Here's some mixed news from PPP today out of Colorado:
http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/...
PPP's newest Colorado poll finds very close races for both Governor and the Senate. Cory Gardner is up 46/43 on Mark Udall in the Senate race, while John Hickenlooper has a 45/44 advantage over Bob Beauprez in the Governor's race.
Both Democrats are doing well with the groups Democrats tend to do well with in Colorado. Hickenlooper is up 49/39 with women, 60/28 with Hispanics, and 59/31 with young voters. Udall is similarly ahead 46/42 with women, 64/24 with Hispanics, and 59/22 with young voters. The problem for the Democrats is that they are down by significant margins with men- Hickenlooper trails by 10 points, Udall by 11 points- with white voters- Hickenlooper trails by 5 points, Udall by 12 points, and with seniors- Hickenlooper trails by 9 points, Udall by 13 points. The struggles with those groups are largely offsetting their strength with their traditional constituencies.
Udall continues to struggle with his approval numbers, as only 37% of voters think he's doing a good job to 52% who disapprove. Hickenlooper's approval is under water as well, with 43% of voters approving of him and 49% disapproving. Both Republican candidates have narrowly positive favorability ratings- Gardner comes in at 45/42 and Beauprez at 41/39.
For Hickenlooper and Udall's struggles, they may actually be outperforming the overall political climate in the state. Republicans lead by 8 points on the generic legislative ballot, 48/40, a measure that really shows the difficulties Democrats overall are having in Colorado this year. - PPP, 10/21/14
There's also a close race for Treasurer where Walker Stapleton (R) leads Betsy Markey (D) 42/40. Also the Personhood Amendment on the ballot is doomed to fail with on 37% of voters supporting it. So the poll shows Hickenlooper and Udall performing badly with white males, their base is unified behind them. Udall especially has been heavily focused on large female and Latino turnout and reliable internal polling like the Mellman Group (Harry Reid's 2010 pollster) give Udall a 44-41 edge over Gardner. I think both of these races are winnable, we just have to get voters out to the polls. Click here to donate and get involved with Hickenlooper, Udall and Betsy Markey" campaigns:
http://www.hickenlooperforcolorado.com/...
http://markudall.com/
http://www.betsymarkey.com/