While yesterday's numbers indicated that Saturday had been a monster day for Kerry, it appears that the pundits have been successful in convincing us that the convention was a net negative.
Kerry hit a 49-45 lead on Sunday, the highest percentage Ras has reported since the tracking poll began. But that number went down today.
Monday August 02, 2004--The latest Rasmussen Reports Presidential Tracking Poll shows Senator John Kerry with 47% of the vote and President George W. Bush with 46%. The Tracking Poll is updated daily by noon Eastern.
Today is the first Tracking Poll data based entirely upon interviews conducted after John Kerry's speech at the Democratic National Convention. The results reflect a one-point improvement for the Kerry/Edwards ticket. That's well within the survey margin of error and also reflects a two-point net decline from the poll results immediately prior to Kerry's speech.
Rasmussen also does a Gallup face-off:
If we compare the same polling nights as Gallup's pre-and post convention polls, Rasmussen Reports data shows that Kerry had a negative bounce of one-point during that time frame. Our data also shows a slight negative bounce over the time frame measured by Newsweek.
Kerry continues to hold a lead. But despite a positive, well-run convention, it appears that the media spin (Democrats = whiners) continues to trump reality.