Now, 'Why do you think this?' you may ask.
There are several reasons but the clincher for me was the news that SoS Kerry will be leaving the region soon.
The Obama Administration doesn't want to be seen as being connected to the ceasefire.
I also think that there will be a UN/EU/Arab League border supervisory/advisory/observer mission established.
That's all I've got for now, we'll see soon enough, and time will tell.
Just a note: The Iraqi Kurdish parties finally agreed on a candidate for President of Iraq and he was elected by the Iraqi parliament today.