I hope this has not been diaried yet.
New ARG polls in FL, OH, & PA are looking good for Kerry.
Florida 10/25 (10/5)
Kerry 49 (47)
Bush 46 (45)
Ohio 10/25 (10/6)
Kerry 49 (48)
Bush 47 (47)
Pennsylvania 10/25 (10/6)
Kerry 50 (48)
Bush 47 (46)
All movement well within the MOE, but at least we appear to be holding slight leads in all 3 states with just a week left to go. From these numbers, it looks as though we're likely to pick up all 3. Anywhere that Kerry is tied with Bush at this point, will probably be blue.
Also it should be noted that the internals show Bush & Kerry holding their base each in the upper 80s and Kerry winning independents by 6-8%. That's the formula for a Kerry victory if I ever heard one.