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I preface these remarks with the disclaimer that I'm no longer a Democrat.  I cannot co-exist with the Blue Dogs, who refused to pass Obama's programs and made Obama take the heat without a fair opportunity to show results.

I was an elected Democrat in my first career, and the Democratic Party got to tap my bank account for a few bucks every month on autopilot.

While I was a Democrat, I've never favored one party rule.  That always ends badly.

And the Republican Party has a distinguished history.

It was Republicans who voted with mainstream Democrats to invoke cloture on the Dixiecrat filibuster and pass the Civil Rights Act of 1964.

Indeed, the first POTUS identified with civil rights was the Republican Abraham Lincoln.

The first POTUS who defended the interests of the 99% against the depredations of the 1% was the Republican Theodore Roosevelt.

Times have changed.

When, in American history, does one party hold power for more than eight years?  When they are riding a wave of incredible popularity.

But, as we say in the stock picking game, past results are no guarantee of future results.

President Bush I followed President Reagan.

FDR was close enough to POTUS for life that the GOP amended the Constitution to insert term limits....just in time to limit Ike.

Before that?  Martin van Buren followed the genocidal maniac Andrew Jackson.

What brings this up?  The prospect of the first woman POTUS, Hillary Clinton.

Obama is below 50% approval and spends most of two terms there as a result of the continual faux scandals ginned up in the right wing echo chamber.  If he ever had a real scandal, there would be hell to pay.  

A month ago, there were three faux scandals at the same time, and they've all come up empty, such that the GOP is having huge back to back events in Nevada this week centered on...birthers.

So Sec. Clinton cannot ride a wave of popularity like Bush, like FDR, like Van Buren.

Therefore, she must rely on the continued self-destruction of the Republican Party.

That appears to be a safe bet so far.

In the last week, they buried immigration reform and tore apart the farm bill, separating farm subsidies (and substantially enriching them) from food stamps, which have been thrown under the proverbial bus.  

They've made a huge issue of Obamacare covering birth control.  In a dozen states where they hold power locally, they've undertaken a jihad against Roe v. Wade and they've tried to turn Planned Parenthood into the new ACORN, speaking of faux scandals.

In short, they are still fighting the war on women when they may be facing a serious female candidate.

They lost the youth vote big time, and they just used the filibuster to double student loan rates.

They lost the minority vote, including Asians and Cuban-Americans, where they traditionally win, and they continue to trash immigrants and fail to do anything about a broken immigration system beyond militarizing the border.

Their strongest candidate is Chris Christie, who will not fit in the Tea Party clown car, and therefore cannot get nominated.

This is a recipe for snatching defeat from the jaws of victory.  While I'm not a Democrat, I can't picture the Republicans fielding any serious opposition to Ms. Clinton unless they have a soul transplant in the next two years.

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Comment Preferences

  •  soul transplant (3+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    indubitably, tardis10, Kevskos

    that's pretty good :)  Think I'll use that one.

    thanks

    The Republican brand is totally bankrupt.

    by vlyons on Fri Jul 12, 2013 at 05:39:25 AM PDT

  •  This is a DEMOCRATIC site. (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Gooserock

    It's purpose is to elect DEMOCRATIC candidates.

    Loudly proclaiming that you aren't a Democrat and that you don't support the Democratic Party doesn't do much to win me over to your point of view.

    "Ronald Reagan is DEAD! His policies live on but we're doing something about THAT!"

    by leftykook on Fri Jul 12, 2013 at 05:39:33 AM PDT

    •  Because I am an Independent, (4+ / 0-)

      I don't have to sell you.

      You have to sell me.

      If Markos wants me out of here, I'll leave.

      If most readers want me out of here, I'll leave.

      But the current state of the Democratic Party makes me puke, and I'm not going to pretend otherwise to suck up to Kossacks or anyone else.  

      Take a look at my diaries and tell me, as a group, that I don't belong here, and I'm gone.  Hell, I'll even try to put up a poll if I can after I've posted the diary.

      •  Have you thought of joining PDA? (0+ / 0-)

        Progressive Democrats of America You might feel at home there.

        Progressive Democrats of America was founded in 2004 to transform the Democratic Party and our country. We seek to build a party and government controlled by citizens, not corporate elites-with policies that serve the broad public interest, not just private interests. As a grassroots PAC operating inside the Democratic Party, and outside in movements for peace and justice, PDA played a key role in the stunning electoral victories of November 2006 and 2008. Our inside/outside strategy is guided by the belief that a lasting majority will require a revitalized Democratic Party built on firm progressive principles.

        For over two decades, the party declined as its leadership listened more to the voices of corporations than those of Americans. PDA strives to rebuild the Democratic Party from the bottom up-from every congressional district to statewide party structures to the corridors of power in Washington, where we work arm in arm with the Congressional Progressive Caucus. In just a couple of years PDA and its allies have shaken up the political status-quo on issues from ending the Iraq war, voter rights, protecting Social Security, a full employment economy, national healthcare and economic justice.

        The spirit of liberty is the spirit which is not too sure that it is right. -- Judge Learned Hand, May 21, 1944

        by ybruti on Fri Jul 12, 2013 at 07:18:32 AM PDT

        [ Parent ]

    •  I'm a Democrat (4+ / 0-)

      And he rings true as a Democrat to me, despite the disclaimer.

      He's not advocating Randism or another go at Nader. He's simply make observations---well-founded ones, imo.

      Nuance is a good thing ...

    •  I wouldn't say this is a Democrat site (3+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      Kevskos, Oh Mary Oh, Joy of Fishes

      It's definitely a liberal site, but you don't have to be a Democrat to sign up.

      I agree that having a strong two-party system is a political plus. In a single-party system the demagogs begin to take over.

      The points he makes are well thought out and accurate. When the moderate Republican are either drummed out through primary challenges or forced to take extreme-right positions to prevent a primary challenge it further reduces the number of moderate voters they can attract. They are alienating women, minorities, and the underclass at every opportunity and their main plan to address that seems to be to try to keep as many minorities and underclass voters from voting as possible. Not sure what they plan to do about all of us pissed-off ladies.

      So.... what's your problem?

      "That being said, I do agree I am going to hell. But for other reasons. Mostly boring tax stuff ' Amy Pohler

      by Annie B on Fri Jul 12, 2013 at 06:26:44 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

    •  You don't need to be a Democrat (4+ / 0-)

      To be a liberal. Just look at Bernie Sanders.

      “The Republicans believe in the minimum wage — the more the minimum, the better.”-Harry S Truman

      by Generic Democrat on Fri Jul 12, 2013 at 06:34:27 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

  •  As a former Republican (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Kevskos

    who used to idolize TR, I would suggest you read The Imperial Cruise, which pretty definitively profiles TR as a virulent racist comfortable with genocide.

    Ancora Impara--Michelangelo

    by aravir on Fri Jul 12, 2013 at 06:10:51 AM PDT

    •  TR (3+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      Kevskos, indubitably, Joy of Fishes

      Destroyed my tribal nation, in direct violation of treaty obligations, to create the state of Oklahoma.  This is the central metaphor in my book, Sequoyah Rising, which is not about Sequoyah the man (George Guess) but rather about the State of Sequoyah.

      TR also purposely swiped an empire from Spain.  He was not just an imperialist; he was a proud imperialist.

      However, his ideas on business regulation were sound.  Credit where credit is due.  Remember the old SDS slogan, "Part of the way with LBJ"?  Same thing.

  •  The GOP is the Dixiecrat Party now (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    gffish

    That was the deliberate strategy of Barry Goldwater and Ronald Reagan. No southern segregationist votes Democratic anymore. I can't imagine anyone younger than 50 even remembers, except as history, when the southern Dems were segregationist.

    “If you can convince the lowest white man he’s better than the best colored man, he won’t notice you’re picking his pocket. Hell, give him somebody to look down on, and he’ll empty his pockets for you.” Lyndon Baines Johnson

    by spacecadet1 on Fri Jul 12, 2013 at 07:27:42 AM PDT

  •  TR was a GOP anomaly -- he was "parked" in the VP (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    gffish, some other george

    slot to make him politically disappear for 4 or 8 years, but then the unthinkable happened and being only a heartbeat away he became President.

    The Republican party would not have chosen him as their standard-bearer.  Even then they were the party of big business, as was the Democratic party.

    Happy little moron, Lucky little man.
    I wish I was a moron, MY GOD, Perhaps I am!
    —Spike Milligan

    by polecat on Fri Jul 12, 2013 at 07:59:04 AM PDT

  •  I had to vote for Blue Dog Joe Donnelly (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    gffish

    over Richard "Rape babies are God's Will Mourdock". On Election Day, I'm a Democrat. All the rest of the year, I am a Progressive. Kill the filibuster and the gerrymander, and then embalm, cremate, and bury, and take no risks. Single-payer health care. End poverty, don't just maintain people on the treadmill. Real education. Push for grid parity, so that the market can kill off fossil carbon. Etc.

    I look forward to the day when the Republicans really and truly implode and vanish away like the Federalists, the original Party of No. One-party rule followed in The Era of Good Feeling, until the ruling Democratic-Republican party fractured mainly into pro-slavery Democrats and pro-business Whigs, with outbursts of various sorts of populism from time to time.

    After the Republicans lose their ability to filibuster in the Senate and gerrymander the House, our national dialogue will shift to the space between the Democratic and Progressive agendas until the rich people and the corporations can cobble together a new alliance with somebody, anybody who will go along with the basic agenda of selfishness. It won't be pretty, but it will continue to be popcorn-worthy.

    Ceterem censeo, gerrymandra delenda est

    by Mokurai on Fri Jul 12, 2013 at 08:17:17 AM PDT

    •  now that you mention it (0+ / 0-)

      If I were still in Bloomington, I would have voted for him as well.

      Sometimes, you have to hold your nose until it hurts.

      Which, by the way, I had to do to vote for Bill Clinton.

      The DLC was not my idea of what Democrats should be, and I was a Democrat then.  I voted for him, but I didn't like it.

      I will find his wife much easier to vote for.

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