North Carolina is a Super Tuesday state. Here's the latest from The Old North State.
Clinton 57
Sanders 24
O'Malley <3
Undecided <14
On the Republican side:
Carson 31
Trump19
Cruz 9.7
Rubio 9.7
Bush 4.6
Fiorina 3.4
There's more below.
1,234 landline and mobile phones were called between October 29 and November 2. That places this poll well after the first Democratic debate and the Benghazi hearing. 466 identified as Republican or Republican-leaning , and 514 identified as Democratic or Democratic-leaning.
On the Republican side, Carson and Trump appear to running away with this thing. They're not only the overwhelming first choice of most Republicans, they're also the favorite for second choice. 15% said Carson was their second choice, and 14% said Trump was their second choice. Rubio is up 3, at 14% for second choice, and Fiorina is in free fall, dropping from 11.4% to 4% in the second choice column.
The match-ups are interesting. Only Clinton was tested on the Democratic side:
Clinton 46.6%
Bush 43%
She flipped the numbers on Bush since September, when he led 46-43.
Clinton 44%
Carson 48%
Clinton cut this lead from 11 to 4 since September. Women, who favored Carson 48-44 in September, now slightly favor Clinton, 46-45. The really interesting data point is that support for Carson among blacks dropped from 15% to 7%.
Clinton 48%
Fiorina 42%
Clinton 50%
Trump 40%
Clinton 45%
Rubio 46%
13% of voters polled were between 18 and 30, and another 15% were 31-40. It appears the cell phone calls worked and there's little argument that this poll missed the youth.
Now for some details:
Clinton beats Sanders among women 61-19.
She beats Sanders among blacks 70-13.
Sanders is most competitive among "other," behind by 14 points, at 46-32.
Please allow one little editorial observation from you diarist.
If Sanders doesn't do something to make quick and dramatic changes among African Americans, he is going to done on Super Tuesday or soon thereafter. He can't lose South Carolina, North Carolina, Arkansas, Georgia, Tennessee, and Virginia and come out standing. Kentucky, Louisiana, and Mississippi come up the following week, then Florida and Missouri.