The President’s Council of Advisors on Science and Technology (PCAST) released a report assessing H1N1 preparations. The recommendations are here, full report here.
The Federal Government’s preparations for 2009-H1N1 flu have been well-organized and are scientifically grounded, according to the report by the President’s Council of Advisors on Science and Technology (PCAST), which assembled a subcommittee of experts on influenza and public health for the purpose. (PCAST is an independent group of leading scientists from academia and industry administered by the Office of Science and Technology Policy in the Executive Office of the President.) But some aspects of those preparations could and should be improved or accelerated, the group concluded.
This is a high-powered advisory group, and the assembled input came from all over the country, inside and outside government (including my two cents worth.)
The report concludes that the 2009-H1N1 flu is unlikely to resemble the deadly flu pandemic of 1918-19. But in contrast to the benign version of swine flu that emerged in 1976, the report says the current strain "poses a serious health threat" to the nation. The issue is not that the virus is more deadly than other flu strains, but rather that it is likely to infect more people than usual because it is a new strain against which few people have immunity. This could mean that doctors’ offices and hospitals may get filled to capacity.
We'll manage, but schools will continue to be a topic of focus and concern.
"As this PCAST report notes, it is not possible to predict how the 2009-H1N1 influenza virus or the upcoming influenza season will play out, but it is best that we plan and prepare for a resurgence of H1N1 flu," said Homeland Security Secretary Janet Napolitano. "HIN1 influenza has the potential to affect virtually every aspect of our lives, from our economy and national security to our education system. It may not be possible to stop influenza, but we can reduce the number of people who become severely ill by preparing well and acting effectively."
"Schools, child care facilities and institutions of higher learning will not only play a key role in helping to mitigate the transmission of the flu this fall but will also play a significant role in promoting critical public health information," said Secretary of Education Arne Duncan. "I am happy to report that we are well on our way to implementing many of the recommendations for schools found in this comprehensive report and have joined with our partners across government to roll out guidance for K-12 and Institutions of Higher Learning over the past two weeks."
Communication and vaccine remain the power tools in the toolbox, but timing is everything. Expect to hear more locally about swine flu vaccination starting in mid-October, and get your seasonal flu shot now.