Democrats have now become the favorites to win the Senate according to the RacetotheWH Senate Forecast, which was one of the most accurate in the nation in 2020. They have a 62% chance of securing another term with a majority.
They’ve made considerable ground since Roe v. Wade was overturned. Two standouts are PA & AZ. In Pennsylvania, Lieutenant Governor Fetterman now has a 78% chance of beating Celebrity Doctor Mehmet Oz. That’s up from just 60% in May. In Arizona, former Astronaut Mark Kelly has rocketed ahead of Blake Masters in recent polls, and has a big lead in fundraising. That’s changed the race from a tossup to one that Leans Democratic.
Here’s the link for the full forecast.