Time for our biweekly check-in with the community, to see where the community stands on the Democratic presidential primary.
|
11/17 |
11/3 |
10/20 |
9/29 |
9/15 |
9/1 |
8/19 |
8/5 |
7/21 |
7/9 |
6/23 |
6/9 |
SANDERS |
57 |
65 |
53 |
62 |
62 |
58 |
58 |
58 |
57 |
67 |
63 |
69 |
CLINTON |
41 |
32 |
41 |
29 |
29 |
34 |
34 |
35 |
36 |
29 |
31 |
24 |
OTHER |
1 |
1 |
1 |
3 |
3 |
2 |
2 |
3 |
2 |
2 |
1 |
3 |
? |
2 |
2 |
2 |
3 |
3 |
3 |
3 |
2 |
3 |
2 |
1 |
2 |
N=
(1,000s)
|
11.5 |
12.3 |
8 |
7.8 |
7.2 |
7.4 |
7.5 |
8.1 |
7.1 |
7.4 |
8 |
14.2 |
As you might recall, the poll was heavily freeped on 11/3, taking what was a 48-48 with around 7,000 votes cast tie into a resounding Bernie Sanders victory 5,000 votes later. Two weeks ago, the freeping effect was far less pronounced, with Sanders leading 55-44 after the first few thousand votes were cast. Given that freeping effects manifest much later into the poll’s life, I’d be comfortable saying that yes, that 48-48 tie is now legitimately back to a double-digit Sanders lead.
So we’re definitely seeing a great deal of instability after months of near-zero movement. Let’s see how things look today.