Another day, another poll showing Tea Party Governor Tom Corbett (R. PA) getting his ass kicked by Tom Wolf (D. PA):
http://www.bizjournals.com/...
A Quinnipiac University poll released Wednesday finds Wolf has 53 percent of the vote to Corbett's 33 percent in a poll of 1,308 registered voters that was conducted between May 29 and June 2.
There wasn't much good news for Corbett, with 58 percent of voters saying the first-term governor doesn't deserve to be re-elected. More than half of Pennsylvania voters said Wolf would do better than Corbett on education, the economy, energy and the environment, and health care.
"When only 23 percent of the electorate says their families are better off now than they were four years ago, the crisis of confidence reverberates through the statehouse," said Quinnipiac University Poll Assistant Director Tim Malloy in a prepared statement. - Pittsburgh Business Times, 6/4/14
Here's a little more info:
http://www.post-gazette.com/...
Thirty percent of voters who disapprove of Mr. Corbett, in an open-ended question permitting any answer, point to education as the main reason; 8 percent explain their disapproval for Mr. Corbett’s handling of fracking and the environment.
Nineteen percent of voters who approve of the governor point to the state budget, finance and taxes, and 12 percent cite the economy and jobs.
Mr. Wolf also tops Mr. Corbett on character traits, the poll says. Voters say that Mr. Wolf is honest and trustworthy (50 percent to 16 percent), that he cares about their needs and problems (55 to 18 percent), and that he has strong leadership qualities (58 to 13 percent).
According to the poll, Mr. Corbett gets a split of 42-43 percent on whether he is honest and trustworthy, and a negative split of 35-55 percent on whether he cares about voter needs and problems. Mr. Corbett also gets a positive split of 49-40 percent for leadership.
"There's no good news anywhere for Gov. Corbett," Mr. Malloy said.
According to the poll, voters say Wolf would do a better job than Mr. Corbett on the following policy issues:
• 59 - 26 percent on education;
• 55 - 29 percent on economy and jobs;
• 53 - 29 percent on the energy and environment;
• 50 - 29 percent on health care;
• 49 - 34 percent on taxes;
• 46 - 35 percent on government spending;
• 35 - 31 percent on the issue of abortion.
The poll also shows that voters are divided in their perception of how well Pennsylvania’s economy is doing: 60 percent of voters say that the state economy is "not so good" or "poor," and only 40 percent of voters say that it is “excellent” or “good.” Twenty-seven percent of voters say that they and their families are “worse off” compared to fours years ago, 23 percent say they are “better off,” and 49 percent say they are “about the same.”
From May 29 to June 2, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,308 registered voters with a margin of error of plus or minus 2.7 percentage points. Live interviewers call land lines and cell phones. - Pittsburgh Post-Gazette, 6/4/14
This is the third poll this week to show Wolf with a big double digit lead over Corbett. Rasmussen gave Wolf a 20 point lead on Monday and PPP gave Wolf a 25 point lead yesterday:
http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/...
PPP's first poll of the general election for Governor in Pennsylvania finds a race that isn't remotely competitive. Democratic challenger Tom Wolf leads Republican incumbent Tom Corbett 55/30. Wolf's 25 point lead has more than doubled from the 12 point advantage he had over Corbett on PPP's last poll of the state in November.
The biggest story in the race continues to be Corbett's unpopularity. Only 27% of voters approve of the job he's doing to 58% who disapprove. But Wolf is also proving to be an unusually strong Democratic candidate. He has a +27 net favorability rating, with 47% of voters seeing him favorably to only 20% with a negative opinion. His strong numbers with Democrats (68/10) are unsurprising given his margin of victory in the primary, but even with Republicans he comes close to breaking even at a 29/32 favorability.Wolf is winning over 24% of Republicans while losing just 10% of Democrats to Corbett, and he also has a 43 point lead with independents at 63/20.
One thing voters do agree with Tom Corbett on despite his overall unpopularity is the decision he made not to appeal the court decision legalizing gay marriage in Pennsylvania. 56% of voters say they agree with Corbett's decision to only 33% who disagree. Those numbers come among growing acceptance for gay marriage in Pennsylvania- for the first time in PPP's polling a plurality of voters in the state support it with 48% in favor to 44% who remain opposed. That represents a 20 point net shift on attitudes toward gay marriage in the state over the last two and a half years. In November of 2011 we found just 36% of voters supported it with 52% believing it should remain illegal. - PPP, 6/3/14
Here's what to take away from Quinnipac's poll:
http://www.philly.com/...
The Quinnipiac release says Wolf escaped "apparently unscathed" from the four-way May 20 Democratic primary. It also showed voters disapproved of the job Corbett, a Republican first elected in 2010, is doing by a margin of 55-33 percent, with 58 percent saying he shouldn't be given a second term.
Corbett's policies on education were the biggest reason the registered voters in the poll say they won't vote for him. More than 50 percent of those polled said Wolf would do a better job on that issue, along with the economy and jobs, energy and the environment and health care.
And one line of attack the Republicans have been using on Wolf, noting that he invested $10 million of his own money to win the primary, does not seem to have much impact. Just 10 percent said they would vote against a self-funding campaigner while 20 percent said they would vote for such a candidate and 68 percent said it made no difference. - Philadelphia Daily News, 6/4/14
Keystone Politics also points this out:
http://www.keystonepolitics.com/...
Nobody should get complacent about showing up to vote this November, because Tom Wolf’s victory is by no means assured. We’re going to have a campaign, lots of Republicans are going to come home to Corbett, and lots of right-leaning independents who think they don’t like Corbett right now are going to remember why they hate Democrats.
But it’s still worth pointing out that Tom Wolf’s chances are looking extremely good. Today’s PPP poll showing Wolf winning 55% of the vote was only the latest confirmation of a trend that began way back in February 2013 when Wolf first overtook Corbett in the polls.
The blue vertical line is the date of the Democratic primary, so it looks like Wolf got a nice bounce. Is that going to last?
Well one interesting finding from this poll was that only 79% of Democrats say they support the party’s nominee at this point – a number that will probably end up somewhere around 85-90% by the fall – so it seems perfectly feasible for Wolf to remain at 55% or higher even as lots of right-leaning voters predictably fall away. - Keystone Politics, 6/3/14
All of this news is very encouraging but the election is five months away. Corbett has a big uphill battle ahead of him and the RGA and other outside groups will spend big to get Republicans to come back to Corbett and will trash Wolf. So lets make sure Wolf is ready to win come November. Click here to donate and get involved with Wolf's campaign:
And please do get involved and donate to State Senator Mike Stack's (D. PA) Lt. Governor campaign:
http://www.wolfforpa.com/
http://www.stackforpa.com/