Today's Connecticut day before primary poll from Quinnipiac:
"The Democratic governor's race between Ned Lamont and Dan Malloy is too close to call and the Republican governor's race between Tom Foley and Lt. Gov. Mike Fedele could produce a surprise," said Quinnipiac University Poll Director Douglas Schwartz, PhD. "In the Republican Senate contest, it looks like Rob Simmons would need more than a surprise; he would need a miracle to catch Linda McMahon. But in politics, miracles do happen."
Today's poll is primary only, no Dem-Rep matchups.
Here are the Dem numbers, with relatively high MoE of +/- 4.6:
If the Democratic primary for Governor were being held today, would you vote for Dan Malloy or Ned Lamont? (If undecided q1DEM) As of today, would you say that you lean a little more toward Malloy or Lamont? (This table includes "Leaners".)
LIKELY DEM PRIMARY VOTERS
Tot Men Wom
Malloy 42% 38% 44%
Lamont 45 48 44
SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - - -
DK/NA 12 13 11
That includes 30% who might change their mind.
Who will they run against (MoE +/- 3.8)?
If the Republican primary for Governor were being held today, would you vote for Tom Foley, Mike Fedele, or Oz Griebel? (If undecided q1REP) As of today, would you say that you lean a little more toward Foley, Fedele, or Griebel? (This table includes "Leaners".)
LIKELY REP PRIMARY VOTERS
Tot Men Wom
Foley 38% 43% 33%
Fedele 30 27 33
Griebel 17 18 16
SMONE ELSE(VOL) - - -
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - - -
DK/NA 14 12 17
And here, a remarkable 48% might change their mind, so if there is to be an upset, look to the GOP Gov race.
Rob Simmons is getting crushed by McMahon and there's no D contest (it's Dick Blumenthal) on the Sen side. But the last set of polls had all D candidates winning.
Update [2010-8-9 9:33:49 by DemFromCT]: My Left Nutmeg will live host the Q-poll presser at 11 am.