Not up at PollingReport yet - I bagged these from the Drudge site.
CNN/Time poll of 1330 registered voters
Horse race (MoE = 4.7 percent)
Dean 14
Clark 12
Lieberman 11
Kerry 9
Gephardt 6
Edwards/Sharpton 5
Trial heats (MoE = 2.7 percent): Bush v ...
Clark 49/42 +7
Kerry 49/41 +8
Dean-Gep-Lieberman 52/39 +13
Edwards 52/38 +14
This looks pretty much like most other national polls for the last several weeks, except for the Gepper's poor showing, probably an outlier number. Dean retains a narrow national lead, but no sign of pulling away.
The trial heats against Bush don't mean much in themselves, though they follow the usual pattern that Clark and Kerry start out in a slightly better position than the others. "Electability" has far more to do with perceptions of how well a candidate can stand up to the Rove machine, and to counterpunch.
Still, as tenuous as these numbers are, I think they underline an important strategic point. There is a small but crucial segment of the electorate, 1-3 percent, whose votes will turn on national security. Given a Democrat who puts them in a comfort zone on defense issues, they will vote Dem. Lacking that assurance, they fall back to Bush.
No need to belabor the implications of this ...
-- Rick Robinson