The following is a weighted average of the 6 major tracking polls in NH (ARG, Zogby, UNH, Suffolk, Gallup/CNN, Globe/WBZ).
(Polls are weighted based on the daily size of their respective respondant pools. Some polls are averaged over 2 days, others over 3 days: all are categorized according to the last day of polling. All of the following numbers are from the 2- or 3-day period ending on the respective day. Averages are rounded to one decimal place. Undecided and minor candidates are not included.)
6-Poll NH Tracking Average:
1/19 1/20 1/21
Kerry: 21.8% 24.8% 28.5%
Dean: 28.8% 26.0% 22.6%
Clark: 18.8% 17.2% 17.2%
Edwards: 7.3% 8.0% 9.0%
Lieberman: 6.3% 6.2% 6.4%
Dean is the only one falling now, about 3 points per day for the past 2 days. Kerry continues his rise of 3-4 points per day for 2 days. Clark seems to have stopped the bleeding, and Edwards is steadily gaining 1 point a day. Lieberman is left in the dust.