This diary is a comprehensive list of all known/expected/special elections for federal and state-level offices in the United States (plus some other oddly-timed elections). This diary will be edited/updated as information comes in. This list aims to include all special elections, both primaries and generals, as well as other elections that are oddly-timed (such as Wisconsin’s supreme court elections in April). This diary also mentions a few other elections (e.g. major primary dates, mayoral elections, etc.), but doesn’t cover them in detail.
A “Quick List” (Google Doc) summarizing only the federal/state special elections where party control is actually being contested, can be found by clicking here.
This list is maintained by Glenn Magus Harvey, using information from a variety of sources. Here are some of them — check them out!
- Ready2Vote, a really useful site that has a list of special elections and Democratic/progressive candidates. Run by 1WestCoastLiberal.
- Mattrek’s blog and his frequent comments elsewhere mentioning upcoming special elections
- Daily Kos Elections’s databases of presidential vote by legislative districts: 2012 with maps and Obama/Romney numbers and 2016 with Clinton/Trump numbers
- other DKE datasets, including the DKE post-2016 special election results tracker
- Ballotpedia, which basically has almost everything you need to know about districts, incumbents, fundraising, voting records, voting procedures, “trifectas”, and much more. Here’s their 2018 special elections page.
- the Blue Midterm subreddit
- OurCampaigns.com, which has lots of past election results
A new edition of this Comp List will be published every few months. In the meantime, though, as elections are held, I’ll scratch out things that are over or no longer apply, by editing the diary. Special elections can be scheduled and held on short notice, so check back often.
SUMMARY TIMELINE
Past elections, June: [MON] June 4: CT-HD04 | June 5: CA-BOE4 [jp/50%], ☹️CA-SD29 [rc]☹️, CA-SD32 [jp/50%],CA-AD39 [r], CA-AD45 [r], 🎉MO-SD17🎉; mayoral elections in San Francisco, CA (special) and Torrance, CA and many other CA cities; primaries in AL, CA, IA, MS, MT, NJ, NM | June 12: 🎉WI-SD01🎉, WI-AD42; mayoral elections in Bismarck, ND and Minot, ND; mayoral recall election in Waterville, ME; primaries in ME, NV, SC, SD, VA
2018
- June 19: FL-MDCC5 [r](np)
- June 26: primaries in CO, MD, OK, UT, and primary runoffs in MS, SC
- [SAT] June 30: TX-27 [jp/50%]
- July 10: MS-HD77 [jp/50%](np)(nD)
- July 17: primary runoffs in AL
- July 31: MS-HD77 [(r)](np)(nD)
- August 2: mayoral elections in TN municipalities: Shelby County, Murfreesboro, Cleveland
- August 7: KS-SD13 [p], MI-13 [p], MI-SD02 [p], MI-HD68 [p], OH-12
- August 14: AR-SD08 (nD), MN-SD13 [p], SC-SD20 [p]; primaries in WY
- August 21: primaries in AK
- August 28: mayoral elections in Auburn, AL and Gadsden, AL; mayoral election in Juneau, AK
- November 6: Regularly-scheduled elections for U.S. Senate, U.S. House, many statewide positions, many state senate seats, and all state house of representatives seats in most states, and an immense number of local elections, PLUS…
- the following notable but obscure regular-term races: AL-SupCt Chief Justice, AL-SupCt Place 4
- ...the following special elections for terms whose next regular election is beyond 2018: FL-SD23, FL-SD25, HI-SD19 (aD), KS-SD13, LA-SoS, LA-HD33, LA-HD90, MN-Sen-B, MN-SD13, MS-Sen-B [jp/50%](np), NJ-SD38, NJ-AD38A, NJ-AD38B, SC-SD20, UT-SD08, PLUS…
- ...the following special elections for lame duck sessions: MI-13, MI-SD02, MI-HD68, PA-07 (old), PA-15 (old), TX-HD62
- (I don’t know how terms work yet): CT — Fairfield Probate Court, North Central Probate Court
- November 27: MS-Sen-B [(r)]
- December 8: LA-SoS [(r)], LA-HD10 [(r)], LA-HD33 [(r)], LA-HD90 [(r)]
- Soon to be scheduled: NY-25, OK-01, TX-SD19
- Expected to be vacant, but not yet: TX-SD06
2019
- February 12: WI-SupremeCourt [p](np) (open seat)
- April 2: WI-SupremeCourt (np) (open seat)
Vacancies to be filled in regular elections: AL-HD83, FL-SD16, FL-HD33, FL-HD90, MA-SDHampshireFranklin&Worcester, MA-HD1stHampshire, NH-HDBelknap5, NH-HDHillsborough15, NH-HDHillsborough37, NH-HDHillsborough42, NH-HDMerrimack27, NH-HDRockingham8
Legend
- Bold indicates any elections that can be the final election to fill a seat (such as general elections, jungle primaries with thresholds for outright wins, etc.), excluding no-Dem and all-Dem/unopposed-Dem elections.
- Underline means the seat was previously Repub-held. These are seats to “flip” (i.e. “offense”).
- Italics means the seat was previously Dem-held. These are seats to “hold” (i.e. “defense”).
- In the results, 🎉SEATNAME🎉 means the seat changed from R to D! (☹️SEATNAME☹️ for D to R.)
- [p] = primary election. If there’s a number, it means the vote share a candidate needs to win outright. (General elections have no special mark.)
- [jp] = jungle primary. If there’s a number, it means the vote share a candidate needs to win outright.
- [r] = runoff.
- [(r)] = runoff will be held only if no one got past the threshold.
- [rc] = recall election. These may follow different rules depending on the state.
- (np) = no party labels on the ballot for candidates in this election (a.k.a. “non-partisan”). Depending on local laws, this may also mean that candidates aren’t allowed to identify their partisan affiliation (though election observers like us certainly can).
- (uD) = unopposed Democrat. Election will still be held, as write-ins might still qualify.
- (aD) = all candidates in this election are Democrats.
- (nD) = no Democrats filed for this election.
More details on these elections below the fold…
Election descriptions will be listed under the date of the final election (general, jungle primary with threshold for outright win, recall election, etc.). (Tags will not be added for vacancies to be filled by the regular election.)
JUNE
[MON] June 4: CT-HD04
CT-HD04: Southern and downtown Hartford (city), including Sheldon Charter Oak, South Meadows, Barry Square, and part of downtown. Incumbent Angel Arce (D) resigned on April 9 due to inappropriate text messages with teenage girl. Writ of election issued April 19. Obama 92.5% Romney 6.9%; Clinton 88.06% Trump 9.25%, last election (2016) D 87.11% R 12.89%. Candidates: Hartford city council majority leader Julio Concepción (D, officially endorsed candidate) vs. Jessica Inacio (D, petitioning candidate) vs. Hartford police detective Bryan Nelson (R). Julio Concepción (D) — facebook.com/… . Jessica Inacio (D, petitioning candidate). Result: Concepción (D) 464, Inacio (petitioning D) 206, Nelson (R) 36, Mary Sanders (write-in i) 12.
June 5: CA-BOE4 [jp/50%], CA-SD29 [rc], CA-SD32 [jp/50%],CA-AD39 [r], CA-AD45 [r], MO-SD17; and mayoral elections in San Francisco, CA (special) and Torrance, CA and many other CA cities; primaries in AL, CA, IA, MS, MT, NJ, NM
CA-SD29: East of Los Angeles, north of Santa Ana, west of Riverside: parts of Los Angeles, Orange, and San Bernardino counties; Cypress, Stanton(?), part of Anaheim(?), Fullerton, La Habra, Brea, Rowland Heights, Walnut, Placentia(?), Yorba Linda. Incumbent Josh Newman (D) faces a recall election, which in California probably means two ballot questions, a yes/no on recall and an if yes, who else question. Obama 48.7% Romney 49.1%, Clinton 53.46% Trump 40.84%, last election D 29.19% D 26.80% R 44.01% / D 50.39% R 49.61% (2016), D 44.9% R 55.1% (2012). Next regular election November 2020. Josh Newman (D) - newmanforsenate.com, Click Here to Donate to Josh Newman, Click Here to Volunteer for Josh Newman, www.facebook.com/... , twitter.com/… ☹️Results pending, but Newman lost the recall.☹️
CA-SD32: Parts of Los Angeles and Orange counties: Montebello, Commerce, Pico Rivera, Hacienda Heights, Whittier, La Habra Heights, South Whittier, Santa Fe Springs, Downey, La Mirada, Norwalk, Cerritos, Buena Park. Incumbent Tony Mendoza (D) resigned due to sexual misconduct allegations. Clinton 66.54% Trump 27.88%, Obama 64.2% Romney 33.7%, last elections D 52.3% R 47.7% (2014 runoff), D 59.6% R 40.4% (2013 special). 9 Democrats and 2 Republicans filed: Pico Rivera mayor/commissioner and businessman Bob Archuleta (D), retired peace officer Rudy Bermudez (D), carpenter and boxing coach David Castellanos (D) Montebello mayor and housing advocate Vanessa Delgado (D), businessman/educator John Paul Drayer (D), entrepreneur/publisher/writer Darren Joseph Gendron (D), former state senator and public school teacher Tony Mendoza (D) of Artesia (yes, he’s the former incumbent), former Montebello mayor and current councilwoman and business owner Vivian Romero (D), Rio Hondo College board president Vicky Santana (D), former Artesia mayor and current councilman and financial advisor Ali Taj (D), businessman/pastor Ion Sarega (R), small business owner Rita Topalian (R). If no one gets 50%, runoff on August 7. Next regular election November 2018. Results pending, but it will likely be Vivian Romero (D) vs. Rita Topalian (R).
CA-AD39: Northern/northwestern parts of Los Angeles; part of Los Angeles County: Sylmar, Kagel Canyon, San Vernando, Pacoima, Arleta, Lake View Terrace, Sunland-Tujunga, Shadow Hills, Sun Valley, North Hollywood. Incumbent Raul Bocanegra (D) resigned following sexual harassment allegations. Obama 73.7% Romney 23.7%, Clinton 74.64% Trump 19.80%, last election (2016) had six D and no R running. Science educator/commissioner Luz Maria Rivas (D) vs. business owner Ricardo Antonio Benitez (R). Next regular election November 2018. Luz Maria Rivas (D) — https://www.luzforassembly.com/ Results pending, but Luz Rivas (D) won easily.
CA-AD45: Western end of the San Fernando Valley; parts of Los Angeles and Ventura counties: Bell Canyon, Canoga Park, Northridge, Reseda, Tarzana, Encino, Hidden Hills, Calabasas. Incumbent Matt Dababaneh (D) will resign due to sexual misconduct allegations. Obama 63.5% Romney 34.1%, Clinton 67.36% Trump 27.39%, last election D 66.39% R 33.61% (2016). Constitutional rights attorney Jesse Gabriel (D) vs. Justin M. Clark (R). Next regular election November 2018. Jesse Gabriel (D) — https://jesseforassembly.com/ Results pending, but Jesse Gabriel (D) won easily.
MO-SD17: Suburbs north of Kansas City; part of Clay County: North Kansas City, Randolph, Birmingham, Claycomo, Gladstone, Pleasant Valley, Liberty, Nashua. Incumbent Ryan Silvey (R) resigned to MO Public Service Commission. Clinton 44.58% Trump 49.00%, Kander 57%, Obama 46.9% Romney 51.1%, last election D 38.74% R 61.26% (2016). Currently certified candidates: state rep. Lauren Arthur (D-MO-HD18), state rep. Kevin Corlew (R-MO-HD14). Filing deadline April 12 at 5 pm local time. Next regular election November 2020. Lauren Arthur (D) - www.arthurformissouri.com , Click Here to Donate to Lauren Arthur , Click Here to Volunteer for Lauren Arthur, www.facebook.com/…, twitter.com/… 🎉Result: Arthur (D) 60%, Corlew (R) 40%.🎉
June 12: WI-SD01, WI-AD42; mayoral elections in Bismarck, ND and Minot, ND; mayoral recall election in Waterville, ME; primaries in ME, NV, SC, SD, VA
WI-SD01: Around the Door Peninsula and east and south of Green Bay, in northeastern Wisconsin; Door and Kewaunee counties, and parts of Brown, Calumet, Manitowoc, and Outagamie counties: Washington Island, Sister Bay, Egg Harbor, Sturgeon Bay, Brussels, Algoma, Luxemburg, Kewaunee, Denmark, Maribel, Mishicot, Two Rivers, Morrison, Wayside, Little Rapids, Brightstown, Brillion, Kilberly, Sherwood, Harrison, Stockbridge, Kloten. Incumbent Frank Lasee (R) resigned on December 29, 2017 to serve as administrator for Wisconsin Dept. of Workforce Development’s Worker’s Compensation Division. Clinton 38.51% Trump 56.19%, Obama 47.0% Romney 51.9%, last election D 38.4% R 61.6% (2014). Gov. Scott Walker (R) had to be court-ordered to schedule this special election. Door County Corporation Executive Director Caleb Frostman (D) faces the winner of a 2-way R primary on May 15. Next regular election November 2018. Caleb Frostman (D) — www.calebfrostman.com, Click Here to Donate to Caleb Frostman, Click Here to Volunteer for Caleb Frostman, Facebook page Result: 🎉Frostman (D) 51% Jacque (R) 49%!🎉
WI-AD42: Large district north of Madison in south-central Wisconsin; Parts of Columbia, Dane, Dodge, Fond Du Lac, Green Lake, and Marquette counties: Fairwater, Brandon, Alto, Atwater, Fox Lake, Randolph, Manchester, Endeavor, Douglas Center, Briggsville, Anacker, Dalton, Pardeeville, Cambria, Fall River, Lowville, Morrisonville, Dekorra, Lake Wisconsin, Lodi, Dane. Incumbent Keith Ripp (R) resigned on December 29, 2017 to serve as assistant deputy secretary of the Wisconsin Dept. of Agriculture, Trade, and Consumer Protection. Clinton 40.26% Trump 54.51%, Obama 51.1% Romney 48.0%, last election D 41.34% R 58.66% (2016). Gov. Scott Walker (R) had to be court-ordered to schedule this special election. Lodi city alderperson and academic advisor Dr. Ann Groves Lloyd (D) and (withdrawn candidate?) Nicholas Schneider (D) are candidates in the May 15 D primary; there is also a 4-way R primary on May 15. Next regular election November 2018. Ann Groves Lloyd (D) — www.annforwisconsin.com, Click Here to Donate to Ann Groves Lloyd, Click Here to Volunteer for Ann Groves Lloyd, Facebook page
Result: Groves Lloyd (D) 45%, Plumer (R) 53%, Rubenstein (i) 2%.
June 19: FL-MDCC5 [r](np)
Miami-Dade County Commission, District 5 (FL-MDCC5): Incumbent Bruno Barreiro (R) resigned to run for FL-27. Eileen Higgins (D) vs. Zoraida Barreiro (R). Officially nonpartisan runoff, but will determine party control of Commission.
June 26: primaries in CO, MD, OK, UT, and primary runoffs in MS, SC
June 30: TX-27 [jp/50%]
TX-27: Blake Farenthold (R) resigned due to settling a sexual harassment lawsuit using taxpayers’ funds. Clinton 36.52% Trump 60.07%, last election D 38.31% R 61.69% (2016). Jungle primary will feature 3 Dems, 3 Repubs, 1 Libertarian, and 2 independents. (Not sure if jungle primary or separate primary...rules may be different between special and regular elections.) Eric Holguin (D) has already won the Dem primary for the regular term.
JULY 2018
July 10: MS-HD77 [jp/50%](np)(nD)
MS-HD77: Incumbent Andy Gipson (R) was appointed Agriculture Commissioner. Qualifying deadline May 21. Jungle primary July 10; runoff if necessary July 31. Next regular election November 2019. No Dems filed; candidates are Hayes Patrick (R), Price Wallace (R), Chris Purdum (R), Cemper Scott (R), and Cliff Brown (R).
July 17: primary runoffs in AL
July 31: MS-HD77 [(r)](np)(nD)
AUGUST 2018
August 2: mayoral elections in TN municipalities: Shelby County, Murfreesboro, Cleveland
August 7: MI-13 [p], MI-SD02 [p], MI-HD68 [p], OH-12
OH-12: A C-shaped district with a long tail, north and east of Columbus: Delaware, Licking, and Morrow counties, and parts of Franklin, Marion, Muskingum, and Richland counties; includes such locations as Mansfield, Mount Gilead, Delaware, Sunbury, Powell, Westerville, Johnstown, New Albany, Heath, Hebron, and Zanesville. Incumbent Pat Tiberi (R) resigned to join the Ohio Business Roundtable. R+7 PVI, Clinton 41.89% Trump 53.16%, Obama 43.89% Romney 54.37%, last election D 29.8% R 66.6% G 3.6% (2016). Current candidates: seven Democrats including Franklin County Recorder Danny O’Connor (D) and Franklin County Sheriff Zach Scott (D); eleven Republicans including state senators Kevin Bacon (R) and Troy Balderson (R); Joe Manchik (G); Jonathan Veley (i). Next regular election November 2018.
August 14: AR-SD08 (nD), MN-SD13 [p], SC-SD20 [p]; primaries in WY
AR-SD08: Around and south of Fort Smith? Incumbent Jake Files (R) resigned due to charges of wire fraud, bank fraud, and money laundering. Last elections unopposed (2014, 2012). Filing deadline March 1, primary May 22. Candidates: attorney William Whitfield Hyman (L), former state rep. Frank Glidewell (R), former state sen. Denny Altes (R). State rep. Mathew Pitsch (R) looks like he’ll only be running in the regular November election. No Dems filed.
August 21: primaries in AK
August 28: mayoral elections in Auburn, AL and Gadsden, AL, mayoral election in Juneau, AK
SEPTEMBER 2018
(no national or state special elections have been scheduled yet this month)
OCTOBER 2018
(no national or state special elections have been scheduled yet this month)
NOVEMBER 2018
November 6: U.S. Senate, U.S. House, many statewide positions, many state senate seats, and all state house of representatives seats in most states, and an immense number of local elections. Plus the following elections:
NOVEMBER 6 REGULAR ELECTIONS — noteworthy but obscure
AL-SupCt Chief Justice: Incumbent Lyn Turner (R) got primaried out by crazy Tom Parker (R) who supports Roy Moore (R). Clinton 34.36% Trump 62.08%, Obama 38.36% Romney 60.55%. Bob Vance (D) is running here. Full term lasts until 2024.
AL-SupCt Place 4: Incumbent James Allen Main (R) is retiring. Clinton 34.36% Trump 62.08%, Obama 38.36% Romney 60.55%. Donna Wesson Smalley (D) vs. Jay Mitchell (R). Full term lasts until 2024.
NOVEMBER 6 SPECIAL ELECTIONS: Regular Terms Beyond 2018
FL-SD23: Sarasota County, Charlotte County (part). Incumbent Greg Steube (R) is running for congressional seat FL-17. Clinton 41.25% Trump 55.80%. Next regular election November 2020. Filing deadline June 22, primary August 28, general election November 6.
FL-SD25: Martin, St. Lucie, Palm Beach (part) counties. Incumbent and state senate president Joe Negron (R) will resign in November due to term limits(?). Clinton 42.88% Trump 54.46%. Next regular election November 2020. Filing deadline June 22, primary August 28, general election November 6. Retired physician Rob Levy (D) vs. state rep. Gayle Harrell (R).
HI-SD19: West of Honolulu and its airport; O’ahu County (part): Ewa Villages (part), Ewa Beach, Iroquois Point. Incumbent Will Espero resigned May 31 to run for lieutenant governor. Next regular election 2020. Clinton 52.39% Trump 40.70%, Obama 63.9% Romney 35.0%, last election D 61.60% R 38.40% (2016). Filing deadline already passed. Temporary senator to be appointed until seat is filled in this year's special election. Candidates: Veronica Duzon (D) of Ewa Beach and state rep. Matthew S. LoPresti (D-HI-HD41) of Ewa Beach; no Republicans.
KS-SD13: Southeastern corner of Kansas; Cherokee and Crawford counties and parts of Bourbon and Labette counties, including Walnut, Mulberry, Arma, Girard, Frontenac, Pittsburg, West Mineral, Columbus, Galena, Chetopa, and Baxter Springs. Incumbent Richard Hilderbrand (R) was appointed in 2017; prior incumbent Jacob LaTurner (R) was appointed state treasurer. Full term lasts until 2020 elections. Primary August 7; general November 6. Clinton 29.76% Trump 64.28%, Obama 40.5% Romney 57.1%, last election D 43.85% R 56.15% (2016). Union carpenter Bryan Hoffman (D) of Mulberry vs. Richard Hilderbrand (R) of Galena.
LA-SoS: Statewide. Incumbent Secretary of State Tom Schedler (R) will resign on May 8 due to making “aggressive sexual overtones” to an employee. Clinton 38.45% Trump 58.09%, Obama 40.58% Romney 57.78%, last election (2015) D 37.8% R 62.2%.
LA-HD10: Northwest Louisiana, east of Shreveport, up to the state line; Webster Parish, Bossier Parish (part): Springhill, Cullen, Sarepta, Shongaloo, Cotton Valley, Pace, Minden, Dixie Inn, Sibley, Doyline, Yellow Pine, Heflin, Elm Grove, McDade. Incumbent (and former minority leader) Gene Reynolds (D) took job as assistant secretary of the Office of State Parks on June 4, 2018. Clinton 33.42% Trump 64.66%, Obama 36.0% Romney 62.8%, last election unopposed (2015), D 54.7% R 45.3% (2011).
LA-HD33: Incumbent Mike Danahay (D) was elected mayor of Sulphur. Part of Calcasieu Parish: including the state border, Starks, Vinton, Sulphur, Mossville, and Carlyss. Obama 19.6% Romney 78.1%, Clinton 14.35% Trump 81.68%, last elections (2015, 2011) Dem unopposed. The southwest Louisiana district is historically Democratic, but went 78% for Bill Cassidy (R) in 2014. Les Farnum (D) is apparently regarded as a strong candidate. (h/t to alloverthefield for the numbers!)
LA-HD90: Incumbent George Gregory “Greg” Cromer (R) was elected mayor of Slidell. Part of St. Tammany Parish: northeast of Lake Pontchartrain, including Pearl River, Alton, Wimbledon Estates, and Slidell (part). Obama 27.5% Romney 70.5%, Clinton 26.33% Trump 69.50%, last elections unopposed (2015), only R opposition (2011). The district went 65% for Cassidy in 2014, and is not historically Democratic. (h/t to alloverthefield for the numbers!)
MN-Sen-B: Minnesota statewide race. Incumbent Al Franken (D) resigned due to allegations of sexual misconduct. Appointed incumbent Tina Smith (D) will run to complete his term. Clinton 46.88% Trump 45.34%, Obama 52.84% Romney 45.12%, last election D 53.15% R 42.91% I 2.4% L 1.5% (2014). Next regular election November 2020.
MN-SD13: Areas mainly west of St. Cloud: parts of Stearns and benton counties, including Sartell, St Stephen, St Wendel, St Anna, Avon, Collegeville, St Joseph, Rockville, Cold Spring, Richmond, Roscoe, Paynesville, and Kimball. Incumbent Michelle Fischbach (R) resigned to become lieutenant governor. Clinton 29.58% Trump 63.66%, Obama 41.0% Romney 57.2%, last election D 31.33% R 68.67%. Primary August 14. Next regular election 2020; seat determines control of state senate. Stearns county commissioner and former Sartell mayor Joe Perske (D) is running.
MS-Sen-B: Mississippi statewide race. Incumbent Thad Cochran (R) will resign April 1 for health reasons; a placeholder will be appointed, and then a special election with a nonpartisan ballot will be held to complete the term. Clinton 40.11% Trump 57.94%, Obama 43.79% Romney 55.29%, last election D 37.89% R 59.90% Reform 2.21% (2014). Runoff election November 27 if necessary. Next regular election November 2020. Candidates: Toby Bartee (D) of Gautier, former U.S. secretary of agriculture Mike Espy (D), appointed incumbent U.S. senator Cindy Hyde-Smith (R), state senator Chris McDaniel (R).
NJ-LD38: Northeastern New Jersey; parts of Bergen and Passaic Counties: Paramus, Oradell, New Milford, Bergenfield, Maywood, Lodi, Hasbrouck Heights, Glen Rock, Fair Lawn, Hawthorne. Clinton 53.18% Trump 43.82%, Obama 54.5% Romney 44.5%. Specials for all three seats (SD38, AD38A, AD38B).
- NJ-SD38: Incumbent Bob Gordon (D) resigned to serve on the state Board of Public Utilities. Seat has been temporarily filled by the appointment of then-Assemb. Joseph Lagana (D). Next regular election November 2021. Last election D 57.06% R 42.94%. (2017).
- NJ-AD38A, NJ-AD38B: Prior incumbent Joseph Lagana (D) resigned to be appointed to the state senate, and was replaced by Chris Tully (D); prior incumbent Timothy Eustace (D) resigned to serve as deputy director of North Jersey District Water Supply Commission, and was replaced by Lisa Swain (D). Last election D 29.30% D 29.23% R 20.49% R 20.48%; combined D 58.53% (2017). Next regular election November 2019.
SC-SD20: Strangely long district stretching from the core of Columbia to rural areas far northwest; parts of Lexington and Richland counties: Woodhill Estates, center-city Columbia, Seven Oaks, Irmo (part), Lake Murray of Richland, and from White Rock and Peak (part?) to the Broad River, at the district's northwestern end. Incumbent John E. Courson (R) indicted October 18, 2017 on criminal conspiracy and statutory misconduct, pled guilty and resigned June 4, 2018. Obama 44.3% Romney 53.9%, Clinton 45.69% Trump 47.55%, last elections G 25.14% R 74.86% (2016, D withdrew), D 38.1% R 59.1% (that same G 2.7%) (2012). Primary August 14, regular election November 6. Former state Democratic Party chair Dick Harpootlian (D) wil run. Next regular election 2020.
UT-SD08: A district around southern Murray and Cottonwood Heights (in the SLC metro area, about thirty miles south of the city proper), which has elected moderates from both parties in the past. Clinton 45.11%, Trump 31.89%, McMullin 16.93%; Obama 40.4% Romney 56.5%, last election D 42.76% R 57.24%. Prior incumbent Brian Shiozawa (R) was appointed to a position with the Trump administration; Gov. Gary Herbert appointed state rep. Brian Zehnder (R) to fill the seat, but there will be a special for a term lasting until a regular 2020 election. More info here. The Democratic candidate will be Utah State Board of Education member and Granite School District teacher Kathleen Riebe (D), while appointed incumbent Zehnder (R) faces a primary challenge from Jaren Davis (R). (h/t to Gygaxian for the numbers!)
NOVEMBER 6 SPECIAL ELECTIONS: Lame Duck Terms
(note: winner may get seniority bonus!)
MI-13: Part of Wayne County: Dearborn Heights (part), Detroit (part), Ecorse, Garden City, Highland Park, Inkster, Melvindale, Redford Township, River Rouge, Romulus, Wayne, Westland. Incumbent John Conyers (D) resigned due to sexual harassment allegations. D+32 district; Clinton 79% Trump 18%, Obama 85% Romney 14%, last election D 77.1% R 15.7% L 3.7% Working Class Party 3.4% (2016). Filing deadline April 24, primary August 7. As of March 15, 10 Democrats and 0 Republicans have filed to run. Concurrent regular election for full term.
MI-SD02: Part of Wayne County: Mexicantown, New Center, Highland Park, Hamtramck, Harper Woods, Grosse Pointe Woods, Grosse Point, Grosse Point Park. Incumbent Bert Johnson (D) resigned after pleading guilty to theft. Clinton 77.38% Trump 19.94%, Obama 80.4% Romney 19.2%, last election D 71.6% R 24.8% i 3.6% (2014). Filing deadline April 24, primary August 7. Concurrent regular election for full term.
MI-HD68: Part of Ingham County: the core of Lansing, minus Fabulous Acres for some reason, and also stretching down to include Willoughby Park. Incumbent Andy Schor (D) was elected mayor of Lansing. Clinton 69.86% Trump 24.09%, Obama 74.22%, Romney 24.64%, last election D 72.99% R 21.52% L 5.48% (2016). Filing deadline April 24, primary August 7. Concurrent regular election for full term?
PA-07 (old): Incumbent Pat Meehan (R) resigned on April 27, and said he'd pay back the public money he used to settle a sexual harassment claim. Special likely on election day and using old district lines. Concurrent regular election for full term.
- Mary Gay Scanlon (D) (also running for full term in similar district in new map)
PA-15 (old): Incumbent Charlie Dent (R) has announced he will resign in May. If there’s a special it’d be under the old district lines, presumably, and probably on election day in November. Concurrent regular election for full term.
- Susan Wild (D) (also running for full term in similar district in new map)
TX-HD62: TX-HD62: Northeastern Texas, at the Oklahoma border, plus a funny boot; Delta, Fannin, and Grayson counties: Whitesboro, Denison, Sherman, Whitewright, Bonham, Telephone, honey Grove, Cooper. Clinton 20.89% Trump 76.05%, Obama 24.7% Romney 73.5%, last elections unopposed R (2016, 2014), D 24.3% R 75.7% (2012). Incumbent Larry Phillips (R) resigned on April 27, no reason given. Election scheduled for November 6. Concurrent election for full term.
November 27: MS-Sen-B [(r)]
DECEMBER 2018
December 8: LA-SoS [(r)], LA-HD10 [(r)], LA-HD33 [(r)], LA-HD90 [(r)]
Looking ahead to 2019
February 12: WI-SupremeCourt [p](np)
April 2: WI-SupremeCourt (np)
WI-SupremeCourt: Incumbent Shirley Abrahamson is retiring. Primary election February 12. Officially non-partisan election.
Soon to be scheduled?
NJ-AD05A: Camden and some points south; parts of Camden and Gloucester counties: Camden, Bellmawr, Deptford Township, Wenonah, Mullica Hill. Clinton 62.87% Trump 33.90%
Obama 69.4% Romney 29.5%. One assembly seat open — incumbent Arthur Barclay (D) resigned following an arrest for assault in a case of domestic violence. Last election D 34.60% D 32.55% R 16.76% R 16.10%, total D vote share 67.15% (2017).
NY-25: Part of Monroe County, centered on Rochester. Incumbent Louise Slaughter (D) passed away. D+8 PVI, Clinton 55.5% Trump 39.1%, Obama 58.8% Romney 39.4%, D (with WF, WEP) 54.39% R (with C, I, Reform) 33.84% (2016)
OK-01: Tulsa metro area — Tulsa, Washington, and Wagoner counties, plus parts Rogers and Creek counties. Incumbent Jim Bridenstine (R) resigned on April 23 to become NASA administrator.
TX-SD19: A vast district along the Mexican border that also reaches both New Mexico (without touching El Paso) and San Antonio; includes all of Brewster, Crockett, Dimmit, Edwards, Frio, Kinney, Maverick, Medina, Pecos, Real, Reeves, Terrell, Uvalde, Val Verde, and Zavala counties, and parts of Atascosa and Bexar counties: Angeles, Orla, Pecos, Balmorhea, Fort Stockton, Alpine, Altuda, Marathon, Terlingua, Lajitas, Rosenfeld, Sanderson, Dryden, Sheffield, Iraan, Pandale, Ozona, Juno, Langtry, Del Rio, Carta Valley, Rocksprings, Bracketville, Leakey, Concan, Uvalde, Crystal City, Carrizo Springs, Catarina, Dilley, Pearsall, Pleasnton, and parts of San Antonio. Incumbent Carlos Uresti (D) resigned June 18, 2018 due to a criminal conviction for corruption. Clinton 53.83% Trump 42.27%, Obama 54.7% Romney 44.2%, last election D 55.87% R 40.43% L 3.70% (2016). Next regular election 2020.
TX-HD52: North/northeast of Austin; part of Williamson County: Round Rock, Georgetown (part), Norman Crossing, Hutto, Taylor, Coupland (part?). Incumbent Larry Gonzales (R) resigned in June 2018; he was not running for re-election anyway. Clinton 46.12% Trump 47.56%, Obama 42.6% Romney 54.9%, last elections R 75.51% L 24.49% (2016), D 38.5% R 56.4% L 5.1% (2014). Next regular election 2018.
Expected to be vacant, but not yet
TX-SD06: Incumbent Sylvia Garcia (D) is running for congressional district TX-29. Next regular election 2020.
Vacancies to be filled in regular elections
AL-HD83: Parts of Lee and Russell counties. Incumbent George Bandy (D) passed away. Special election will not be called. www.al.com/…
FL-SD16: Incumbent Jack Latvala (R) (who would have been termed out anyway) resigned because he was running for governor and facing a sex scandal. Last elections unopposed (2016), unopposed in general (2014), D 37.2% R 62.8%. NOTE: May not have been under the same district lines. Special election will not be held; seat to be filled in regular election. www.tampabay.com/...
FL-HD33: South of Ocala; Sumter County — Wildwood, Webster, Bushnell. Incumbent Don Hahnfeldt (R) passed away. Last elections unopposed (2016, 2014, 2012). Seat to be filled in regular election.
FL-HD90: Part of Palm Beach County: Boynton Beach (part?), Aberdeen, Atlantis, Greenacres (part). Incumbent Lori Berman (D) resigned to run for FL-SD31. Obama 63.0% Romney 36.4%, Clinton 59.38% Trump 38.20%, last elections D 79.54% L 20.46% (2016), unopposed (2014), D 67.7% R 32.3% (2012). Seat to be filled in regular election.
MA-SDHampshireFranklin&Worcester: Incumbent Stan Rosenberg (D) will resign May 4 due to mishandling his husband’s sexual misconduct cases. Seat to be filled in regular election.
MA-HD1stHampshire: Incumbent Peter Kocot (D) passed away. Last elections unopposed (2016, 2014, 2012). Seat to be filled in regular election.
NH-HDBelknap5: Incumbent Michael Maloney (R) resigned to...move to Maine, apparently. Seat to be filled in regular election.
NH-HDHillsborough15: two-seat district. Incumbent Thomas Katsiantonis (D) resigned following theft and tax evasion charges. Last regular election (2016) produced D 28.12% D 21.13% R 26.08% R 24.67%, electing one D one R. Special election (2017) for other seat after R incumbent passed away; D 50.5% R 49.5%. Now this seat is up too. Seat to be filled in regular election.
NH-HDHillsborough37: non-floterial district covering largely small-town/rural areas east of Nashua, including Hudson and Pelham, with 11 members (currently 9 R, 1 L). Incumbent Shawn Jasper (R) resigned to become state agriculture commissioner. Obama 42.9% Romney 56.0%, Clinton 38.52% Trump 56.84%, last election (2016) saw 11 Republicans elected (one changed party to L later), defeating 9 Democrats. Seat to be filled in regular election.
NH-HDHillsborough42: Incumbent Kendall Snow is retiring. Seat to be filled in regular election.
NH-HDMerrimack27: floterial district covering wards 1, 2, 3, 4, 6, 7 of Concord, with 2 seats. One incumbent Dem, other incumbent Harold “Chip” Rice (D) passed away. Obama 67.6% Romney 31.1%, Clinton 59.08% Trump 35.11%, last elections unopposed (2016), D 40.5% D 34.8% R 24.5% (2014). Seat to be filled in regular election.
NH-HDRockingham8: (floterial?) district with 9 seats. Eight incumbent Repubs, remaining seat previously held by Ronald Belanger (R) who passed away. Last elections saw 9 Republicans beating 6 Dems (2016), 7 Dems (2014), 9 Dems (2012). Seat to be filled in regular election.
PA-SD28: Incumbent Scott Wagner (R) resigned to run for governor. Seat to be filled in regular election.