as shown on bottom of screen crawl on MS NBC to begin with Will continue to update
31% very liberal
36% somewhat liberal
27% moderate
9% conservative
note — do NOT presume that all those who are very liberal will necessarily vote for Sanders
16% < 30
21% Black
got some more data from Benchmark:
62% White
16% Latino
1% Asian
Benchmark say White % way down, Black and Latino way up — that sounds good for Clinton, IF those numbers hold up
Make of it what you will
Not seeing data supporting notion of Sanders pulling an upset.
Will continue to add as more info avail, for example
48% want to continue Obama policies
36% want policies more liberal than Obama’s
And will add what they actually discuss below this point
68% energized party
27% divided party
64% think Wall Street hurt economy more than it helps (possibly a positive for Sanders) 29% think it helps
28% Protestant 26% Catholic 25% None (no figure given for Jewish, which I’d like to see(
On CLinton as Pres 42% Optimistic, 26% concerned, 22% excited
On Sanders as Pres 36% optimistic, 26% excited, 25% concerned
Tuesday, Apr 19, 2016 · 9:33:49 PM +00:00 · teacherken
Would you vote for Clinton if she is Dem nominee
definitely 65%
probably 20%
not vote for her 13% (which I note is <16% of sample <30)
adding data for Sanders
definitely 59
probably 21
not vote for him 18%
looks like this may be more of an issue for Sanders than we have been hearing. His total positive is 80, hers is 85. Of greater importance his not vote for him is 50% higher than hers
NOTE: this is a personal observation. Based on what I am seeing, but remembering that most upstate counties did not open until Noon, I still think Clinton will win by double digits. Percentage of <30 could go up when Tompkins County (Ithaca) and Endicott County (Binghampton) are included. But looking at education states, looking at percentage of Black vote, I think a solid Clinton win.