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Knowing When to Let it Go!

Determined to get the last word, President Obama announced a fresh round of sanctions designed to deter further Russian encroachment into Eastern Ukraine. President Putin targeting a few US Congressional hacks, responded with like sanctions lite.

Although Obama admits future stiffer measures will negatively impact the world's economy, the astute observer knows those sanctions will never rise to the level of damaging Russia, beyond Russia's level of tolerance. We've now entered the subtle stages of a backdoor drawdown.

Since Russia is already on the record for Crimea being the end of the line, everybody can walk away looking strong. Putin gets Crimea, while denying he was ever really there, the West can maintain a united Western front contained Russia's naked aggression and what's left of Ukraine can cozy up to Europe.

If President Obama is smart enough to know when to pull the plug on an operation that's gone badly, Western powers should be in the process of executing their own face-saving exit strategy. In short, Crimea is history, long live Ukraine.

A flurry of security activity, symbolic shows of solidarity and a few more threats of sanctions if the Russians continue behaving badly should just about do it. BTW, sending Vice President Joe Biden on that Baltic handholding tour was a nice touch.

Bottom line: Enough of the games, the business of global governance and economic development needs serious attention. Anything further media generated on this crisis, is not news, its just noise.

Its been fun, but its time to prepare for the collapse of John Kerry's Israeli Palestinian peace talk efforts. Until then, enjoy your spring.

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Comment Preferences

  •  Tip Jar (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Pluto, hlsmlane
  •  In my opinion, sage and constructive advice. (0+ / 0-)
    •  BTW, I just looked at your past here. (0+ / 0-)

      I do believe that you've experienced more utterly bullshit HRs than anyone in Daily Kos history.

      Dude.

      •  Funny you mention that. I'm tempted to drop (0+ / 0-)

        some pie in this diary because we (as well as the American and European politicians) aren't (that) stupid and can learn from history.

        This is Act I.

        re: B.S. HRs -- some people attract them like flies.

        Happy little moron, Lucky little man.
        I wish I was a moron, MY GOD, Perhaps I am!
        —Spike Milligan

        by polecat on Fri Mar 21, 2014 at 08:53:00 AM PDT

        [ Parent ]

  •  Washington Pundits (0+ / 0-)

    Are saying we should kinetically escalate Syria, turn that into a proxy war between the US and Russia.  Take Tartus as punishment
    Then Break off p5+1 talks with Iran, and keep up sanctions, except more.
    And  delay or postpone Israel palestine discussions for some later date.  

  •  Putin can't stop w Crimea unless NATO is kept (0+ / 0-)

    out of Ukraine.   Russia is dead meat other wise -- her ICBM sites are too close to Ukraine and too vulnerable to a surprise attack.

    And "rest of Ukraine" is a hilarious phrase given what a small piece Crimea is compared to mainland Ukraine.
    But then we Americans are known for approving  vicious wars without looking at a map.

    •  Ukraine will end up as a Neutral Zone? (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      amyzex

      I think Putin's move just polarized Ukraine and unless he's got a lot of political grease (like heavily discounted NatGas for one), it isn't going to be business as usual any more.

      Happy little moron, Lucky little man.
      I wish I was a moron, MY GOD, Perhaps I am!
      —Spike Milligan

      by polecat on Fri Mar 21, 2014 at 08:54:37 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

  •  How does the US pull a "face saving move" in (0+ / 0-)

    this case?  

    Had Putin tried the European Tour approach and made Ukraine a deal (coupled with historical precedents), smoothed over by gas prices and an effort to placate NATO members like Poland on the other side, that would have been one thing.

    Instead he re-played Hitler's card from the 30's -- a totally different beast.  I don't think there is a way to actually walk this back post mortem.  Instead he's threatening other things like Iran diplomatic failure and massing troops next to Ukraine.  I'm sure there will be a collision between a Russian vessel and an American one, any day now.

    This is not the act of someone who is going to make JUST ONE move.  I don't think it is appropriate for the US to back down, nor for NATO to be especially happy, especially the Baltics.

    The G8 is about to have a crisis, and just as China's Recession (can you say "Japan Decade?") is about to hit, I think Russia is about to get frozen out.  Might get ugly around here, too, but not as bad as for them.

    Happy little moron, Lucky little man.
    I wish I was a moron, MY GOD, Perhaps I am!
    —Spike Milligan

    by polecat on Fri Mar 21, 2014 at 08:33:42 AM PDT

    •  NATO rolled forward 500 miles with incorporation (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      unfangus, Pluto

      of Poland,etc and it is now trying to roll forward 500 miles more to Putin's front porch.   It has been feeling up Ukraine's skirts for the past decade as its own site notes.

      It is not Russia who is the aggressor here.

      But , hey, let's look on the bright side.  Chuckie Hagel was in Poland in January trying to sell a bunch of Lockheed Martin F16 jet fighters  --and his sales pitch has suddenly gotten a LOT more compelling.

      http://www.defensenews.com/...

      •  regardless of my opinion on NATO and Eastern (0+ / 0-)

        Europe, the notion of a "face saving move" on our (US and Western Europe's) part just doesn't seem to be in the cards.

        Putin has gone so far as to preclude that possibility.

        He's handed a very large GIFT to the MIC.  The Neocons are dancing in the streets.

        Happy little moron, Lucky little man.
        I wish I was a moron, MY GOD, Perhaps I am!
        —Spike Milligan

        by polecat on Fri Mar 21, 2014 at 08:56:46 AM PDT

        [ Parent ]

  •  And did "Yats" ever find and jail those mysterious (0+ / 0-)

    snipers?  The ones that shot the demonstrators.

    I mean, how does one shoot all those people and then go out for a beer?  Has Interpol gotten any wanted posters?
    Whenever Tom Clancy put a "deus ex machina" like that in his novels, we mocked him cruelly.

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