Senate race
Research 2000 for Daily Kos. 4/5-7. Likely voters. MoE 4% (7/6-8/2009 results)
Democratic primary (MoE 5%)
Lee Fisher (D) 35 (22)
Jennifer Brunner (D) 26 (17)
Undecided 39 (61)
Fisher has slightly higher favorables -- 41 fav, 24 unfav, with 35 percent having no opinion. Brunner is at 38/26/36.
So how do they fare against Republican Rob Portman in the general?
Rob Portman (R) 39 (35)
Lee Fisher (D) 43 (42)
Undecided 18 (23)
Rob Portman (R) 40 (36)
Jennifer Brunner (D) 41 (40)
Undecided 18 (24)
This poll tracks most of the non-Rasmussen numbers in the race, showing the race statistically tied. These numbers also dispute claims from Brunner supporters that their candidate is the "only one that can beat Portman". This isn't a primary in which the electability argument has much traction. Both Democrats are essentially equally electable, with Fisher having the slight edge.
Governor's race
Ted Strickland (D) 45 (44)
John Kasich (R) 40 (39)
Undecided 15 (17)
We haven't polled since last summer, so we missed what other pollsters saw as a huge Kasich surge and eventual fade:
Now, even Rasmussen has the race tied back up again. Strickland appears to have recovered from his nadir, and while still in danger, well under 50 percent, the worst for him appears to be over.
The biggest warning sign for Strickland is his favorabilities vis a vis Kasich -- the incumbent Democrat is at 47/41/12, while Kaisch is at a much better healthier 42/28/30. The Democrats will have to move those "no opinion" numbers into the "unfavorable" category to win this race.
We also asked about repeal:
Would you be more likely to vote for a candidate who supports and will work to improve the new health care reform law, or a candidate who will work to repeal it completely?
Supports 43
Repeal 37
Among Independents
Supports 40
Repeal 30
Republicans won't get much traction in Ohio with their repeal message.