There is an interesting article out by Al Cross from the Louisville Courier-Journal newspaper concerning the McConnell-Bevin primary race in KY. Cross compares a latest Bluegrass Poll to one taken two weeks ago. Seems that McConnell's lead over Bevin has dropped from 32 to 20 points (current poll has McConnell with 55% support to Bevin at 35%). As Cross points out, most of those undecided Republicans will either not show at the polls or vote against McConnell; this does not mean that Bevin has a chance to win the primary, but it means that Bevin may get above 40% of the vote.
In other words, Bevin may end up mauling McConnell, and it seems that McConnell knows this. I have seen more negative ads about Bevin in the last several weeks, and I was wondering if this was just McConnell wanting to really crush his rival and teach a lesson to the Tea Party? Or was it because McConnell was not feeling all that confident about his own showing? Cross points out that McConnell is NOW trying to lower expectations by stating that Bevin may get up to 47% of the vote.
So the best scenario that I was hoping for might happen. While some might have cheered Bevin on to victory from the Democratic side, others have pointed out that Bevin would not have all the negatives that McConnell caries. So Republicans and DINOS in KY would have someone to get excited about this fall. Think Rand Paul's twin brother.
However, I was getting very bummed that Bevin was flaming out. I wanted Bevin to run a better campaign and make McConnell spend more money. Also, McConnell would have to get even nastier against Bevin, and this would piss off more of the Republican base in KY. Instead, Bevin has made several rookie mistakes, and the Koch brothers decided not to invest in Bevin. It looked like McConnell would have an easy victory over the Tea Party. Now, Bevin might do well enough in the primary to humiliate McConnell.
We will see on Tuesday evening.