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Being a culturally illegitimate person (bastard, perhaps?), I need to have obscure terms that the culturally hip elite understand instantly.

Stochastic, for example. You look it up and you get a bunch of damn math terms thrown at you:

involving a random variable stochastic process
In terms of math and probability, I can understand that.

Lining it up in the spectrum of synonums and antonyms, stochastic is: problematic, speculative, theoretical, vague were among my favs.

Stochastic is not: certain, definite, factual, proven, reliable, truthful.

It is a given that facts and truth and reality are an elusive thing in the realm of today's corporate media. ABC, CBS, NBC, even to some extent MSNBC, and certainly CNN, have followed like meek little lemmings the reality-challenged dictums of Roger Ailes, Rupert Murdoch, Fox So-called News and the News Corporation (which, as its name clearly indicates, manufactures news).

Truth, reality, are kind of relative... Relative to ...?

In that vein, I just discovered that there is something called Relativity Media LLC (sometimes written as RelativityMedia and Relativity), an American full-scale film studio which acquires, develops, produces, and distributes films and produces television programs. The company has invested $20 billion to date (in partnership with numerous financial institutions) as of 2012 in entertainment investments with partners such as Citibank, Merrill Lynch, Deutsche Bank and others. It is headquartered in Beverly Hills, California. It was founded in 2004 by Ryan Kavanaugh.

Interesting.

So into this muddled realm of stochastic reality, truth, fact, etc., add the horrendously addled state of mental health in the United States of America. There ain't no mental health in America no more. Ronald Wilson Reagan made damned sure of that.

There are a lot of mentally ill people in this country who are not recognized and given adequate treatment. Most of them are of little danger except to themselves.

But, there are some who pose a threat beyond themselves to society in general. Add to that our country is fundamentally unbalanced and insane about guns and ammunition and bombs and assault weapons. We are consumed with utter madness about these things.

Because of that, things that can do grave damage to society and humanity are available to all sorts without check. And, finally, I can point to what I found out about: Stochastic Terrorism

Stochastic terrorism is the use of mass communications to stir up random lone wolves to carry out violent or terrorist acts that are statistically predictable but individually unpredictable.
Statistically predictable. Meaning, you get a bunch of unstable variables you definitely got a chance of what you want to happen happening. You just don't know, or can predict, where or when or why or what it might be that would set off a nutcase with an automatic weapon and a bunch of ammo. You know, Sarah Palin and her little old rifle sight crosshairs focusing on former congresswoman Gabby Gifford.  

And the uncertainty, the unknowingness of it, scare the holy S**T out of everyone. But, best of all, no one can be blamed for loosing the madness.

Originally posted to Karen Hedwig Backman on Thu May 15, 2014 at 01:47 PM PDT.

Also republished by Firearms Law and Policy, Shut Down the NRA, Repeal or Amend the Second Amendment (RASA), and VAGV - Veterans Against Gun Violence.

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Comment Preferences

  •  Thank you, Karen. (4+ / 0-)

    Link to diary currently on Rec list:

    http://www.dailykos.com/...

    Stochastic Terrorism: Triggering the Shooters

  •  Not if, but when and where (3+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    2thanks, Penny GC, wilderness voice

    We won't know who, or where, or why... but we do know this.

    We know that another angry young man, probably white, will plan a massacre at his school. No preparation or repetition of lockdown drills can truly make the school safe because all the students of the school know what the current lockdown procedures involve. School shootings by students and former students are inherently an inside job.

    Very well said, Karen. I really like the way you broke down the language and laid it out in simple terms.

    Especially your close:

    And the uncertainty, the unknowingness of it, scare the holy S**T out of everyone. But, best of all, no one can be blamed for loosing the madness.

    "The pessimist complains about the wind; the optimist expects it to change; the realist adjusts the sails.” — William Arthur Ward

    by LilithGardener on Thu May 15, 2014 at 02:46:00 PM PDT

  •  The unspoken definition is "they make shit (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    2thanks, a2nite

    up" as in "The quants used stochastic methods to set/determine (some parameter of) (some bogus financial instrument). This goes back to an erroneous and incorrect formula that all the financial institutions agreed to use anyway, because agreeing on a value, even if made up, allows the gambling to begin.

    That, in its essence, is fascism--ownership of government by an individual, by a group, or by any other controlling private power. -- Franklin D. Roosevelt --

    by enhydra lutris on Thu May 15, 2014 at 02:46:25 PM PDT

  •  Karen, I published a mini-series on (3+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    2thanks, Penny GC, jan4insight

    stochastic terrorism this morning. I'm going to add you diary to each of the three diaries.

    "The pessimist complains about the wind; the optimist expects it to change; the realist adjusts the sails.” — William Arthur Ward

    by LilithGardener on Thu May 15, 2014 at 02:46:52 PM PDT

  •  Its like putting popcorn in a pan and turning up (5+ / 0-)

    the heat.

    You don't know which kernels are going to start popping but given enough kernels and enough heat you know some will begin to pop.

    Fear mongering + Guns + Potentially unstable individuals = disaster.

    Its as as simple as a math equation. The scary part is if you fill in the variables for fear, guns, and unstable people you get a pretty high disaster solution.

    Join the DeRevolution: We are not trying to take the country, we are trying to take the country back. Get the money out of politics with public financed campaigns so 'Of the People, By the People and For the People' rings true again.

    by fToRrEeEsSt on Thu May 15, 2014 at 03:59:15 PM PDT

  •  No matter how perfect the term is, it buries ... (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    LilithGardener

    ... meaning and the application in this context, in my view. It takes an explanation of diary length (albeit not a long diary) to convey the idea. Once you've thought about it, the term "stochastic terrorism" maps the territory well, but communicating it requires the diary approach. (Which is a defect in many, I think in most, arguments liberals have to use to meet conservatives code-worded phrases. Here's a good concept to know that needs too much explanation.)

    2014 is HERE. Build up the Senate. Win back the House : 17 seats. Plus!

    by TRPChicago on Fri May 16, 2014 at 01:40:53 AM PDT

    •  Here is some shorthand ... (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      a2nite, LilithGardener

      stochastic terrorism: Using words and phrases that are likely to instigate a violent result. To which could be added: although the particular lone wolf actor might not be predictable, violent action is.

      2014 is HERE. Build up the Senate. Win back the House : 17 seats. Plus!

      by TRPChicago on Fri May 16, 2014 at 02:03:55 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  Bill O'Reilly's constant "Tiller the Killer" rant, (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        Karen Hedwig Backman

        connected to the rhyme "Hitler".

        Three potential mass murderers who were intercepted said they were inspired by Beck.

        One or both attacks on the White House during Clinton's term were inspired by G. Gordon Liddy.

        This is the country of those three great rights: freedom of conscience, freedom of speech, and the wisdom never to exercise either of them. -- Mark Twain.

        by JJustin on Fri May 16, 2014 at 09:22:15 PM PDT

        [ Parent ]

    •  You could call it induced random terrorism. (3+ / 0-)
      •  Actually, portmanteau as that is, Yes! (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        LilithGardener

        The perpetrator will wash his hands, bat his eyelids and insist he had No Such Motive!

        But just like the guy who tosses a bottle off the top of the Empire State Building, he must not be heard to say he didn't intend the result.

        The answer to when random terrorism is induced is squishy, I think. Calling for a protest action in lurid and evocative terms and expecting to get a lot of people is - in my view - not enough. Even if it results in an undisciplined mob congregating in a manner that snarls up traffic, say, although repeating such a calling might be vulnerable to an injunction. Showing pictures of an armed cadre of citizens demonstrating for their rights, approving of the "demonstration" and suggesting such action for a specific goal ... this may approach calling for a riot or recklessly endangering potential targets. Here, particular circumstances are determinative.

        In person, such a caller should be discouraged by law enforcement in my view. Weapons are inherently dangerous when used as designed. Even if they are not loaded, lots of folks don't seem to know when their guns have a bullet in them and shouldn't be trusted to know or tell the truth about it.

        In a broadcast, removed from a particular setting or event, what is said and depicted makes a lot of difference, in my view. Showing the use of firearms may well incite people - the mentally ill or "just" individuals committed to extremist views - and validate socially dangerous behavior. If I were chairman of the FCC, I'd propose a rule against such broadcasting, and figure out how to get Congress to cover the cable folks as well.

        What's the difference between a Clint Eastwood movie and a Glenn Beck call to "political" action? Is it like porn - do we know it when we see it?

        Just random thoughts about stochastic terrorizing and irresponsible broadcasting to an increasingly armed citizenry ...

        2014 is HERE. Build up the Senate. Win back the House : 17 seats. Plus!

        by TRPChicago on Fri May 16, 2014 at 08:16:23 AM PDT

        [ Parent ]

        •  Every right is inextricably entwined with (0+ / 0-)

          responsibility.

          It is illegal to yell "THEATER!" in a crowded fire.

          Unless one is on radio or TeeVee.

          This is the country of those three great rights: freedom of conscience, freedom of speech, and the wisdom never to exercise either of them. -- Mark Twain.

          by JJustin on Fri May 16, 2014 at 09:27:37 PM PDT

          [ Parent ]

      •  Totally (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        LilithGardener

        On the mark. Now if you'd come out with that sooner I wouldn't have had to think so hard about math and probability. And stuff.

        •  ^^^^What Karen said! (0+ / 0-)

          Perhaps we can convince TRPChicago to write a follow-up/rebuttal diary making this argument right here, in these few comments.

          Succinct, to the point, and persuasive.

          "The pessimist complains about the wind; the optimist expects it to change; the realist adjusts the sails.” — William Arthur Ward

          by LilithGardener on Fri May 16, 2014 at 04:03:14 PM PDT

          [ Parent ]

  •  Thanks (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    LilithGardener

    I voted Tuesday, May 6, 2014 because it is my right, my responsibility and because my parents moved from Alabama to Ohio to vote. Unfortunately, the republicons want to turn Ohio into Alabama.

    by a2nite on Fri May 16, 2014 at 06:27:39 AM PDT

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