Check out this new poll(pdf):
http://www.economist.com/media/pdf/YouGovl.pdf
It shows Kerry with a 1% lead over Bush among both registered and likely voters.
And giving the lie to the stories in the NeoCon Times and the WaPo about the "troubling gender gap" among woman, Kerry has a 10 Point Lead among woman: 50% to 40%.
Why does the Economist hate America?
This polls was conducted 9/20-22 with a very large sample. As a result it has a low margin of error of just 2%.