The favorability bounce Donald Trump got from sewing up the Republican presidential nomination appears to be over. In mid-May, Trump was underwater by barely more than 20 points—a disaster for most politicians, but an improvement for Trump. Now the percent of people with unfavorable views of Trump is on the rise again, and by a lot, if a new Washington Post/ABC News poll is a harbinger: It finds that “70 percent of Americans have an unfavorable view of Trump, including a 56 percent majority who feel this way ’strongly.’” Perhaps most significantly, he’s suffering with groups that were supposed to help him:
Trump's net favorable rating (favorable minus unfavorable) among non-college whites has flipped from a plus-14 in May to slightly negative minus-7 in the latest survey. Among independents, Trump's net rating has shifted from from -19 last month to -38 in the latest survey, returning him to roughly the same standing as in April (-37).
This probably shouldn’t be a surprise—it seems like if you polled congressional Republicans, Trump’s favorability would be tanking there, too.
Trump’s unfavorable rating was on the rise even before this poll, so we’ll see if it’s the beginning of a massive collapse for him. The poll was conducted as the controversy over Trump’s attacks on Judge Gonzalo Curiel erupted, but before the Orlando mass shooting. So as more polls come out, we’ll see if Politico's right that Orlando is Trump’s “terrain” and will strengthen his hand.