Note: This was originally posted to The Full Slate Project blog. District profiles in most red districts in Virginia with a Democratic challenger can be found and searched for there.
A Democratic candidate is challenging for the District 30 seat for the first time since 2013. Republican Nick Freitas currently holds this district. Freitas was able to secure 13,563 in this uncontested district in the last cycle.
THE ANNOUNCED DEMOCRATIC CANDIDATE IS ANNETTE HYDE
DISTRICT 30 FAST FACTS
Residents = 80,010
Active Registered Voters = 47,356
Percent Registered = 59%
Total Vote in Last Race = 13,854
Participation Rate = 29%
Total Vote for Republican = 13,563
Total Vote for Democrat = 0
Total Vote Other = 291
Localities = Culpeper, Madison and Orange Counties
District 30 is made up of 31 precincts with 12 in Culpeper County, 10 in Orange County, and 9 in Madison County. The interesting thing about this district is that the Republican tally is pretty stable no matter condition. Over the last 5 campaigns, the vote total the Republican caught ranged from this 13,500 total to 15,000. It did not matter if there was a Democrat on the ballot or if it was a gubernatorial year or not. The nice thing about that is that it gives you a solid number to hit to secure a victory in this district. You usually do not see such stable numbers given the varied circumstances from race to race.
Let's take a turn to some charts.
Here is the share of Active Voters by Locality: