www.tampabay.com/…
Looking at the votes cast so far in Florida on this Halloween day, it's clear Democrats should be spooked. Well, so should Republicans for that matter, since the voting so far points to a razor-thin, too close to call race. A few weeks ago Democrats had every reason to cheer (and Republicans to groan) Democratic improvement in mail voting, today it's clear Democrats still have a lot of vote chasing to do.
Four years ago, Democrats led by about 13,000 in ballots cast at this point, whereas today Republicans lead by nearly 9,000 votes. The great news for Hillary Clinton/lousy news for Donald Trump is that the Hispanic vote has soared -- as in nearly 100 percent -- since four years ago. The bad news for Clinton/good news for Trump is that African-Americans and millenials are voting considerably lighter -- so far - than four years ago.
"Right now, the GOP is ahead of where I thought they would be – albeit not by a lot," Democrat Steve Schale wrote in his excellent analysis of where stuff stands.
Those of you praying for some new Trump scandal rather than focusing on voter turnout (in the Real World) may be shocked that Trump supporters keeping on turning out - despite the Scandal Du Jour and without an actual GOTV effort from Trump.
I would love to get a report from the actual Florida campaign to find out Trump is turning out voters with an actual campaign.