The ongoing feud between the tea party and establishment factions within the GOP can be likened to spot fires which threaten to fuse into one unconfined, uncontrollable wild fire. Fanning the flames at every opportunity is Senator Ted Cruz.
He first came to public prominence when identified as being at the core of the maelstrom that was the government shutdown of 2013. His part in that disastrous PR stunt made him a tea party hero but put him at odds with the Republican establishment, particularly Mitch McConnell and John Boehner.
Without any understanding of Cruz's extreme psychopathy, they thought to tame him by appointing him vice chair of the NRSC (National Republican Senatorial Committee). That was short-lived. Cruz objected to the NRSC's involvement in primaries (ie, they backed establishment candidates against tea party opponents) and effectively boycotted his own committee. They’d like to get rid of him but he refuses to resign. When setting up the NRSC no-one considered this eventuality, so there's some confusion as to how they would get rid of him and if they can afford the noise this would cause if they did.
That's Cruz in a nutshell; he's not just an irritant, he's a menace. It shouldn't be a problem – after all, he's a freshman senator and just one person but the establishment's reaction to this menace is to be menaced by him.
His strongest ally is Heritage Action which acts like a dictatorial headmaster in scoring all Congressional Republican members. Like an opportunistic charter school, Heritage Action is in it for profit, not for the good of education or, in this case, for profit, not for the good of we the people. Their star pupil is Ted Cruz.
While Cruz's antagonistic attitude is well-known, his actions are unpredictable and often take the establishment by surprise. Therein lies the power of this menace, this singular freshman senator, over the long-term establishment. They've never seen anyone quite like him. In their experience, freshman fall into line fairly quickly and are easily controlled by the leadership (‘leadership’ here meaning anyone who has two terms or more under their political beltway). But not Cruz. Nor does he confine himself to the Senate chambers – in fact his greatest power is in the House.
From Business Insider:
Within the Senate, Cruz is essentially irrelevant. Any... deal that comes out of there will be struck between majority Democrats and a number of more practically-minded Republicans
The only way he can exercise power is as an interloper in House Republican business — and his presence there is not wholeheartedly welcomed.
It certainly isn't welcomed by Speaker John Boehner nor by Majority Leader Eric Cantor (it remains to be seen how Kevin McCarthy responds) whose carefully-laid, crucial plans have been scuttled by Cruz on more than one occasion.
As Salon reports:
“Cruzification” is what happens when the House Republican leadership is prepared to make a relatively realistic opening offer to counter a Senate Democratic proposal, but then Sen. Ted Cruz (you guessed it!) perambulates over to the House side and demands that conservatives there rise up in defiance. Conference support for the opening offer collapses, the leadership is forced to introduce a more right-wing version, and stalemate endures.
The most famous example of Cruzification came during the shutdown debate last September. John Boehner and Eric Cantor were prepared to introduce a continuing resolution to fund the government through December. It included a provision to defund the Affordable Care Act, but was structured in a way that would have allowed Senate Democrats to strip that provision, pass the rest of the bill, and send it to the White House. Ted Cruz and his emissaries warned House conservatives of the ploy, support collapsed, and the bill was pulled. After that, Boehner was forced to go along with conservatives' plan to hold a firm defund-Obamacare line, and a government shutdown ensued.
This is how one freshman senator has been able to sabotage key legislation – and he's just getting started. What are failures for Congress are personal victories for Cruz and his already bloated sense of self-importance and power just increases with each success. His latest efforts have focussed on immigration reform and the border crisis.
From SFGate, Feb 12, 2014:
House Republicans who supported the “principles” of immigration reform floated by Speaker John Boehner, R-Ohio, late last month grumbled Tuesday that the plan was dead on arrival because Cruz blasted it as “amnesty”, spurring a blizzard of negative phone calls to House Republicans.
Privately, some Republicans decried Cruz's indirect intervention in House deliberations with what they viewed as ill-timed remarks that provoked the telephone calling barrage.
But it was enough to scatter the House Republican vote. Faced with considerably depleted numbers on their side, Cantor and Boehner reluctantly folded.
This was the public face to a very serious, down and dirty fight going on behind the scenes. The whole immigration issue wasn't just pitting the tea party caucus against the establishment faction, it was also setting the Chamber of Commerce against Heritage Action. As HA's champion, Cruz's ploy to divide and conquer not only effectively buried immigration reform for the foreseeable future but also dealt a huge blow to the Chamber of Commerce which supports Boehner and McConnell.
On the border crisis, The Washington Post reported:
In the House, Rep. Kay Granger (R-Tex.), who led the House GOP's working group tasked with tackling the issue, shared her team's recommendations during the weekly closed-door meeting of House Republicans. On her way into that meeting, Granger said a vote on her proposals "should happen right now".
An hour before Granger addressed her colleagues,...Cruz spoke at a meeting of the Conservative Opportunity Society at the invitation of the group's chairman, Rep. Steve King -(R-Iowa), a prominent critic of bipartisan efforts to pass comprehensive immigration reform.
"He’s a perfect catalyst and he has a real rapport with conservatives in the House," King said in an interview. "He really wanted to hear from people in the room. He also let us know that anything we send to the Senate, if it comes back, it’s going to be terrible, so we should make sure we’re ready to respond to that."
The Hill takes up the story:
Republicans who huddled with Cruz agree with him.
"He can’t see any way we can initiate legislation in the House that won’t come back to bite us, that will actually end up with worse results," said Rep. John Fleming (R-La.).
"He basically said he couldn’t see how us passing something is going to do anything but create a Trojan horse," said Fleming. "He doesn’t trust [Senate Majority Leader] Harry Reid [D-Nev.]".
Ted Cruz is a grade A1 scam artist and he's selling his snake-oil to House Republicans who can't get enough of it. Cruz knows this and takes advantage of them. King, Fleming and some thirty other House Republicans have now signaled that they won't support the House bill on emergency funding for the refugee crisis and their dissent is directly attributable to Cruz. He conned them yet again.
How he does this is no mystery. His is a forceful personality, far stronger and more devious than those of his House followers. It’s distinctly ironic too that the fear-mongering, distortion and disinformation they sell wholesale to their base also work so effectively on them when wielded by Cruz. They've swallowed their own propaganda whole and are now victims of the same. Pure speculation but I have wondered too how many of them have had private meetings with Cruz in which he’s promised them the VP position when – that would be Cruz's word – he wins the Republican presidential primary. It's not beyond possibility and would be a potent aphrodisiac to the ambitious.
How far will he go? As far as he wants to it seems since no-one has been able to rein him in. That alone should terrify the establishment GOP because Cruz has never forgiven them for surrendering the government shutdown position before the default deadline. He wants that showdown.
At the weekend, pollwatcher posted Impeachment, Suing Obama, Budget Fights, Snatching Defeat From The Jaws Of Victory. The diary considers two contentious issues as possible shutdown triggers: the re-authorization of the Export-Import Bank and the President's proposed rules on coal-fired power plants. While either issue has the potential to lead to a government shutdown, don't be surprised if a third emerges (probably immigration, especially in light of the President's anticipated Executive Order, or the ACA for a repeat performance) bulldozed to the fore by Ted Cruz.
He isn't talking up impeachment because that's not his objective. He's aiming for economic meltdown and though he hasn't the power of numbers to force that cataclysmic outcome, it won't stop him from trying.
He's not up for re-election until 2018 so he has nothing to lose in forcing another government shutdown. He has the powerful Heritage Action at his back and he's not a team player when it comes to political colleagues. To think that he might be concerned how his actions could affect both factions of the Republican Party in the midterms is to underestimate his egomania. Cruz is in it for Cruz.
If he succeeds in precipitating another government shutdown (and he's proved he has the requisite guile for getting his own way), then it will likely result in devastation for the GOP at the following election. With that, the Cruzifiction of Republicans in Congress will be complete.
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