Well until Weatherdude comes along with his more informative posts I figured Id give some of the less obsessed with weather DKOS members a heads up about an imminent threat of severe weather over a large area of the plains states the next few days.
Dr Forbes has issued the followingTorCon levels for Wednesday:
KS central - 6
KS west - 5 to 6
KS east - 4 to 5
NE south-central - 6
OK west - 6
OK central - 5
TX east panhandle - 5 to 6
Severe thunderstorm and tornado outbreak likely in SD, NE, KS, west and central OK, northwest MO, IA, central and south MN, central and southwest WI, extreme northwest IL, east TX panhandle, west TX near Wichita Falls, Mineral Wells, Abilene, San Angelo, Del Rio. TOR:CON - 6 west OK; 6 central KS and south-central NE.
Thursday:
Severe thunderstorm and tornado outbreak likely in east ND, MN, WI, western upper MI, IA,southeast SD, east NE, central and east KS, OK excluding panhandle, northwest AR, MO excluding bootheel, west-central and north IL. TOR:CON - 6 north-central OK, southeast KS; 4 north MO, south IA; 4 southeast MN, west WI
AR northwest - 5
IL north, west-central - 3 to 4
KS central - 5 to 6
KS east - 6
MI western upper peninsula - 3 to 4
OK central, northeast - 6
OK southeast - 5
Friday:
Isolated to scattered severe thunderstorms in extreme southeast MN, eastern upper MI, north and west lower MI, north and west IN, IL, MO, IA, east NE, central and east KS, southwest, central, northeast OK, extreme northwest AR. TOR:CON - 5 north-central OK; 4 south MO
OK southwest, central, northeast - 5
AR extreme northwest - 3 to 4
It should be noted that the TorCon is not an exact science. Here in Texas a few weeks back we was at a TorCon of 3 and had 16 tornadoes pop up, some taking lives. Other days we have been at a 9 and seen nothing. However meteorologists are getting better and better at predicting these things in advance (no thanks to the GOP) so be prepared for worst case scenarios if you happen to live in these areas.