Research 2000 for Daily Kos. 5/31-6/4/2009. All adults. MoE 2% (5/25-29/2009 results):
| FAVORABLE | UNFAVORABLE | NET CHANGE |
---|
PRESIDENT OBAMA | 65 (67) | 30 (29) | -3 |
| | | |
PELOSI: | 31 (30) | 57 (58) | +2 |
REID: | 31 (30) | 54 (53) | 0 |
McCONNELL: | 21 (22) | 62 (60) | -3 |
BOEHNER: | 14 (15) | 64 (64) | -1 |
| | | |
CONGRESSIONAL DEMS: | 40 (39) | 52 (53) | +2 |
CONGRESSIONAL GOPS: | 11 (12) | 73 (72) | -2 |
| | | |
DEMOCRATIC PARTY: | 49 (49) | 44 (43) | -1 |
REPUBLICAN PARTY: | 20 (21) | 72 (71) | -2 |
Full crosstabs here. This poll is updated every Friday morning, and you can see trendline graphs here.
Worth noting regarding the numbers for the President—almost the entirety of the polling was conducted prior to President Obama's well received address in Cairo, so we will have to wait until next week’s tracking poll in order to gauge any public reaction to that event.
That said, President Obama’s numbers remain high, softening only by a slight margin. Perhaps not surprisingly, the largest dip in his numbers came courtesy of GOP voters, where his approval/disapproval is now down to 14%. 91% of Democrats approve of the president, as do 72% of Independent voters. The wide gulf between the blue/green trendlines and the red trendline below tells you just about everything you need to know:
Meanwhile, the Republican Party's numbers continue to search for their basement. Congressional Republicans now sit at 11% approval, with more than two-thirds of voters disapproving. The party-at-large does little better, with only 20% approval. Clearly, the Republican Party's efforts to raise themselves up by tearing Obama and the Democrats down has yet to pay any real dividends.
There is some good news for Democrats in these numbers, even though almost all of the movement in the poll was incremental. Nancy Pelosi’s numbers seem to have finally hit the floor, and even rebounded ever so slightly. Also, the Democrats continue to build on their already formidable lead in the 2010 generic congressional ballot test:
Would you like to see more Republicans or Democrats elected to Congress in 2010? (5/28 in parentheses)
Democrats 41% (41%)
Republicans 27% (29%)
Not Sure 32% (30%)
If there is one thing that could give Democrats pause in this week’s polling numbers, it is the high level of undecideds on that generic ballot test, something we have seen ever since this question was introduced a few weeks back. Clearly, the voters are still in “wait and see” mode.
It is equally clear, however, that the Republicans “all obstruction, all the time” gambit is not paying them any electoral dividends, as of yet.
Voter optimism, while still miles ahead of where it was last year, has softened a little bit against this week. The right track/wrong track metric now stands at 45/50. Remember that two weeks ago, for the first time in a long time, the right track/wrong track numbers were dead even:
Republicans continue to see the world quite differently than the rest of America. This is especially true on the Sotomayor nomination. DailyKos/Research 2000 polled on that issue, and Markos will be along a little later with some very eye-opening numbers to that end.