So we’ve all heard about the House of Ras conducting a poll showing Trump ahead of Clinton by +2 points in a general election. Chilling, right? Or right on schedule (emphasis on “right.”) The notoriously right-leaning Rassmussen polling firm has frequently giving Republican candidates better-than-average poll results.
But like the warming spring breezes and the children getting ready for summer vacation, May is the time of year when Rasmussen gives the Republican presidential candidate a +2 general election edge over the Democratic presidential candidate. It was thus on May 2nd, 2012, that Rasmussen gave a +2 edge to Romney over Obama despite a flurry of polls showing an opposing trend towards Obama. Indeed Rasmussen seems to be in complete denial about the state of the race, showing ties and within-the-margin-of-error leads for the Democrat throughout 2016. In reality however, the polls look even better for Clinton than they did for Obama around this time of year in 2012. Bad news for Trump. Good news for America.