That's a question, not a claim. See, the Marist poll has been conducted every day since Wednesday. On
Wednesday, they got this result:
Corzine (D) - 51%
Forrester (R) - 38%
On Thursday, they got this result:
Corzine (D) - 46%
Forrester (R) - 42%
Thus, they released a Friday poll averaging the two results, giving Corzine a 49-40 lead.
Today we get this story from the
AP. Relevent bit:
The latest WNBC/Marist poll out Saturday night found Corzine was favored by 48 percent while Forrester was backed by 42 percent, with 10 percent undecided. The sampling for this poll was done Thursday and Friday.
As we just saw, on Thursday, 46% favored Corzine and 42% favored Forrester. So if we assume they interviewed the same sample size on Friday in order to get the average, Friday's result was:
Corzine (D) - 50%
Forrester (R) - 42%
It makes sense that Corzine's polls dipped after his ex-wife gave her backstabbing interviews to the New York press, and that news trickled to the people who were polled on Thursday. But people who were interviewed on Friday ... had heard about or seen the Forrester ad.
Still, this seems weird. If voters are backlashing against the nasty Forrester ad (the vast majority, 77% told the pollsters the ad was unfair), why would Forrester's polls stay stable? Maybe the undecided voters are breaking for Corzine out of disgust?
Whatever the case. Any helpful polling experts, tell me if I'm wrong.