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Polls close at 8 PM ET throughout most of Texas for tonight's Democratic and Republican primaries, the first of the cycle. The small portion of the state located in the Mountain timezone around El Paso will be voting until 9 PM ET. Our guide to tonight's key races can be found here. Remember that if no one clears 50 percent in any given race, the top two vote-getters will advance to a May 27 runoff.

We'll be liveblogging all the results starting here, but if things get jam-packed and we need more threads, head over to Daily Kos Elections to continue following the action.

Results: Statewide | By County | SoS (R) | SoS (D)


6:14 PM PT: TX-LG: It continues to look like we're in for a runoff, but David Dewhurst will be lucky to win a plurality tonight. Patrick continues to lead 45-26. Despite both being statewide electeds, Agriculture Commissioner Todd Staples and Land Commissioner Jerry Patterson are languishing in the teens.

6:18 PM PT: TX-36: Babin edges Streusand 31-26 in the dress rehearsal for their May runoff. In most of the district Babin has at least a plurality, but in Harris County Streusand leads, with former Pasadena Mayor John Manlove in second. The runoff looks like it will be a fight between Babin's rural East Texas supporters and Streusand's suburban Houston base.  

6:24 PM PT: Looks like the big questions remaining tonight are: Does Hall avoid a runoff in TX-04 (probably not), can Alameel stop LaRouche Rogers from even making it into the Democratic runoff for Senate (too early to say), is there a GOP runoff in TX-23 (probably), how bad is it for David Dewhurst, and can Smitherman edge out Branch for a GOP runoff spot in the Attorney General's race.  

6:31 PM PT: Oklahoma City Mayor: With about half of precincts counted, looks like there's nothing to see here. Incumbent Republican Mick Cornett leads independent challenger Ed Shadid 61-38.

6:35 PM PT: TX-04: With early votes in and a lot of election day votes left to count, Hall is at 46 percent, Ratcliffe at 29 percent. In 2010 69,000 votes were cast in this race: So far, 25,000 have been counted tonight.

6:43 PM PT: Hard to say what proportion of ballots have been counted. In 2010's contested gubernatorial GOP primary, 1,485,000 votes were cast. Right now in the barely contested gubernatorial primary we're at 580,000. So probably about a third of ballots have been counted.

6:49 PM PT: TX-LG: The David Dewhurst Pain Train continues: Patrick leads 45-27. Dewhurst may want to think long and hard if he wants to lose another runoff.

6:51 PM PT: TX-36: There's no question that we're in for a Babin-Streusand runoff, but Babin is reopening the gap a bit. He leads 34-25, with no one else in double digits.  

6:55 PM PT: TX AG: Looks like we're in for a Paxton-Branch runoff. Third place contender Smitherman trails Branch 32-24 in his bid to get a runoff spot. Paxton is in first with 43.

6:58 PM PT: TX-04: The Associated Press projects a runoff between Hall and Ratcliffe. Hall currently leads 45-30, but even if that gap remains by the end of the night, he shouldn't be too comfortable. The other candidate's supporters are likely to break against the incumbent, and runoffs are often very unpredictable. Just ask David Dewhurst.

7:05 PM PT (Steve Singiser): TX-Sen: The good news for LaRouche devotee Kesha Rogers: she'd make the runoff if it all ended right now. The bad news: she'd basically need to shoot the moon to have a shot. David Alameel is at 48.9 percent, which is well ahead of Rogers (21 percent). Often, runoff participants that far behind take the classy route and don't contest the runoff. I will take a wild guess that Rogers will not be quite that magnanimous.

7:06 PM PT: TX-23: Looks like we have a Canseco-Hurd GOP runoff here. Canseco leads 42-40, far below the 50 percent either would need tonight to win outright. Not complaining is Democratic Rep. Pete Gallego, who sits in a 51-48 Romney seat.

7:17 PM PT (Steve Singiser): TX-Sen: Democrats busy watching David Alameel's battle with the runoff line (he is now down to 48 percent) may have missed something else: Kesha Rogers is far from a lock to take a prospective second runoff slot. Rogers is down to just 20 percent, with a raft of early votes propelling Maxey Scherr to 18 percent of the vote. In terms of raw vote, the margin is just 4700 votes according to the Texas Sec. of State's office. AP is getting their tallies elsewhere, and they have it wider, with Rogers +12,000 or so.

7:22 PM PT: TX AG: Smitherman's hopes to get into the runoff look worse and worse. All night he's been about six points behind second-place candidate Branch, and currently trails 32-25. Paxton continues to lead with 43 percent.

7:34 PM PT: TX-36: Good reminder from Greg Giroux: Both Babin and Streusand ran for the House in the past. Babin was the GOP nominee against Jim Tunrer in 1996 and 1998. In the former open seat race Babin lost by a close 51-46. Their rematch didn't go well, with Babin losing by a larger 58-41. Streusand made the runoff against Michael McCall in 2004's open seat race, but fell 64-37.

7:34 PM PT (Steve Singiser): TX-Comptroller: Here is a mild surprise on a fairly predictable night. One could make the argument that tea-flavored Republican Debra Medina was the most hyped of the generally unknown candidates running statewide for Comptroller on the GOP side. That hype clearly has not translated to votes—Medina is a distant third in the GOP primary, garnering just 19 percent of the vote.

7:39 PM PT: TX-AG: Not getting better for Smitherman. He trails Branch 33-24 for second.

7:43 PM PT: TX-AG: The AP has called a Paxton-Branch runoff.

7:44 PM PT: TX LG: We also have a Patrick-Dewhurst runoff called.

8:03 PM PT: TX-23: No surprise, but the AP has called a Canseco-Hurd runoff.

8:05 PM PT (Steve Singiser): TX-House: There is a potentially intriguing story developing downballot. In the battle for the balance of power in the state House, two Republican incumbents in potentially vulnerable districts are currently trailing in primary challenges. They are Stefani Carter (HD-102: Romney 53-45) and Linda Harper-Brown (HD-105: Romney 52-46). Unlike many GOP-held legislative seats, Democrats have fielded candidates in both of these seats.

8:08 PM PT: Texas State Senate: A few incumbents look like they're in danger of being unseated tonight. In SD-02, incumbent Republican Bob Deuell leads with 48 percent, a little below the runoff threshold. In SD-16, GOP incumbent Don Huffines trails challenger John Carona by 152 votes: No one else is running, so this one will be resolved tonight. Finally, in SD 31, incumbent Republican Kel Seliger leads former Midland Mayor Mike Canon 52-48. All three seats are heavily Republican.

8:21 PM PT: Looks like we won't know for sure for a long time, but an Alameel-Rogers runoff looks likely. We're calling it a night here: Thanks for reading and see you back next Tuesday for the FL-13 general!

8:55 PM PT (Steve Singiser): TX-SEN (D): One (final?) update: the AP has called the Democratic Senate primary for David Alameel, who they say is leading LaRouchite Kesha Rogers by a 54-19 margin. The problem? That is nowhere near what the Texas Sec. of State's office has, and it is nowhere near what the AP had themselves for most of the night. About 30 minutes ago, their totals for Alameel jumped markedly. Best guess? A tabulation error, which will be corrected eventually, and return the race to a likely runoff (the SoS has Alameel at 48, and Rogers at 21).

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Comment Preferences

  •  Do you think that big headed Staples (3+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    elmo, Wordsinthewind, shesaid

    will give us his anti-Patrick ads or do you think we'll have to try and buy them from him?

  •  Sam Houston not just awesomely named (12+ / 0-)

    but seems like a legit candidate too.

    Stephen Wolf on twitter points out that he did the best of any Dem in the last decade, getting 47% in 2008 when running for State Supreme Court.

  •  Party questions! (5+ / 0-)

    typically these questions never get a strong no vote, so currently the lowest Yes percentages for the questions are

    For the Rs: 87% for "Prop 2 Expanding locations where CHL holders may legally carry"

    For the Ds: 87% for "Prop 1 Immigration reform"

    Also, there's 99% for the R proposition about legislators being held to the same laws as constituents. They should ask their heavily R legislature to look into that, I guess

    The Republican Party isn't a party of small government, it's a party of a government for the few. @bhindepmo

    by RBH on Tue Mar 04, 2014 at 06:22:35 PM PST

  •  Not as awesomely named as Jesse James (6+ / 0-)

    Our elected state treasurer for many years in the 60's and 70's.

    “I’m able to fly, do what I want, essentially. I guess that’s what freedom is — no limits.” Marybeth Onyeukwu -- Brooklyn DREAMer.

    by chuco35 on Tue Mar 04, 2014 at 06:24:00 PM PST

  •  Meta thread comments from over at the Shaggybevo (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Aunt Pat, BlackSheep1

    Mostly establishment types. Couple of frothy mouthed Tea Partiers and some disaffected R's tossing their votes in with the Lunatarians.

    Patrick keeping pace with Dewhurst is not going over well. Grand total of 11 comments.

    hayden_horn's
     Join Date
    Dec 2007
    Location
    dirty souf austin
    Posts
    22,891
    my god, dan patrick? $#@!.

    Putting on the spectacles of science in expectation of finding an answer to everything looked at signifies inner blindness. -- J(ames) Frank Dobie

    by cactusflinthead on Tue Mar 04, 2014 at 06:39:02 PM PST

  •  Scathing take-down of Stockman-the-grifter (4+ / 0-)

    at HuffPost (from The Daily Beast)

  •  Alameel slips below 50% (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    citizenx, Aunt Pat

    at 49.23.

    But I wonder if there is a chance that Rogers doesnt make the runoff. Her total has slipped to 20.68, and Maxey Scherr is about 4.5% behind that.

  •  AP Results: Runoff for Hall n/t (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    jj32, Aunt Pat
  •  live tv link Wendy Davis 8PM and (4+ / 0-)

    Abbott 9PM

    http://www.nbcdfw.com/...

    EXCERPT

    Throughout the night, video from candidates headquarters in San Antonio, Fort Worth and Houston will appear in the player above.  At around 8 p.m., Sen. Wendy Davis is expected to speak.  Attorney General Greg Abbott is expected to speak at about 9 p.m.  In between the speeches, the screen above may be black -- this is normal.

    You can see a lot just by looking. ~ Yogi Berra

    by anyname on Tue Mar 04, 2014 at 07:00:21 PM PST

  •  A bit tired of hearing about Wendy Davis (13+ / 0-)

    This might get me flayed here, but really she's a longshot and gets way too much national attention than she deserves.  I see her talked up tonight on MSNBC by O'Donnell, just the latest in the hype-fest.

    We're still a long way away from making Texas purple.  A decade at least.  The math isn't there, and isn't really close.  And the kinds of Democrats who will be able to win when it's first purpling aren't national liberal darlings who stonewall an abortion bill, as that's exactly the kind of Democrat who can't win the state for a long time.  Our first statewide winners will be people who aren't liberal darlings at all, they'll be people who can credibly sell a non-ideological, even non-partisan image.

    46, male, Indian-American, and proud father of a girl and 2 boys, Democrat, VA-10

    by DCCyclone on Tue Mar 04, 2014 at 07:32:53 PM PST

    •  I agree, wonder why the TX Dems (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      auapplemac

      didn't run a "distinguished statesman" type?

      Leftist Mormon in Utah, Born in Washington State, live in UT-04 (Matheson).

      by Gygaxian on Tue Mar 04, 2014 at 07:36:03 PM PST

      [ Parent ]

      •  Because we don't have one. (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        Gygaxian

        We are all out of distinguished white guys. Besides I think we can win Texas by running women and if "Abutt"and his lunatic fringe running buddies keep picking on Davis and calling her Barbie Texas women may just get mad enough to actually vote in November as if it were a POTUS election. Even if she looses it could deliver in 2016 to make us competitive and waste a bunch of Republican money.

        If the nominee is HRC you just know they will not be able to control the massive jerks and before long you will have the McCaskill factor.

    •  I mostly agree with you. (7+ / 0-)

      (I don't know if Texas will be purple in a decade.)  But it wasn't unreasonable for Davis to get some amount of hype.

      I think there are just three Democratic state/federal officials in Texas who currently hold Romney districts: Wendy Davis, Pete Gallego, and Craig Eiland.  I don't know about county-level officials and so on.  But to my mind that makes her a priori a reasonable recruit.    

      Think of it this way: If there were a Republican State Senator in California who could hold a heavily contested district that Obama won by 8 points, then Republicans could certainly do worse than running them statewide.

      27, Dem, Dude seeing a dude, CT-04(originally), PA-02/NY-10 (formerly PA-02/NY-12, then PA-02/NY-14). Also at http://xenocrypt.blogspot.com.

      by Xenocrypt on Tue Mar 04, 2014 at 07:49:58 PM PST

      [ Parent ]

      •  To me it's not a Texas issue (3+ / 0-)

        I actually don't have a problem with her running, I can see why the reality of her career supports this decision......why stay in a decidedly powerless state Senate minority for even longer?

        But my problem is the national hype she gets compared to so much else in the country's elections this year.  If liberals want a red state Democratic darling to follow and throw money and adulation at her, Alison Grimes makes a lot more sense.  She's actually running even in an effort to slay a GOP giant, in a red state Obama lost big, and her politics probably aren't much different from Davis based on what I know of each.

        All the talk shows talk Davis, Davis, Davis, at the expense of so much else.

        46, male, Indian-American, and proud father of a girl and 2 boys, Democrat, VA-10

        by DCCyclone on Tue Mar 04, 2014 at 07:59:16 PM PST

        [ Parent ]

        •  My problem, DCCYCLONE, is YOUR outlook (0+ / 0-)

          You don't like it that there's a woman candidate in Texas who's getting positive national buzz.

          Tough, because that's the first candidate of any race or sex in this state since Jim Hightower who wasn't a GEEOPEE "rising star" with 'Presidential potential' -- all the way back to yes, Governor Ann Richards (and Ann, while sainted now, made a boo-boo or three herself in office).

          But then I have my prejudices too: I'm a 50-something green-eyed brown-haired Texas born veteran.

          LBJ, Van Cliburn, Ike, Wendy Davis, Lady Bird, Ann Richards, Barbara Jordan, Molly Ivins, Sully Sullenburger, Drew Brees: Texas is NO Bush League!

          by BlackSheep1 on Wed Mar 05, 2014 at 08:40:30 AM PST

          [ Parent ]

          •  LOL (0+ / 0-)

            I have no problem that she's a woman.  I'm excited about Alison Grimes' chances in Kentucky, also very red at the federal level and yet she's really in it with a meaningful chance to win.  Grimes deserves all the buzz and money Davis is actually getting.  And I want to see a lot more Democratic women elected to everything, all the way up to President.

            But Davis is not going to run close and yet the MSNBC talkers can't stop talking about her.

            46, male, Indian-American, and proud father of a girl and 2 boys, Democrat, VA-10

            by DCCyclone on Wed Mar 05, 2014 at 12:55:55 PM PST

            [ Parent ]

            •  you don't really see why she's getting that (0+ / 0-)

              buzz?

              We haven't had anybody stand up to the Gee O Pee here since Karl Rove "outed" Ann Richards as a lesbian back in the '94 governor's race. He lied, he cheated, he ripped off our voters and our state -- and he won, doing it.

              It's been a whole  generation since we've had a Texas candidate with a snowball's chance of not being the next Li'l Ricky / Georgie Gee O Pee wunderkid to even talk about at all.

              Will Grimes have that much national impact?

              LBJ, Van Cliburn, Ike, Wendy Davis, Lady Bird, Ann Richards, Barbara Jordan, Molly Ivins, Sully Sullenburger, Drew Brees: Texas is NO Bush League!

              by BlackSheep1 on Wed Mar 05, 2014 at 01:26:35 PM PST

              [ Parent ]

              •  The point is that she can't win... (1+ / 0-)
                Recommended by:
                DCCyclone

                Outside of her fundraising, there is absolutely no reason to believe Davis has any chance of winning or even coming close.

                That's the whole point, you can't have a national impact if you're losing by double-digits.

                Grimes can win, and if she does, that would have a huge national impact, because she'd be knocking off the most powerful Senate Republican.

                Politics and more Formerly DGM on SSP. NM-01, 27 (chairman of the Atheist Caucus)

                by NMLib on Wed Mar 05, 2014 at 03:11:55 PM PST

                [ Parent ]

                •  and without support from the national party (0+ / 0-)

                  she won't win.

                  Bill White couldn't win, and he had a rep after Katrina for being  one of the best engineers involved in meeting people's needs.

                  But of course it's so much more fun to claim it's Texas and she's doomed than it is to risk that she might win anyway.

                  LBJ, Van Cliburn, Ike, Wendy Davis, Lady Bird, Ann Richards, Barbara Jordan, Molly Ivins, Sully Sullenburger, Drew Brees: Texas is NO Bush League!

                  by BlackSheep1 on Wed Mar 05, 2014 at 03:39:14 PM PST

                  [ Parent ]

                  •  There was this guy named Obama who was (0+ / 0-)

                    down by double-digits, back in 2003/04, ISTR.............

                    LBJ, Van Cliburn, Ike, Wendy Davis, Lady Bird, Ann Richards, Barbara Jordan, Molly Ivins, Sully Sullenburger, Drew Brees: Texas is NO Bush League!

                    by BlackSheep1 on Wed Mar 05, 2014 at 03:40:09 PM PST

                    [ Parent ]

      •  My problem with Wendy is her coming out for (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        Udestedt

        open carry and saying she could support a 20 week abortion ban. I think kos has said it a million times - if a D runs like an R the R is going to win. I think she made a huge mistake coming out with those positions. If I lived in TX I would be totally turned off by that. I would vote for her anyway but how many women did she lose with those positions? Women who may not have voted and now have NO REASON TO! She looks like more of the same.

        if a habitat is flooded, the improvement for target fishes increases by an infinite percentage...because a habitat suitability index that is even a tiny fraction of 1 is still infinitely higher than zero, which is the suitability of dry land to fishes.

        by mrsgoo on Tue Mar 04, 2014 at 08:21:26 PM PST

        [ Parent ]

        •  Well... (4+ / 0-)

          it is Texas that we're talking about. Sure, in places like New Hampshire she couldn't really get away with the 20 week thing and open carry as a Democrat, but it's a completely different story in the Lone Star State (this is coming from someone who was born and raised in Texas). Wendy can't just turn out the Democratic base in Texas, she has to appeal to Independents that are tired of Republicans but also don't want a dramatic swing to an ultra liberal state like California.

          Her statement on the 20 week thing was good as she was getting a lot of negative press as simply running for Governor so she could make abortion more liberal (which doesn't even make sense, but this is Texas that we're talking about). By moderating her stance on abortion she can still keep the base energized (especially if you read the context of her 20 week statement) and also appeal to some independents.

          •  We'll see. IMHO it is time to pull out all the (2+ / 0-)
            Recommended by:
            AussieforObama2ndterm, GleninCA

            stops and go full Elizabeth Warren D in all these states. That poll that came out today that says the folks trust the D's on every damn subject but ends with they will stick w/party designation - to me it screams it's time for change.

            if a habitat is flooded, the improvement for target fishes increases by an infinite percentage...because a habitat suitability index that is even a tiny fraction of 1 is still infinitely higher than zero, which is the suitability of dry land to fishes.

            by mrsgoo on Tue Mar 04, 2014 at 10:03:58 PM PST

            [ Parent ]

    •  I'm glad she is talked about (15+ / 0-)

      So much political news coverage here is about republicans......very few democrats get any local press.  At least people know who Wendy is.  

      The republicans have won all statewide elections for ages around here.  Democrats need name recognition in order to start winning races.........and Wendy has name recognition.

      The day the power of love overrules the love of power, the world will know peace – Mahatma Gandhi

      by Texnance on Tue Mar 04, 2014 at 07:51:07 PM PST

      [ Parent ]

      •  I realize she is a long shot, but things happen. (2+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        GleninCA, travelerxxx

        As the saying goes, Abbott could get caught with a live boy or a dead girl!  I'm happy that the deems will at least make the republicans spend money to win.  That's money that won't go to the republican candidate in other more competitive races.

    •  You have to start somewhere (9+ / 0-)

      And in all honesty, there wouldn't be a whole lot of difference in the chances of someone like Chet Edwards and the chances of Wendy Davis.

      Besides, anyone who does a little research knows that Wendy Davis isn't really a national liberal. Republicans just keep pushing limits that are too much for moderate Democrats. Her state senate district is 53% Romney, that should give you an idea of what she is really about.

      27, Male, CA-26, DK Elections Black Caucus Chair.

      by DrPhillips on Tue Mar 04, 2014 at 07:54:28 PM PST

      [ Parent ]

      •  As I said above replying to Xenocrypt (2+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        GradyDem, AussieforObama2ndterm

        My problem is not with what Davis or Texas Dems are doing.

        My problem is the national hype she gets at the expense of so many other Democrats who have a much better chance of winning.  Even if your "thing" is electing more women, then Alison Grimes or Natalie Tennant deserve more attention than Davis.  But somehow Texas is more sexy, and Davis stonewalled an abortion bill so she's "the one."

        46, male, Indian-American, and proud father of a girl and 2 boys, Democrat, VA-10

        by DCCyclone on Tue Mar 04, 2014 at 08:00:55 PM PST

        [ Parent ]

        •  What? Grimes (3+ / 0-)

          Got a lot of national coverage when Mcconnell started calling her names and the ame is true of Wendy Davis it is just that this is the first primary of the year

          Wendy stood up to the Big Boys which is more than I can say for any elder statesMan we have in Texas. Her last election innFt. Worth was hard and she came out swinging and had some great commercials.

          All we want is someone who will fight. Don't forget Elizabeth Warren taught here in Austin and Davis is going to war on our disastrous public schools.

          Sometimes the best man for the job is a woman. This is one of those times.

      •  Obviously she is not (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        mrsgoo

        though her coming-out was such that a lot of people think that. How many red-state Dems make the same kinds of adjustments as she has without any of the hassle?

        I still think Lt. Governor would have been a better bet: brutal GOP primary, powerful job, less resistance to electing a Dem than to the governorship (possibly) plus she had the profile and fundraising to pull it off. The reason she gets the media attention she gets (and wouldn't have gotten for the Lite spot) is because somewhat famous person on a quixotic quest is a newsworthy story. Basically.

        •  My thought also. Lt. Gov is very powerful in TX (1+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          BlackSheep1

          IMHO she should have run for that.

          if a habitat is flooded, the improvement for target fishes increases by an infinite percentage...because a habitat suitability index that is even a tiny fraction of 1 is still infinitely higher than zero, which is the suitability of dry land to fishes.

          by mrsgoo on Tue Mar 04, 2014 at 08:29:44 PM PST

          [ Parent ]

      •  She's also a former Republican (0+ / 0-)

        n/t

        24 Burkean Post Modern Gay Democrat; NM-2 (Raised), TX-20 (B.A. & M.A. in Political Science), TX-17 (Home); 08/12 PVIs

        by wwmiv on Tue Mar 04, 2014 at 08:11:10 PM PST

        [ Parent ]

    •  A couple points (9+ / 0-)

      Look at Davis' record, and she fits the crossover mold a lot better than progressive champion. The national splash put her in a different light, which has both helped and hurt her.

      Second, Texas has some of the worst turnout in the nation. Change will come through GOTV faster than it will from the straight demographic shifts. Having a flag for Battleground Texas to wave helps that GOTV cause.

      Personally, I think Davis in 2014 and Clinton in 2016 will be the tag team that turns things around.

      "It's the (expletive) 21st century man. Get over it." - David Ortiz

      by grubber on Tue Mar 04, 2014 at 08:02:54 PM PST

      [ Parent ]

    •  The math is there... (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      txdoubledd, elmo

      for Texas to turn purple now. It's just that the infrastructure isn't there. Texas hasn't elected a Dem to a statewide office since '94 so the GOTV operation is sorely lacking compared to swing states like Florida or Ohio. So while the demographics are technically in Wendy's favor now, it's up to Texas Dems to really build up a good grassroots organization between now and November if she has a chance at winning. That's where the media and donations come into play.

      Republicans in that state know that as long as they don't do anything dramatic to turn off independents and moderates in their state, they can continue holding the state for awhile to come, but the more Wendy Davis' that we get rising up in the ranks, the less likely it is that Republicans will hold onto the state till the end of the decade.

      •  No, the math really isn't there (3+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        Chachy, jncca, DCCyclone

        24 Burkean Post Modern Gay Democrat; NM-2 (Raised), TX-20 (B.A. & M.A. in Political Science), TX-17 (Home); 08/12 PVIs

        by wwmiv on Tue Mar 04, 2014 at 09:02:49 PM PST

        [ Parent ]

        •  Texas is already... (0+ / 0-)

          a majority-minority state (over 55% of the population are minorities). The only other majority-minority states in the US are California, New Mexico, and Hawaii. In fact, if Hispanics in Texas had the same voter turnout in Texas as they did in the rest of the country, Texas would already be purple.

          However, Texas ranks last in voter turnout and close to last in voter registration, and a large reason for that is because the turnout of minorities is dismal.

          So the numbers are there, but the voter enthusiasm, and turnout is lacking.

          •  Except that once you account for age and (2+ / 0-)
            Recommended by:
            DCCyclone, jncca

            citizenship and other factors of eligibility, Texas is still majority Anglo at around 55% white. That's a huge difference, isn't it? That doesn't even cover turnout disparities.

            24 Burkean Post Modern Gay Democrat; NM-2 (Raised), TX-20 (B.A. & M.A. in Political Science), TX-17 (Home); 08/12 PVIs

            by wwmiv on Wed Mar 05, 2014 at 11:36:02 AM PST

            [ Parent ]

            •  More damaging to us than turnout disparities... (1+ / 0-)
              Recommended by:
              GleninCA

              ...is the partisan disparity.

              White Texans vote more one-sidedly Republican (roughly three-to-one) than Hispanics vote one-sidedly Democratic (roughly two-to-one).

              That's the reverse of what we see in most states, where the respective one-sidedness of whites and non-whites favors us.  In Texas, it hurts us.  So that means more demographic shift is required in Texas (and some other states) than in most of the country to give us a benefit.

              46, male, Indian-American, and proud father of a girl and 2 boys, Democrat, VA-10

              by DCCyclone on Wed Mar 05, 2014 at 12:59:49 PM PST

              [ Parent ]

      •  Could you share your math? (0+ / 0-)

        21, CA-18 (home), CA-13 (school)
        politicohen.com
        Idiosyncratic, pro-establishment. Liberal, not progressive. For the poor, the children, the planet, and the rule of law.
        UC Berkeley; I think I'm in the conservative half of this city.

        by jncca on Tue Mar 04, 2014 at 09:30:30 PM PST

        [ Parent ]

      •  Really? (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        travelerxxx
        Republicans in that state know that as long as they don't do anything dramatic to turn off independents and moderates in their state
        Really?  What in the hell does one have to do to turn off "independents" and "moderates" in Texas?  Sacrifice a baby on the steps of the Texas State Capitol?  What do you think they've been doing in Texas for at least the past 14 years?
        •  Voters in Texas... (0+ / 0-)

          unfortunately have a "good enough" attitude when it comes to deciding whether or not to vote for the other guy in the election. Take for example after the economy tanked in '08. Voters saw that Texas' economy was doing better than most other states in the country and figured it was due to Republican policies (when in fact the state's success was largely due to the abundance of natural resources and the fact that real estate prices didn't crater in the housing crash).

          So those voters think "we're doing pretty good, why rock the boat and vote for the other party?" despite the fact that for years Texas has been slashing funding for education, road and bridges (and putting up toll booths in lieu of freeways), among other things. The Republicans in charge just figured that if you make all of these changes slow enough, not enough people will notice or get angry enough to do anything about it. And unfortunately it's worked...up until now, at least.

  •  So sad that David Watts… (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Zack from the SFV

    …couldn't upend George P. Bush:

    …when Ray Davies penned a campaign theme for him:

    •  While we're talking about music (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      WisJohn

      I find it ironic that, after the Ted Nugent brouhaha, the names of the Republicans in the TX-36 runoff (Babin-Streusand) put together resemble that of a singer (Barbra Streisand) whose political views are the polar opposite of Nugent's.

      38, MD-8 (MD-6 after 2012) resident, NOVA raised, Euro/Anglophile Democrat

      by Mike in MD on Tue Mar 04, 2014 at 08:47:26 PM PST

      [ Parent ]

  •  U.S.S. Voyager crewman Harry Kim badly losing... (11+ / 0-)

    The crucial Hirogen voting bloc in the Democratic primary for Senate. He may have made it back from the Delta Quadrant, but it doesn't look like he's boldly going anywhere in Texas Democratic politics.

    Pragmatic progressive. Oregonian, Cascadian, and American. Keeper of the DKE glossary.

    by SaoMagnifico on Tue Mar 04, 2014 at 08:18:06 PM PST

  •  Does Hurd have a good chance at beating Canseco? (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    BlackSheep1

    If Canseco loses the runoff, TX-23 is off the table for Republicans.  Pete Gallego has been quite skilled, a la Patrick Murphy (the Florida one).

    “The universe is big. It’s vast and complicated and ridiculous. And sometimes, very rarely, impossible things just happen and we call them miracles.” -The Doctor

    by KingofSpades on Tue Mar 04, 2014 at 08:30:23 PM PST

  •  ahhh so it wasn't my imagination... (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Jacob1145, Maverick80229
    Unlike many GOP-held legislative seats, Democrats have fielded candidates in both of these seats.
    I was looking at the NBC 5 Dallas results and I was shocked at how many races had no D challenger whatsoever. How self perpetuating is that? If you're a D in TX why bother to vote when all your choice is one R guy?

    if a habitat is flooded, the improvement for target fishes increases by an infinite percentage...because a habitat suitability index that is even a tiny fraction of 1 is still infinitely higher than zero, which is the suitability of dry land to fishes.

    by mrsgoo on Tue Mar 04, 2014 at 08:34:43 PM PST

    •  I'm a Dem in Texas. Local candidates (0+ / 0-)

      run themselves to death trying to beat the money-machine-backed @$$h0le$ (see Neugebauer, Randy, R -STUPID MEAN & GREEDY).

      I busted it trying to get Bill White elected in 2010. I mean, busted -- 40-60 hours weekly as a volunteer, the 2nd-best volunteer in the Lubbock office (we had everything west of 35 and north of 20, so, yeah, there was a buncha stuff for the one paid guy to do) -- and we were ahead the Sunday before the election, and we won the early voting as well as every major (and most of the nonmajor) papers in Texas' endorsements -- and what happened???

      L'il Ricky fuckin' grabbed gobs of money Monday and we got slammed Tuesday. That's what goddamned happened. It happened to our Senate candidate before that and it happened to our local candidates for Congress then and since, too, and what did the National Democratic Party do?

      Flip us the bird until they wanted our $$$ again.

      LBJ, Van Cliburn, Ike, Wendy Davis, Lady Bird, Ann Richards, Barbara Jordan, Molly Ivins, Sully Sullenburger, Drew Brees: Texas is NO Bush League!

      by BlackSheep1 on Wed Mar 05, 2014 at 09:04:22 AM PST

      [ Parent ]

  •  Looking real bad tonight - The UT/TT poll. (5+ / 0-)

    Rogers by 8? Losing by 26.
    Dewhurst by 7? Losing by 13.
    Medina by 13? Third place, losing by 30.
    Branch by 4? Losing by 11.

    Cornyn, Abbott and Davis races called pretty well, not that there was any doubt on these three.

    "It's the (expletive) 21st century man. Get over it." - David Ortiz

    by grubber on Tue Mar 04, 2014 at 08:41:48 PM PST

  •  Late updates (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    wwmiv, bythesea

    TX-23 (GOP) Hurd caught up to Canseco (now 30 votes ahead).  The former congressman might actually lose the runoff and fail to be the GOP nominee.

    TX-Sen (Dem) Alameel now up to 54%, Rogers at 19%, Scherr at 15%.

    TX-04 (GOP) Hall definitely going to a runoff, leading 46-29% over John Ratcliffe.  Could go either way in the runoff.

    TX-Lt. Gov (GOP) Patrick up 41-28% on Dewhurst.  Game over for the incumbent in the runoff.

  •  So how does turnout look? (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    TrueBlueDem

    This was supposed to be a test for Battleground Texas. No really exciting competitive primaries, but I think they still wanted to make a show of their ability to turn out voters in the primary. How'd they do?

    •  Ha... (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      Jacob1145, TrueBlueDem

      Greg Abbott alone received more than double what the Dem candidates for Gov recieved in total.

      24 Burkean Post Modern Gay Democrat; NM-2 (Raised), TX-20 (B.A. & M.A. in Political Science), TX-17 (Home); 08/12 PVIs

      by wwmiv on Tue Mar 04, 2014 at 09:09:20 PM PST

      [ Parent ]

    •  BGTX: All hat 'n no cattle (0+ / 0-)

      Remember all the hype during the launch of BGTX? Notice how we rarely hear a peep about them anymore, even on progressive blogs like DKos?

      What is really telling is that they have never announced voter registration numbers, despite VR being their primary mission. When OFA was killing it with VR, they boasted "100,000 new registrations in North Carolina", etc. BGTX is run by the same folks and would follow the same pattern if they had any success to report.

      To be fair, Texas is a really, really tough state for this mission, and it will take far more money and volunteers to make a dent there than it does anywhere else. I think "Battleground Georgia" would have been a much better idea.

      (-2.38, -3.28) Independent thinker

      by TrueBlueDem on Wed Mar 05, 2014 at 08:21:40 AM PST

      [ Parent ]

  •  10 incumbents down (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Skaje, wwmiv

    9 in House (7R,2D) and 1 in Senate (R).  Anyone know the backstories?  It seems pretty high for that many incumbents to go down to primary defeat.

    21, CA-18 (home), CA-13 (school)
    politicohen.com
    Idiosyncratic, pro-establishment. Liberal, not progressive. For the poor, the children, the planet, and the rule of law.
    UC Berkeley; I think I'm in the conservative half of this city.

    by jncca on Tue Mar 04, 2014 at 09:31:29 PM PST

    •  Well (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      KingofSpades

      I can speak to HD-76. Gonzalez had legal troubles, Chavez was a former incumbent who was primaried out previously by Gonzalez, and Blanco was the only male running against two females with problems in an area where being male is considered a positive. Blanco also had deep community roots, was both Pete Gallego's and Ciro Rodriguez's chief of staff and had a lot of establishment backing.

      24 Burkean Post Modern Gay Democrat; NM-2 (Raised), TX-20 (B.A. & M.A. in Political Science), TX-17 (Home); 08/12 PVIs

      by wwmiv on Tue Mar 04, 2014 at 09:43:43 PM PST

      [ Parent ]

  •  AP has retracted (0+ / 0-)

    Alameel and Rogers will go to a runoff. Bummer, but Alameel should beat Rogers like a rug.

    Pragmatic progressive. Oregonian, Cascadian, and American. Keeper of the DKE glossary.

    by SaoMagnifico on Tue Mar 04, 2014 at 11:33:51 PM PST

  •  Having just left a bar in Austin .... (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    wwmiv

    FUCKINGSHITTYASSVOTERS!!!!

    Ihateyouallmotherfuckingdouchebags!!!!!!!

    I'm gonna drink more after tonight's results where only Harris County proved not to be insane (amazingly).

    SSP alumni, 29, Male, Democrat, TX-14 Elections Blogger for Burnt Orange Report. Collection of Texas elections diaries can be found here

    by trowaman on Wed Mar 05, 2014 at 12:08:59 AM PST

  •  Well over twice as many voted (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Jacob1145, jncca

    in the Republican gubernatorial primary than the Democratic.  Which is why Davis has little to no chance in November.

    "When dealing with terrorism, civil and human rights are not applicable." Egyptian military spokesman.

    by Paleo on Wed Mar 05, 2014 at 02:59:48 AM PST

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