On behalf of House Majority PAC, the Democratic group Clarity Campaign Labs is out with a poll of California’s 10th Congressional District giving Democrat Michael Eggman a 46-45 lead over Republican Rep. Jeff Denham.
The sample gives Hillary Clinton a similar 41-40 edge in this Modesto seat. Obama won here 51-47 and the district is home to a large Latino population, so it’s a bit surprising the poll has Clinton underperforming. However, the district has a much smaller proportion of college-educated residents than the nation as a whole, so Donald Trump may actually have room to improve on Romney’s performance.
Until recently, there was little outside spending here, and Denham looked likely to win a fourth term. But a few weeks ago, House Majority PAC’s allies at the DCCC launched a $791,000 ad campaign for Eggman. The conservative Congressional Leadership Fund quickly committed a hefty $2 million to this seat as well. Denham pulled off a 53-47 win in 2012 against a highly-touted Democratic foe even while Obama was carrying his seat, so he still won’t be easy to beat. But with both sides spending here and this poll showing a tight contest, an upset isn’t so hard to envision.
If we want to flip the House, we need to win races like this. Please chip in $3 for Michael Eggman today.
Election Day is fast approaching, and we need all hands on deck. With the PCCC and Daily Kos, no matter where you live, you can call key voters in districts where progressive Democrats are in tight races. Click here to get started.