I’ve been tracking the voter registration numbers in Nevada closely over the past few weeks and the numbers are looking great.
As of the August 2016 report on the Nevada Secretary of State website, released in early September, Democrats had a voter registration advantage of 71,637 among active voters. This is up sharply from January when Democrats had an advantage of just 48,034 among active voters. Among all voters, including inactive ones, the advantage moved from 92,278 in January to 107,576 as of the most recent report from August.
But here’s the kicker: Just since the last report from August, Democrats have netted an additional advantage of 5,563 registered active voters in Clark County (Las Vegas) and 90 in Washoe County (Reno)! And just since the debate last night, there has been a big uptick in Democratic registrations in Clark County. The Clark County website updates its numbers throughout the day and we have netted an additional 300 or so registered voters since Hillary cleaned Donald’s clock yesterday!
Taken together, Clark County and Washoe County contain about 87% of Nevada’s registered voters. Unfortunately, I haven’t come across any other county websites in Nevada which update their voter registration numbers regularly and make them open to the public.
By comparison, in 2012, Democrats had a voter registration advantage of 90,187 among active voters as of election day. Right now, taking into account the latest numbers out of Clark and Washoe counties, Democrats have an advantage of approximately 77,000 statewide. The voter registration deadline is still weeks away (October 18th), so it’s very possible that we could end up with an even bigger advantage among active registered voters than we had in 2012.
If we’re talking about benchmarks, all Hillary has to do is win Clark County by about 8-10 points to win the state as a whole. In 2004, John Kerry won Clark County by just under 5 points which was almost enough to help him carry the state.
Here is a link to the Clark County website, where you can actually watch the numbers increase throughout the day:
www.clarkcountynv.gov/…
Here is a link to the Washoe County website, which updates its numbers less frequently:
www.washoecounty.us/...
And here is a link to the Secretary of State website where you can look at all kinds of statistics from the present and past:
nvsos.gov/...