Sam Youngman of PoliticsNH
has a roundup of New Hampshire political analaysts and pundits
who speculate
on some of the things that could happen in January in New
Hampshire. Since falling back from his peak at 45%, Dean has
remained in the 37% range with most of the movement being
between Kerry and Clark on who will finish second and third.
A Gephardt win in Iowa could change his numbers dramatically as
it did in 1988 when he jumped 8 points which appears to be his
only chance at emerging in New Hampshire. Political science
professor Dante Scala speculates on what
will be the jumping ship factor in the final days. Liberals and
progressives could abandon Dean, Edwards and Lieberman supporters
could give up and move to another candidate, supporters of
Kerry's campaign could jump ship as well if his numbers continue
to fall.
Rob is the
founder and editor of the progressive news site robwire.com and is a
frequent contributor to rob.dailykos.com