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I am at work and can't write a proper diary, but here are the numbers that caught my eye.  

HRC 59%

Joe B. 12%

E. Warren 11%

HRC Favorable: 83%

Joe B. 74%

E. Warren 55% (name rec surely plays a role in this. And who is that 7%!!! How can you not like her?)

General Election matchups

HRC 44%

Jeb 39%

HRC 45%

C. Christie 39%

HRC 47%

T. Cruz 40%

HRC 46%

M. Huckabee 42%

HRC 46%

R. Paul 42%

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Comment Preferences

  •  Tip Jar (6+ / 0-)

    New Republic: So are the left-wing blogs as bad as the Tea Party ones in this case? -------------------------Chuck Schumer: Left-wing blogs are the mirror image. They just have less credibility and less clout.

    by AlexDrew on Thu May 22, 2014 at 02:30:14 PM PDT

  •  Meaningless (5+ / 0-)

    I bet a lot of sandwich artists' work isn't really appreciated until after they die.

    I sing praises in the church of nonsense, but in my heart I'm still an atheist, demanding sense of all things.

    by jbou on Thu May 22, 2014 at 02:56:35 PM PDT

    •  They do say that the best (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      jbsoul

      sandwiches are the ones we die making. And isn't that just the way...?

      I've never left a blank space on a ballot... but I will not vote for someone [who vows] to spy on me. I will not do it. - dclawyer06

      Trust, but verify. - Reagan
      Vote, but Occupy. - commonmass

      by Words In Action on Thu May 22, 2014 at 09:34:59 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

  •  And a lot can happen in 2.5 years. (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Free Jazz at High Noon, Odysseus

    What do you think is behind those match-up numbers being closer than you expected?




    Somebody has to do something, and it's just incredibly pathetic that it has to be us. ~ Garcia

    by DeadHead on Thu May 22, 2014 at 03:01:00 PM PDT

    •  She is more polarizing than I want to believe? (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      Odysseus, auapplemac

      A new face wouldn't hurt, but who?

      New Republic: So are the left-wing blogs as bad as the Tea Party ones in this case? -------------------------Chuck Schumer: Left-wing blogs are the mirror image. They just have less credibility and less clout.

      by AlexDrew on Thu May 22, 2014 at 03:35:09 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  You keep asking that question... (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        Odysseus

        And it's a valid one.

        However, many have answered it already in numerous other discussions that have taken place here, much sooner than they should be, imo.

        My choice is Warren.

        I know, I know, she's not running, but she's still my answer to your question.

        What about all the potential candidates other than her who are open to running, you ask? Well, technically, they aren't running either.

        Like HRC isn't. Technically.

        2014 first, please.




        Somebody has to do something, and it's just incredibly pathetic that it has to be us. ~ Garcia

        by DeadHead on Thu May 22, 2014 at 05:15:11 PM PDT

        [ Parent ]

        •  But anyone who is interested on the Dem side (1+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          AlexDrew

          should be making some headlines. Need to build up name recognition. It could be a problem since all the Rs are in front of the cameras all the time.

          Even if not for '16, what about VP or '20 if Clinton does run, but does not win.

          Our bench is very thin if not non existent. Get some energetic younger faces out their so the public can get to know them.

          For the most part all I ever see on the news is Cruz, Paul, JEB, Christie, etc.

          It’s the Supreme Court, stupid! Followed by: It's always the Supreme Court! Progressives will win only when we convince a majority that they, too, are Progressive.

          by auapplemac on Thu May 22, 2014 at 10:39:38 PM PDT

          [ Parent ]

    •  I can guess why you think so ... (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      auapplemac

      It's because Hillary is just another Republican, right?

      Don't be coy!

      I would argue that these numbers are far from meaningless given the fact HRC and those GOP opponents are all pretty well known in Iowa.  I'd bet right now that she beats any of those goobers in that state by 4-7 points, which is fine by me.

      It translates into a national crush job.

      I'll also say -- and I know you hate this -- that if HRC doesn't run for some reason, we have major troubles.  Joe Biden?  The guy's 1,000 years old and looks every day of it (yes I know Hillary is old too but Joe has the geezer-look lately); Warren is a Kos hero the GOP can paint any color they want; the rest are buckets of oatmeal.

      But I guess we will see.

      •  One instance of mind-reading that was... (0+ / 0-)

        Successful.

        Yay!

        You win a cookie.




        Somebody has to do something, and it's just incredibly pathetic that it has to be us. ~ Garcia

        by DeadHead on Thu May 22, 2014 at 05:00:19 PM PDT

        [ Parent ]

      •  Just wrote something similar above about our very (0+ / 0-)

        thin bench.

        We are our young turks that would appeal to the masses?

        It’s the Supreme Court, stupid! Followed by: It's always the Supreme Court! Progressives will win only when we convince a majority that they, too, are Progressive.

        by auapplemac on Thu May 22, 2014 at 10:41:27 PM PDT

        [ Parent ]

  •  Closer than... (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Free Jazz at High Noon, tardis10

    These polls were not taken in Massachusetts.

    Most interesting, somewhat significant because these are the same people in each sample, is that Huckabee and Paul run the best.

    Restore the Fourth! Save America!

    by phillies on Thu May 22, 2014 at 03:30:54 PM PDT

    •  Jeb is only down 5. He is the one I (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      auapplemac

      would keep an eye on.

      New Republic: So are the left-wing blogs as bad as the Tea Party ones in this case? -------------------------Chuck Schumer: Left-wing blogs are the mirror image. They just have less credibility and less clout.

      by AlexDrew on Thu May 22, 2014 at 03:35:57 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

  •  Not sure why it's closer than you expected (6+ / 0-)

    Iowa is the very definition of a swing state. The Cook Partisan Voting Index rates it as D+1. Obama beat Romney by less than 6% in 2012, Bush beat Kerry by less than 1% in 2004, and Gore beat Bush by less than 1% in 2000.

    Bin Laden is dead. GM and Chrysler are alive.

    by leevank on Thu May 22, 2014 at 04:49:20 PM PDT

  •  Mike Gravel would totally kick ass in Iowa. n/t (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    terrybuck

    It's not the side effects of the cocaine/I'm thinking that it must be love

    by Rich in PA on Thu May 22, 2014 at 05:43:44 PM PDT

  •  Iowa (0+ / 0-)

    These numbers are very encouraging given the territory. DKE has described Iowa as light blue. In my mind light blue would mean anywhere from 3-5 points. Anything over 5 points becomes royal blue and not sky or light blue. If HRC were to defeat repub. Jesus by 4-6 points she would win the election  pretty much like BHO did in '08 and '12: when we on PST were in bed early. Foolhardy to expect a much different (bigger margin) result.

  •  Seems like she gets weaker the further West you go (0+ / 0-)

    Colorado is by far her weakest Obama state, but she has strong leads in Ohio and Florida.

    It looks like a westerner like Schweitzer, Nixon, Castro, or Hickenlooper would really help the (hypothetical) ticket.

  •  it appears that the recent smears (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    auapplemac

    on Hillary by Republicans have worked to some extent...while she still leads all Republicans, if my memory serves me correctly, her leads have dwindled a bit.

    Of course, with the entire conservative echo chamber engaged in new character smears by "asking" about whether she suffered brain damage, or her health may be in worse shape than she's leading on or that she's not being honest about the true state of her health...it comes as no surprise.

    Republicans have proven once again that they are good at one thing and one thing only...character assassination. They can't govern. They've proven that, time and again.
    They can't come up with anything new, least of all any good ideas (their answer to everything is to go back to the way things were). They can't pass legislation even when they hold the majority. But they sure are good at...character smears.

    Luckily, Hillary hasn't announced, let alone begun campaigning, but it appears that Republicans' obvious attempts at knocking down her just a bit seem to have worked a bit...for now.

  •  The republicans (0+ / 0-)

    are acting the way they are acting for one reason and one reason only: they are scared to death that HRC will be their opponent and that they cannot and will not beat her. They fear that a 6-8% national margin will translate to a disaster in Congressional, especially Senate, races. This is the only way they know to try to counter the inevitable. Look at the way they tried to smear WJClinton and Obama before they were even nominated.

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