of court at her divorce proceedings?

• "What would you think of Elizabeth Colbert Busch if she had done jail time?"

• "What would you think of Elizabeth Colbert Busch if I told you she was caught running up a charge account bill?"

• "What would you think of Elizabeth Colbert Busch if she supported the failed stimulus plan?"

• "What would you think of Elizabeth Colbert Busch if I told you unions contributed to her campaign?"

Remember that a push poll is actually not a poll at all. It's a political attack phone call that masquerades as a real poll but is simply designed to spread lies, smears, and misinformation about its target. Push polls often get confused with legitimate message testing polls, where campaigns ask voters about both positive and negative details about themselves and their opponents, to gauge strengths, weaknesses, and possible angles of attack. But this nonsense is no such thing. The questions are so outrageously slanted—and there were none about Mark Sanford—making bad faith evident.

You also don't engage in message testing days before an election. That's another hallmark of a push poll: They're typically done just ahead of Election Day, to make sure that negative information is fresh in voters' minds and also to minimize the chances of someone figuring out who's behind the operation. The one unusual thing about this push poll is that it wasn't automated. Typically they are, in order to reach as many voters as possible. (A normal poll might try to reach 500 or 1,000 respondents. A push poll wants to hit tens of thousands or more.)

This push poll, though, is apparently being conducted with live callers. That probably limits its scope, which is a good thing, but the weight of the evidence still makes it clear that this is not a real poll. And the weight of the evidence also says that whoever is responsible for this is a total scumbag.

All that said, I'm definitely starting to get a bit worried that South Carolina Republicans are privy to new private polls (real polls) that show Sanford getting his mojo back. How else to explain the state's two senators, Lindsey Graham and Tim Scott, both offering their endorsements to Sanford on Wednesday? If they wanted to play it safe, they'd both just keep quiet.

The previous group of Republicans who started inching their way back in Sanford's camp could be partly explained away for various reasons—Ron and Rand Paul are avowed weirdos, and Gov. Nikki Haley owes her career to Sanford—but Graham and Scott are insiders who wouldn't stick their necks out for a lost cause. I guess we'll know for sure after the weekend, when PPP releases its final poll of the race.

Other Races:

LA Mayor: Hahah, wow! How in hell did Wendy Greuel not think this would utterly backfire in her face? Greuel, the Los Angeles city "controller" (oy, I know, but you can't make them spell "comptroller" right if they don't want to), is still on the attack against fellow Democrat Eric Garcetti, a city councilor and her rival in the May 21 mayoral runoff. Trailing in all but one oddball poll, she just sent out a mailer (PDF) lambasting Garcetti for accepting the endorsement of Kevin James, who finished third in the first round of voting. James, you see, is a Republican, so Greuel of course wants to use that fact to tarnish Garcetti with Democrats.

But oh did she ever screw up. Once upon a time, Greuel was no dummy, because she, too, courted James's support immediately after the primary. In fact, she started texting him, repeatedly and with smiley-face emoticons—texts that James was all too happy to publicize in the wake of Greuel's new round of attack flyers. And they are really good. A small sampling:

"How is your day looking? I am ready, willing and able!"

"We could have talked for hours"

"I am stalking you :)"

"U are beloved – I hear it a lot!"

So seriously, what was Greuel thinking by going after James and Garcetti when they had all these goofy texts up their sleeves? Judging by her campaign's amusing response, it doesn't seem like she was thinking at all:
"Kevin James' release of the text exchange is pathetic and reveals absolutely nothing," said Greuel's chief strategist, John Shallman. "Eric Garcetti claims to be an Obama supporter and yet only Wendy Greuel had the guts to challenge Kevin James and his radical and extremist comments that compared President Obama to a Nazi sympathizer at their first televised debate."

"Wendy would never have accepted Kevin James' endorsement without his unqualified apology for his racist and insensitive remarks," Shallman said.

All I can say to that is: :-).

OR Ballot: Activists in Oregon are currently gathering signatures to place a measure on next year's ballot that would allow voters to overturn the state's 2004 ban on same-sex marriage, and what a difference a decade makes. The original constitutional amendment forbidding gay marriage passed by a 57-43 margin. Now, in a new poll (PDF) from DHM Research on behalf of a pair of local media organization, 49 percent of Oregonians support changing the constitution to undo this prohibition, while 42 oppose the effort. If DHM's numbers hold up, then Oregon would become the first state to repeal a popularly-approved marriage ban at the ballot box, but it surely wouldn't be the last.

Grab Bag:

Arizona: Gov. Jan Brewer just signed into law a measure that weakens Arizona's "resign to run" rules, which require that elected officials seeking another office must first resign their current posts before running for a second. Previously, the rules were triggered whenever a candidate formally launched a campaign or filed paperwork with the Secretary of State. Now, only the latter step will require someone to resign.

Demographics: The New York Times has a moderately interesting profile of the rapidly growing swath of Asian-majority suburbia in the L.A. area's San Gabriel Valley, but buried within is an important tidbit about the Golden State: the number of Asian immigrants arriving in California is now more than double the number of Latino immigrants. I'm wondering if that has more to do with the much-noticed slowdown in Latino immigration than it does with a speedup in Asian immigration, but either way, it's a new wrinkle in the already-fascinating California tapestry. (The article also contains some quotes from Jay Chen, whom you might remember as the Democratic candidate in CA-39 last year.) (David Jarman)

House: Unsurprisingly, it looks like Quinnipiac's generic congressional ballot poll from last month—the one that had Democrats on top by an amazing 8 points—was probably a bit of an outlier. Quinnipiac's newest poll still has Dems ahead, but by a smaller 41-37, down from 43-35. But given that the party in control of the White House is "supposed" to lose seats in the House in year six, this is good news for Democrats, even if it means we're still not likely to win back the majority.

Oh, and about that alleged "six-year itch" phenomenon, Sean Trende offers a rather good takedown of the conventional wisdom. Look at all midterm elections going back to 1870 (not just six-year midterms), Trende observes: "Two-term presidents almost always get thumped in one midterm election, but they almost never get thumped twice." (He offers some theories in his piece.) Seat gains are still rare—they've only happened in 1934, 1998, and 2002—but two consecutive large losses are even rarer.

Originally posted to Daily Kos Elections on Thu May 02, 2013 at 05:00 AM PDT.

Also republished by Daily Kos.

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Comment Preferences

  •  grew up in WV-03, (10+ / 0-)

    even went to school with Rahall's daughter

    This district is so red I can't even visit anymore. (Thankfully my parents have moved!) Rahall may continue to hold the seat on name recognition but I daresay that he will be the last Dem to hold the seat for a LONG time.

    Southern WV has always thought of itself as more "Southern" than anything. Dem ties go back to the Dixiecrats, not the Progressives. Lots of Reagan Dems when I was growing up.

    Over the years, I witnessed the lawn signs go from blue to purple to deep red. We're talking about 30 years of history, I won't pretend to remember the late 70's.

    This is a district full of gun-loving, bible-quoting, Limbaugh-listening, Obama-hating voters. Hell, I'm surprised Obama picked up 33% of the vote.

    And with coal money backing Republicans overwhelmingly, this district is DEAD for Dems.

    "when the going gets weird, the weird turn pro"

    by gravlax on Thu May 02, 2013 at 05:22:37 AM PDT

  •  SC-01: I'm getting nervous for ECB now (3+ / 0-)

    that horrible push-poll and now many prominent state politicians endorsing Sanford.  Are we still going to pull this off?

    27, male, gay, living with and loving my partner of over 4 years in downtown Indianapolis (IN-7).

    by IndyLiberal on Thu May 02, 2013 at 05:24:31 AM PDT

  •  also a plea for VA-Gov, (11+ / 0-)

    hold your nose and support McAulife because Cuccinelli is as reactionary as they come.

    Per Eugene Robinson in WaPo

    Describing Cuccinelli’s views as “far right” is like calling Usain Bolt “reasonably fast.”

    "when the going gets weird, the weird turn pro"

    by gravlax on Thu May 02, 2013 at 05:26:57 AM PDT

  •  NC-12 (0+ / 0-)

    The assumptions and predictions in your analysis strike me as unwarranted and demeaning to the electorate.
    Elections are a voter action. Let's at least try to shift the attention there.
    Every position should have as many candidates as possible, if voters are to have real choices.

    We organize governments to deliver services and prevent abuse.

    by hannah on Thu May 02, 2013 at 05:27:10 AM PDT

  •  Kudos to the Sac Bee on the Sandoval (19+ / 0-)

    story. This is an instance of the media behaving just the way it's supposed to.

    "The Daily News" cover made my day. Thanks.

    It's here they got the range/ and the machinery for change/ and it's here they got the spiritual thirst. --Leonard Cohen

    by karmsy on Thu May 02, 2013 at 06:08:11 AM PDT

  •  Lynch (7+ / 0-)
    There's also fairly strong correlation here (between 0.65 and 0.70) with both the 2008 Democratic primary for president, but also, interestingly enough, the 2010 special general election between Martha Coakley and Scott Brown. Indeed, if you were to build a regression model of Markey's performance, the 2010 special was, remarkably, a better predictor than the 2008 presidential primary.
    I noticed this right away. This is crude, but I took a look at the towns Lynch won (100 of the 351 in Massachusetts) and Scott Brown won 92 of them in 2010. He almost won four more.

    The rare places Coakley won handily and Lynch also won: either in his district (e.g. Randolph, which was in the district until the 2012 elections) or the industrial cities of which you spoke (Lynn, Fall River, Brockton).

    Republicans...think the American standard of living is a fine thing--so long as it doesn't spread to all the people. And they admire the Government of the United States so much that they would like to buy it. Harry S. Truman

    by fenway49 on Thu May 02, 2013 at 06:12:45 AM PDT

    •  Some of Lynch's support was based on things (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      fenway49, Loge

      other than social conservatism, as I explained in this post yesterday.

      "One of the greatest tragedies of man's long trek along the highway of history has been the limiting of neighborly concern to tribe, race, class or nation." Martin Luther King, Jr.

      by brae70 on Thu May 02, 2013 at 06:46:09 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  Understood (3+ / 0-)

        For a number of reasons, some of which are personal to me, Lynch was not acceptable. I get the point you raised in the earlier comment, but felt Lynch was not the vehicle for that.

        There is still a strong overlap between Lynch's support and the Democrats that would go for Scott Brown (who wasn't a raging social conservative either). Last year the unions that supported Lynch generally were strong for Elizabeth Warren, and I hope they'll be as strong for Markey. I think they will.

        Another private equity guy, another pretty face with virtually no resume who'll bring the U.S. Senate closer to a Republican majority is not what we need in Massachusetts.

        Republicans...think the American standard of living is a fine thing--so long as it doesn't spread to all the people. And they admire the Government of the United States so much that they would like to buy it. Harry S. Truman

        by fenway49 on Thu May 02, 2013 at 08:29:30 AM PDT

        [ Parent ]

        •  As I said in another earlier post, (0+ / 0-)

          except for the cops, it's almost a no brainer that they will.

          The overlap between Lynch and Brown support is explained partly by the fact that some "blue dog" current of former legislators endorsed Brown in places like Lowell, Waltham, Milford etc. It seems that many of those same "blue dogs" went for Lynch, and their allies went with them.  

          I found it most unfortunate, however, that we Lynch supporters seemed to be treated with such disdain in some comments here.  Hopefullym this will change.

           

          "One of the greatest tragedies of man's long trek along the highway of history has been the limiting of neighborly concern to tribe, race, class or nation." Martin Luther King, Jr.

          by brae70 on Thu May 02, 2013 at 09:08:21 AM PDT

          [ Parent ]

      •  Condescend much? (0+ / 0-)

        I followed the link and read your post from yesterday. Why do you assert that those of us who disagree with you simply don't understand politics?  We do understand.  We just happen to disagree.

        Nothing in that post explains why Lynch was a better candidate from a Democrat's point of view.  Fine, he's earned the support of unions.  So has Markey.  

  •  Managed Care LOVES Greyhound Therapy (10+ / 0-)

    Managed Care HATES the mentally ill.

    I hate managed care.

    Managed care fucks up absolutely everything and causes a condition that is rampant in this country particularly with regards to mental health: ANYTHING BUT THE RIGHT THING.

    That's what happens in mental health in the 21st Century.

    That clearly reflects the larger ANYTHING BUT THE RIGHT THING reality that IS our "government" or "That roadblock in DC where nothing occurs".

    Did I mention how much I hate managed care?

    •  Republicans hate the mentally ill too (7+ / 0-)

      The mentally ill are poor and cannot contribute to their re-elections.

      The mentally ill are poor and on SSDI - repubs hate that.

      The mentally ill cant buy things and are useless eaters weighing down the system that they don't want to exist anyway.

      Evil.

    •  They can be billed for that. (5+ / 0-)

      In college, I took a course in the Social Dynamics of Poverty. One of the things the professor said was that few Southern states shipped their poor out to Northern States (or at least didn't get their fingerprints on the practice) because they could be billed by the antipoverty agencies in the receiving states.

      I can't imagine that they don't do the same for the mentally ill.

      The furor over Friday's [10.5] job report revealed a political movement that is rooting for American failure, so obsessed with taking down Obama that good news drives its members into a blind rage. -Paul Krugman

      by Judge Moonbox on Thu May 02, 2013 at 06:23:08 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

  •  Hmmm.... (3+ / 0-)

    NY city has been dumping their mentally ill upstate for decades. At least its kept in state, I guess, and frankly its probably a good thing in the long run. Pretty shifty though to ship them out of state. Oh I have an idea, lets take all the poor and mentally ill and mass bus them to Canada. That'll fix the safety net.

    I probably shouldn't give the Repubs ideas.

    “Birds…scream at the top of their lungs in horrified hellish rage every morning at daybreak to warn us all of the truth. They know the truth. Screaming bloody murder all over the world in our ears, but sadly we don’t speak bird.” Kurt Cobain

    by RadicalParrot on Thu May 02, 2013 at 06:18:25 AM PDT

    •  When I lived in NJ in the eary 90's (8+ / 0-)

      I was dating a social worker in the Asbury Park area
      and her main job was roaming the streets and dealing
      with the bus loads of mentaly ill that were being dumped
      in there from NY.

      It was an ongoing, regular, and serious issue where NYC was clearing out their hospitals of all the mental patients, and just dumping them on the streets at the Jersey shore.

      Obviously this is nothing new, and nothing from the West.

      You have your right to your opinion, I will grant you that, but do not denigrate my right to mine!

      by MrQA on Thu May 02, 2013 at 06:26:27 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  Its still terrible. (7+ / 0-)

        When I was involved in the mental health community here in Syracuse, a very healthy portion of them were from New York City. Every one I knew was glad, though, because up here the system had the capacity to really help them especially when it came to (affordable on a fixed income) housing and food, and out-patient care. The negatives were mainly the separation from family, which can be pretty big in a mentally ill person's recovery.

        I agree though, dumping is not unique to Nevada. That doesn't make it any less terrible.

        “Birds…scream at the top of their lungs in horrified hellish rage every morning at daybreak to warn us all of the truth. They know the truth. Screaming bloody murder all over the world in our ears, but sadly we don’t speak bird.” Kurt Cobain

        by RadicalParrot on Thu May 02, 2013 at 06:36:03 AM PDT

        [ Parent ]

  •  Again, a ruthless GOP tactic to save money at the (7+ / 0-)

    cost of decent caring services for people with serious mental health problems by shipping them off to California with no planning, caring or money.  Sandoval is another GOP backward bigot of the mentally ill in this incarnation.  He needs to be thrown out of office for this serious assault to human dignity.  I hope and will support a candidate that will take his nasty, GOP ass on and defeat him soundly.  The fact is community based housing can help many people with serious mental health problems gain stability and a sense of dignity after so much suffering they often encounter.   Certainly that humanitarian Sheldon Adelson who spent one hundred million dollars of his own money to defeat Obama could pony up a donation of like amount to start the ball rolling for housing for those in need in his cash cow state of NV.  How shameful these  super rich NV people are with so much money at their fingertips and so little concern for there fellow people.

  •  About Wendy Greuel (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    gravlax, Zack from the SFV

    One of the ads she's running, about what they used to call "law and order" and what we now call gun safety, references the 1999 shooting at the North Valley Jewish Community Center, where a white supremacist opened fire on a group of schoolchildren. I've been reading that as a dog-whistle to Jewish voters, and I don't vote for candidates that use dog whistles.

    Naturally, no new spending for this. Better mental health services.  Feh.

    -7.75, -8.10; . . . Columbine, Tucson, Aurora, Sandy Hook, Boston (h/t Charles Pierce)

    by Dave in Northridge on Thu May 02, 2013 at 06:33:10 AM PDT

  •  GOPers concern troll re: mental health and guns (3+ / 0-)

    Sadly, Sandoval could be creating his very own Willie Horton, albeit a mentally ill one, that could be bussed out of Nevada and unsupervised go commit some heinous crime. It just goes to show how bogus the GOP concern about the mentally ill really is. They need to be called on their fake concern which is really meant to deflect (pun intended) attention away from gun control.

    The fact is they have NEVER cared about the mentally ill. Not even after a mentally ill man shot Ronald Reagan and nearly killed him. And what have they done to keep guns out of the hands of would-be John Hinkley's? Absolutely nothing Say it again. Absolutely nothing.

  •  If nevada keeps exporting the mentally ill, (7+ / 0-)

    won't it soon become a Blue State?

    What we call god is merely a living creature with superior technology & understanding. If their fragile egos demand prayer, they lose that superiority.

    by agnostic on Thu May 02, 2013 at 06:45:04 AM PDT

  •  Sandoval's patient dumping scheme (5+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    gravlax, askew, ybruti, Gygaxian, 2sleepy

    is blood-chilling. NV State Health Officer:

    "It is possible that a competent individual who is stable would choose to receive services in another state," Green said. It also is possible, she said, that a person's mental status could change significantly between his release from the psychiatric hospital and arrival in his new destination.

    "So many things can happen in between, so it's hard to draw a conclusion as to any fault," she said.

    you wish

    "Show up. Pay attention. Tell the truth. And don't be attached to the results." -- Angeles Arrien

    by Sybil Liberty on Thu May 02, 2013 at 06:46:34 AM PDT

    •  This same tactic was used by MI former GOP (3+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      gravlax, LordMike, Aquarius40

      governor Engler who had presidential aspirations and was backed by the wealthy DeVos folks.  He wanted to drive down the state's unemployment numbers and supportive services costs and set aside emergency funds to send the unemployed out of state if they knew of a state where they might find work.  It didn't work out though because moving families on one-way money doesn't take into account people's desire for roots and connectivity to their chosen environment, not to mention the nightmare of trying to sell a house from a distant state.  Engler also dumped the mentally ill into the streets where law enforcement had to deal with them.

      Building a better America with activism, cooperation, ingenuity and snacks.

      by judyms9 on Thu May 02, 2013 at 07:03:28 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

    •  What a bunch of horseshit. nt (0+ / 0-)
    •  "It is possible that I'm Sandoval's shill" (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      oh yay another commenter

      "and was payed to say this, even though I know it's wrong."

      Leftist Mormon in Utah, Born in Washington State, live in UT-04 (Matheson).

      by Gygaxian on Thu May 02, 2013 at 09:24:54 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

  •  Markey will be a great, progressive senator. (6+ / 0-)

    His record speaks for itself.  Now he needs to campaign like hell because his opponent may have alot of $ from the most regressive forces in the US.  All Markey need s to do is get a magaphone and tell the people what he has done which is full of popular substance and then ask Mr. Got Bucks GOP candidate to respond.  Winner Markey, hands down.

    •  Indeed, it's back to basics. (5+ / 0-)

      I was handed a postcard by a Markey canvasser last week and it told about his stances on gun control, pro-choice, etc.; all important issues but not a word about the economy, jobs, or the concentration of wealth.  

      As for Gomez having appeal in the Latino community, this is understandable, but it would be condescending to say "Latinos will vote for Latinos".  I'm an Italian-American and I wouldn't vote for Rudy Giuliani or Rick Santorum, maybe not even for Andrew Cuomo if he runs for President.

      "One of the greatest tragedies of man's long trek along the highway of history has been the limiting of neighborly concern to tribe, race, class or nation." Martin Luther King, Jr.

      by brae70 on Thu May 02, 2013 at 07:15:31 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  Yeah, and I'm a Mormon (0+ / 0-)

        And I certainly didn't vote for Romney. Or Huntsman. Or even Rocky Anderson (who's technically still Mormon, but not active). I may be a Mormon-American, but I vote for the most progressive, competent candidate. I dislike tribalism.

        Leftist Mormon in Utah, Born in Washington State, live in UT-04 (Matheson).

        by Gygaxian on Thu May 02, 2013 at 09:23:37 AM PDT

        [ Parent ]

        •  Were you being ironic in (0+ / 0-)

          your statement that as a Mormon-American, you dislike tribalism?  The Mormons are nothing if not tribal.  Sorry, but I used to be one and live surrounded by them so I know a little about that.

          •  I live surrounded by them too (0+ / 0-)

            Though I'm an active (though leftist) Mormon, so it might affect my perception of things. Then again, I was just talking about myself, not all Mormons. I'm anti-tribalist enough that I didn't even vote for Obama, though all the Mormon Dems I know were cheering him on. And I'm not a registered Democrat (which most Mormon Dems are).

            Leftist Mormon in Utah, Born in Washington State, live in UT-04 (Matheson).

            by Gygaxian on Thu May 02, 2013 at 01:20:33 PM PDT

            [ Parent ]

          •  Not so tribe that they could not put up a (0+ / 0-)

            man for presidential title,  the Trible Leader of the Western World.  

      •  I am also an Itatian and agree with you on the (0+ / 0-)

        list, but not the Cuomo negative.  We may need a tougher player next time and that includes, "Walk Into The Presidency", Clinton,  We certainly have had  enough of the softball pitcher type.  

  •  Sac Bee doing actual journalism. Speaking truth on (6+ / 0-)

    Perry and this. Rare for a newspaper to engage in truth finding these days, unless it involves sex.  Otherwise, aren't newspapers just supposed to be glorified stenographers.  They must not have gotten the memo from the mainstream media.  Didn't you hear Sacramento Bee, facts have a liberal bias, and therefore should be avoided at all costs.

    The only thing we have to fear is fear itself - FDR. Obama Nation. -6.13 -6.15

    by ecostar on Thu May 02, 2013 at 07:09:23 AM PDT

  •  NV-Gov: Serious explaining to do (5+ / 0-)

    Something similar happened in Los Angeles with medical patients. The hospital was driving them to skid row and dropping them off, but eventually got caught on camera. Depending on how long this lingers with investigation, I can see this being an issue for Sandoval in the election.

    27, Male, CA-26, DK Elections Black Caucus Chair.

    by DrPhillips on Thu May 02, 2013 at 07:23:34 AM PDT

  •  Bus ticket welfare nothing new (6+ / 0-)

    This used to be standard practice in many places -- when someone applied for assistance (in NH, for "town welfare"), they would be given a bus ticket to go somewhere else, rather than housing help or anything else that would keep them in that community. It's a remnant of the 18th-century "warning out" laws that said that if you needed financial support, you could only get it in the last town where you were a legal resident -- and the town you were living in would issue a "warning out" order telling you to go back where you came from.

    It was a particular burden on freed former slaves, as the last place they wanted to live was the town where they had been enslaved, but they had difficulty establishing legal residence in the cities (where jobs existed).

  •  If the GOP had their druthers (0+ / 0-)

    the taxis would make pit stops at gun shops allowing the discharged patients to make their fully supported Second Amendment purchases before heading off to the Greyhound station.

  •  In the case of Sandoval... (5+ / 0-)

    ...the ad practically writes itself:

    "Governor Brian Sandoval and his administration are so heartless and cruel, they decided that, instead of funding programs for the mentally ill they would just ship the mentally ill off to another state by bus. Regardless of the consequences.

    Well, Governor Sandoval, come this November the voters of this state have a big prize waiting for you:
    A bus ticket to California. Only this time, it's for you."

  •  Nevada - a state full of haters (2+ / 0-)

    Nevada seems "almost" progressive at first glance, but look a little deeper and you will find a legislature and state government that exhibits near contempt for large parts of its population.

    Education; dead last in the US (who needs to read in order to clean a toilet at a casino?).  And it will get worse due to Governor Sunny's fondness for "Student's first" and basing teacher pay on student performance.

    Mental Health consists of "greyhound therapy" and that is all that it has been for years and years.  

    Healthcare for the poor is basically non-existent. There is one "free clinic" in Northern Nevada which has a population of about 440k.  That is where anyone who is not on TANF goes for healthcare- that includes all of the working poor, and there are plenty of them here.

    Medical Marijuana Patients- you can get a MM card but you can't legally buy marijuana so if a cop catches you with it you either go to jail or get your weed taken from you because there is a presumption under the law that you acquired it illegally.

    Criminal Justice system. Nevada has a three strikes law that is unparalleled in the US, two prior felony convictions no matter how old or how trivial and the District Attorney has the option of filing a habitual offender petition for a 10-life sentence.  It is generally charged when a defendant declines a plea bargain and loses at trial, but there was one defendant who recently won a very small victory in the appellate court on a bail matter and apparently to send a message about defendant's daring to appeal a criminal matter the next day the DA charged him as a habitual offender - that was 3 years after his initial arrest.

    Horses are rounded up and sent to a rendering plant if a rancher complains that they are competing with his cattle on BLM land.    

    Mines operate virtually tax free and have no environmental clean-up obligation.

    I've lived here for 14 years it's a disgustingly hateful, mean place. I check my home value on Zillow weekly and hopefully before long I will be able to sell without a loss and get out of this place

    •  I am wondering if Sandoval (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      2sleepy, Zack from the SFV

      is also sending mentally ill people across the Idaho border.  I do adult foster care and got a call from someone trying to place a young, mentally ill woman who crossed the border into Idaho, and then promptly escaped the restrictive facility she was forced into. They made it sound like she had run away, but now I have my doubts.

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