In this story for which the Post sent out a breaking news email alert, we find
McAuliffe leads 47 percent to 39 percent among likely voters, with Libertarian candidate Robert Sarvis’s 10 percent suggesting an unrest among voters not satisfied with either major-party contender. In a one-on-one matchup without Sarvis in the mix, the poll shows a narrower, 49-44 race between McAuliffe and Cuccinelli among likely voters — but still flips Cuccinelli’s 10-point lead from this spring.
It is worth noting that McAuliffe holds a 24 point lead among women.
It is also worth noting this:
The challenge for Cuccinelli is stark: Nearly half of all voters view him unfavorably, and they trust his opponent as much as or more than the Republican on every major issue in the race, according to the poll.
Read the story.
Remember that Cuccinelli is damned if he does and damned if he doesn't with hit LG running mate, who is rapidly turning off ever more voters. Identify with him and lose independents, try to put distance from him and watch the Tea Party and Evangelical extremists decide not to vote for Cooch.
Note this - while Cuccinelli is not currently Governor, he is effectively a semi-incumbent as Attorney General and even in a 2-man race is not breaking 45 while his opponent is almost at 50.
And remember this - this is not of registered voters, but of likely voters.
Make of it what you will.
The most popular man in Virginia is still Mark Warner.
The McAuliffe campaign is now airing an ad of Warner talking directly into the camera advocating for Terry, putting his own (Warner's) stamp of approval in a way that will appeal to some moderate Republicans, especially in the business world.
Tomorrow is 6 weeks from the election. McAuliffe seems to be at least holding his maring, the Quinnipiac poll notwithstanding.
And the Democratic parties in heavily Democratic areas like Arlington are gearing up to maximize turnout.