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Some mixed news today from PPP out of Michigan:

PPP's first Michigan poll in six months finds that the GOP has made gains of 7-8 points in the races for Governor and Senate. Rick Snyder, who trailed Mark Schauer 42/38 for reelection as Governor in June, now holds a 44/40 advantage. And Terri Lynn Land, who had lagged Gary Peters 41/36 in the race to replace Carl Levin, now holds a 42/40 advantage.

Snyder won by an overwhelming margin in 2010 because he dominated with independents and had an unusual amount of crossover support from Democrats. He's still nowhere near where he was with those groups 3 years ago, but he's making progress. In June he trailed Schauer 39/37 with independents but now he's back out to a 10 point lead with them at 44/34. And while he was winning just 10% of the Democratic vote in the spring, now he's back up to 15%.

The news isn't all great for Snyder though. Although his approval rating is up from its 40/52 standing on our last poll, it's still under water at 42/49. A big part of the reason for Snyder's lead continues to be Schauer's continuing low name recognition- only 36% of voters have an opinion about him. The silver lining for Schauer about that fact is the undecideds for Governor are strongly Democratic leaning- they voted for Obama 54/33 last year- so he may gain ground as he comes better known.

The other cloud for Snyder in these numbers is that his signature right to work law remains unpopular as we approach the one year anniversary of its passage. Only 40% of voters support it to 47% who are opposed, pretty much mirroring Snyder's approval figures. And 45% say they would vote for a ballot measure to repeal the law, compared to 39% who say they would vote to uphold it.

Terri Lynn Land may not have been the GOP's first choice of a Senate candidate, but she starts out the race with pretty good favorability numbers for this political climate. 34% of voters in the state see her positively to 23% with a negative opinion. Peters remains mostly unknown, with 57% saying they don't have an opinion about him one way or the other. The big shift in this race over the last six months has come with independents. They were basically tied in June, but Land has now opened up a 17 point lead with them at 47/30. - PPP, 12/10/13
PPP surveyed 1,034 Michigan voters from December 5th to 8th. The margin of error for the survey is +/-3.0%. PPP’s surveys are conducted through automated telephone interviews.

President Obama and the Affordable Care Act have taken a hit in their numbers in Michigan.  Obama's approval rating is at 47/51.  Only 34% of voters support Obamacare to 48% who are opposed, and 63% think its implementation has been unsuccessful to only 30% who rate it positively.  The other close race is the Attorney General race.  Republican Attorney General Bill Schuette starts out with just a 2 point lead over Democratic challenger Mark Totten at 40/38.

All in all, these numbers could be better but of course once Peters, Schauer and Totten boost their name recognition.  And we do that by helping them fuel their campaigns.  If you would like to get involved or donate to Peters, Schauer's or Totten's campaigns, you can do so here:

Originally posted to pdc on Tue Dec 10, 2013 at 09:31 AM PST.

Also republished by In Support of Labor and Unions, The Democratic Wing of the Democratic Party, and Motor City Kossacks.

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Comment Preferences

  •  I'm always shocked when a known (4+ / 0-)

    Republican with a record like Snyder has a lead in polling against anyone else.  Is this really what the people of Michigan want?  Or GA, or AL, or MS, or NC, and on it goes.  It's just shocking how well the r/w hate and fear propaganda works for them.

    The GOP will destroy anything they can't own.

    by AnnieR on Tue Dec 10, 2013 at 10:21:26 AM PST

    •  I agree (0+ / 0-)

      And I want to shake them and yell "snap out of it."

      Never be afraid to voice your opinion and fight for it . Corporations aren't people, they're Republicans (Rev Al Sharpton 10/7/2011) Voting is a louder voice than a bullhorn but sometimes you need that bullhorn to retain your vote.

      by Rosalie907 on Tue Dec 10, 2013 at 06:56:54 PM PST

      [ Parent ]

  •  Michigan will be base turnout battle (4+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    dkmich, Pilotshark, SouthernLeveller, Sylv

    And if we don't do those things needed to "create the electorate" favorable to us, we could find ourselves the "What happened in Michigan" story the Sunday following election day.

    The issues make this winnable for us. There are no "compelling personalities" in these races, so independents/uncommitteds will be non-factors. We need to "create the electorate" in these two races, and it will take a concerted field operation.

    That said, I'm hearing disturbing things about the Schauer operation with regard to commitment to field resources. Peters' campaign appears to "get it."

    Change does not roll in on the wheels of inevitability, but comes through continuous struggle. --Martin Luther King Jr.

    by Egalitare on Tue Dec 10, 2013 at 10:27:45 AM PST

    •  Where's the money???? (3+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      Pilotshark, k6007, Rosalie907

      If there's money behind Schauer I'm not seeing it.   He's got a lame facebook campaign and that's all I'm seeing.  

      I am not impressed with the old or the new MDP.    The DNC is useless and could care less if the batshit crazy GOP and Koch brothers dismantle the states.

      I sure hope I start hearing much better news and fast.  If Snyder gets re-elected, our gerrymandered House and Senate will forever destroy this state.  

      What we need is a Democrat in the White House. Warren 2016

      by dkmich on Tue Dec 10, 2013 at 11:02:26 AM PST

      [ Parent ]

      •  And where's the money for (0+ / 0-)

        Joanna VanRaaphorst?

        In 2012, she ran for McMillin's seat.  Yeah, that creep.   She lost by a lousy 5,000 votes.   If she had gotten any money from the MDP or DNC, I believe she would have beaten him.  

        Now she's taking a shot at the Senate.  I told her she was a glutton for punishment.   I certainly hope someone from the Democrat Party shows up.

        PS - I'm don't mean to shoot the messenger.  Sorry.

        What we need is a Democrat in the White House. Warren 2016

        by dkmich on Tue Dec 10, 2013 at 11:55:44 AM PST

        [ Parent ]

  •  As Obamacare Goes Up So Will Democrats (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:

    "Don't Let Them Catch You With Your Eyes Closed"

    by rssrai on Tue Dec 10, 2013 at 10:46:33 AM PST

  •  The actual headline here is: (5+ / 0-)

    "Incumbent governor still below 50% in polls against virtually unknown challenger"

    That's my take, anyway. And Land is riding on her name recognition. She's a trainwreck of a candidate who can't even get her own party to support her.

    "Back off, man. I'm a scientist."
    -- Dr. Peter Venkman

    Join me, LOLGOP, Anne Savage, and Amy Lynn Smith at Eclectablog.

    by Eclectablog on Tue Dec 10, 2013 at 11:06:31 AM PST

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