The Darkest Winter
The pace of deaths and cases is still increasing since my last post. With cases skyrocketing past 190K cases a day, deaths surpassing 2,000 a day, and possibly 3,000 very soon.
Deaths
10K: April 4th
20K: April 10th (6 days to reach total)
30K: April 14th (4 days)
40K: April 19th (5 days)
50K: April 23rd (4 days)
60K: April 29th (6 days)
70K: May 5th (6 days)
80K: May 9th (4 days)
90K: May 16th (7 days)
100K: May 26 (10 days)
110K: June 4th (10 days)
120K: June 18th (14 days)
130K: June 30th (12 days) — a little faster due to NJ adding probable deaths
140K: July 15th (15 days)
150K: July 26th (11 days)
160K: August 4th ( 9 days)
170K: August 13th (9 days)
180K: August 22nd (9 days)
190K: September 3rd (12 days)
200K: September 15th (12 days)
210K: September 28th (13 days)
220K: October 12th ( 14 days)
230K: October 25th (13 days)
240K: November 5th (11 days)
250K: November 14th (9 days)
260K: November 20th (6 days)
270K: November 27th (7 days)
280K: December 3rd (6 days)
290K: December 7th (4 days)
Currently averaging 10K deaths every 8.55 days (doesn’t include the time to reach first 10K). Death rate is increasing. We are at the rate when this pandemic started in March/April when New York was reporting over 1K dead a day. With cases surging to 190K cases a day, the death rate is going to increase rapidly.
We are going to crash through 300K deaths by December 12th. Maybe hit 400K by January 20th.
Total Cases:
100K: March 27th
1M: April 27th (31 days)
2M: June 7th (42 days)
3M: July 6th (29 days)
4M: July 21st (15 days)
5M: August 6th (16 days)
6M: August 27th (21 days)
7M: September 18th (22 days)
8M: October 11th (23 days)
9M: October 27th (16 days)
10M: November 6th (10 days)
11M: November 13th (7 days)
12M: November 19th (6 days)
13M: November 25th (6 days)
14M: December 1st (6 days)
15M: December 7th (6 days)
Case growth is surging. 200K+ cases a day on some days. We are hitting a million cases in less than a week!
I use www.worldometers.info/…
Other sources:
Nytimes: 282,989
Washington Post: 282K
Covid Tracking project: 273,374
CNN: 283,010
NBC: 283,275
IHME: 251,013
Johns Hopkins: 282,300