Here's the races we're considering polling this weekend. You guys make the final call. The top two vote getters will get polled. Note that we will poll KY-Sen next weekend, the one before the election.
Arizona Governor
At least one poll shows a tightening race, but Rasmussen begs to differ. It would be nice to get our own look into whether the odious Jan Brewer is really in danger of losing her reelection bid.
Arizona 7th
There's word that progressive caucus chair Raul Grijalva is in serious trouble. It'd be nice to verify.
Arizona 8th
Is freshman Rep. Gabby Giffords in trouble in this border district? In a massive GOP wave, you'd expect Democrats to lose this district. GOP seems to think it's in play.
California 45th
This is Republican incumbent Bono Mack's district, where rumors have it that a spirited third-party teabagger may be a factor, putting this seat in play. The Democrat has a lot of money, has run a solid race, and has the right profile to be competitive. Like last week's shocking results out of AZ-03 there are probably several more sleeper races where the incumbent is lagging, and they're not all Republicans.
Florida 12th
This is an R+6 open seat in mid-Florida that hasn't been much on anyone's radar. Stu Rothenberg rates it as a tossup-tilt R, and seems to be competitive thanks to a credible Tea Party candidate on a third-party ballot line. This could be another potential Democratic pickup.
Florida 22nd
This is the district for sophomore Democratic Rep. Ron Klein, who is a fairly conventional dude. It's his opponent that's getting all the attention -- the literally insane Allen West. West was kicked out of the military for torturing an Iraqi prisoner, and is now a member of a biker gang known for trafficking in meth, prostitution, and homicide.
West is getting the kind of attention usually reserved for the Michelle Bachmanns' of the GOP. It'd be nice to see if he has an actual chance of getting elected.
Nebraska 2nd
This is the Nebraska district that Obama won in 2008, grabbing an improbable electoral vote from the state. Incumbent Rep. Lee Terry barely hung on that year, and we've got another great candidate in the race. If this race is close, there's a case to be made that election handicappers are underestimating the number of potential GOP targets.
New Hampshire
We have a supposedly tightening governor's race and two neck-and-neck contests in both the 1st and 2nd congressional districts. The Senate race has seemingly gotten away from the Dems, but with other states tightening, might we see the same thing here? So yeah, this would be a poll of NH-Gov, NH-Sen, NH-01, and NH-02. If this wins, we poll nothing else.
North Dakota-At large
While a Blue Dog, Rep. Earl Pomeroy has one of the most progressive voting records vis a vis his district. He's not the best vote, but he certainly delivers more than what we should expect. After showing big leads for Pomeroy's GOP rival for some time, Rasmussen now shows essentially a tied race and then mysteriously stopped polling it. A Democratic internal back in September showed a narrow Democratic lead, but still pretty much tied.
One last note of interest -- this is one of probably only TWO districts nationwide, in which the incumbent is running ads TOUTING his vote for the health care bill. As every other endangered Democrat runs for the hills, Pomeroy is owning his vote. It would be great to see how that's playing.
Ohio 16th
Freshman Democratic Rep. Boccieri is considered the strongest of the Ohio freshman class. Is he in any danger?
Pennsylvania 6th
Incumbent Republican Rep. Jim Gerlach released an internal showing him up 30 points, which is patently absurd in this swing district. Yet Democrats didn't counter with their own internal. So are things that bad in a district in which we should be competitive? This is an O2B district, with Democrat Manan Trivedi running a race that, by all indications, appears to be solid. And with Democrats coming home in Pennsylvania (confirmed by polling showing Sestak jumping to a narrow lead in the Senate race), things could be getting interesting in this district.
South Carolina Governor
The Democratic National Committee just sent $100,000 to South Carolina to help in what is shaping up to be a genuinely competitive race. South Carolina Democrats reacted in anger, saying it was too little, too late, for what they see as a very winnable race. Just how competitive is it?
Wisconsin 8th
The DCCC has pulled out of this seat, suggesting it's a lost cause for Democratic incumbent Rep. Steve Kagan. Then again, AFSCME has come in with a massive ad buy, suggesting that the union's own polling shows it winnable. Meanwhile, Kagan is personally wealthy, so the DCCC likely figures their guy can take care of himself. But without any real public poll, we're left to guess as to the state of this race. We can go in there and see for ourselves.
If it seems like this is a really hard choice, it's because it is. I wish we could poll them all, but we're not rich.