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LA-Sen: Is that Ensign I hear weeping?

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Tue Aug 19, 2008 at 03:26:19 PM PST

Rasmussen. 8/14. Likely voters. MoE 4.5% (7/9 results)

Landrieu (D) 53 (49)
Kennedy (R) 37 (44)

Landrieu has been up on the air the last several weeks, pounding the crap out of Kennedy, and the results are pretty obvious. Remember, this is the GOP's only chance to pick up a Senate seat this year. And their one and only chance is currently a 16-point deficit. Yup, it's one of those years for those guys.

I mean, this is where this race ranks, per Rasmussen's latest polling:

State Incumbent   Margin over challenger

 NM    Open (R)      -26
 VA    Open (R)      -21
 AK    Stevens (R)   -13
 CO    Open (R)       -8
 NH    Sununu (R)     -6
 GA    Chambliss (R)  +6
 OR    Smith (R)      +6
 MN    Coleman (R)    +7
 MS    Wicker (R)     +9
 KY    McConnell (R) +10
 NC    Dole (R)      +11
 TX    Cornyn (R)    +11
 ME    Collins (R)   +15
 LA    Landrieu (D)  +16

Rasmussen hasn't polled the Idaho or Oklahoma Senate races, or we probably would've seen both those states tighter than Louisiana. But per Rasmussen polling alone, there are 13 Senate races tighter than the Louisiana one. (South Dakota, their other supposed target, puts Republicans at a 25-point disadvantage against Democratic incumbent Tim Johnson.)

Race tracker wiki: LA-Sen

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Tags: LA-Sen, Louisiana, Senate, 2008, Mary Landrieu, John Kennedy (all tags) :: Previous Tag Versions

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