Republican Sen. David Vitter
On behalf of the conservative website The Hayride, MarblePort Polling
gives us another look at October Louisiana's gubernatorial jungle primary. Their numbers are below, with their
May results in parentheses:
• Sen. David Vitter (R): 34 (38)
• State Rep. John Bel Edwards (D): 29 (27)
• Public Service Commissioner Scott Angelle (R): 11 (6)
• Lt. Gov. Jay Dardenne (R): 10 (15)
Vitter and Edwards continue to look likely to grab the first and place spots that they'll need to advance to the November runoff. The good news for Angelle is that he is moving up, seemingly at Dardenne's expense. The bad news is that right now, he's still nowhere close to making the runoff.
Retired Lt. Gen. Russel Honoré, a left-leaning independent, says he's likely to decide by July 1 whether he'll run, and MarblePort once again throws him into the jungle primary mix. However, so far he doesn't seem to change much:
• Vitter (R): 33 (34)
• Edwards (D): 27 (26)
• Angelle (R): 10 (6)
• Dardenne (R): 10 (13)
• Honoré (I): 8 (7)
To shake things up, MarblePort gives us our first look at the runoff
since 2014. They test Vitter in one-on-one matchups against each of his foes:
• 50-38 vs. Edwards (D)
• 52-32 vs. Dardenne (R)
• 49-31 vs. Angelle (R)
• 54-29 vs. Honoré (I)
Edwards actually comes the closest, though his 12-point deficit isn't anything to write home about. Dardenne or Angelle may still be able to make things more competitive if they actually got to the runoff with Vitter, since voters would likely be less polarized in a Republican vs. Republican race than a Republican vs. Democratic one. Still, Vitter still looks like the clear favorite to succeed outgoing Gov. and intra-party rival Bobby Jindal.