A below average election

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Monday June 23, 2008 · 2:35 PM PDT

2008/06/23 · 14:35

Some people are already talking landslide. In historical terms, we are actually heading in 2008 for another election with a below average electoral vote total for the winner.

Foodle

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Monday June 16, 2008 · 7:39 AM PDT

2008/06/16 · 07:39

I'm seeing another interesting and easy to grasp pattern in Nate's projected election simulation data at 538.

Foodle

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Wednesday June 04, 2008 · 9:03 AM PDT

2008/06/04 · 09:03

Suppose for the moment that Hillary really does want to continue to fight for the Democratic nomination in Denver. Will it even be possible for her to put forward a strong argument that she should be the nominee?

Foodle

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Monday May 12, 2008 · 6:19 AM PDT

2008/05/12 · 06:19

The latest Rasmussen polling numbers indicate that both Virginia and North Carolina will be closely contested in November, and that Obama and McCain have very different profiles of support in those states.

Foodle

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Tuesday April 01, 2008 · 11:27 AM PDT

2008/04/01 · 11:27

Another way to draw conclusions from Poblano's excellent work at fivethirtyeight.com.

Foodle

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Thursday February 14, 2008 · 1:13 PM PST

2008/02/14 · 13:13

I've just caught up with the op-ed by Democratic strategist Tad Devine published in last Sunday's New York Times. In that op-ed, Devine either makes some of the stupidest commentary on the intended purpose of superdelegates, or he is intentionally misrepresenting that purpose.

Foodle

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Thursday January 31, 2008 · 12:49 PM PST

2008/01/31 · 12:49

This will be quite short and to the point, but a pair of events occurred today that provides some fairly objective proof of Obama's claim to be post-partisan and outside of established political classifications.

Foodle

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Monday September 10, 2007 · 2:07 PM PDT

2007/09/10 · 14:07

In today's testimony, Gen. Petraeus framed the status of U.S. military involvement in Iraq as follows: We are doing well enough militarily that we can begin now to draw down 30,000 troops by July of 2008.

We should accept that framing.

Foodle

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Sunday August 05, 2007 · 6:50 AM PDT

2007/08/05 · 06:50

This is short and to the point:

The 57 Democrats who capitulated to White House demands for broad FISA changes have only one reasonable excuse for their actions. That excuse carries along with it a built-in accountability moment, and the 57 should be held accountable when that moment comes due.

Foodle

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Thursday May 03, 2007 · 10:00 AM PDT

2007/05/03 · 10:00

SurveyUSA has just published the results of 2008 Giuliani vs. .... polls in ten states. What do these results tell us about the relative electability of Clinton, Obama, and Edwards?

Foodle

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Tuesday January 23, 2007 · 7:28 PM PST

2007/01/23 · 19:28

Time after time after time GOPers refer to the Democratic Party as the Democrat Party. It is not an accident, and I've had enough.

Foodle

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Wednesday December 20, 2006 · 4:07 PM PST

2006/12/20 · 16:07

In deriding the Brookings Institution's hosting of an Iraq policy briefing that will include Frederick Kagan presenting the American Enterprise Institute's call for escalating troop levels in Iraq, the usually level-headed Josh Marshall of Talking Points Memo labels this plan as the one truly nutball idea about what to do in Iraq. Unfortunately, such rhetoric is not nearly good enough, because the AEI plan is not a nutball idea -- truly.

RSS

A below average election

Today's Forecast: Holes in the 50s and 60s

Will Hillary have any argument left by Denver?

Are Virginia and North Carolina in play?

Which is larger, 2 or 4?

Misrepresenting the Purpose of Superdelegates

Proof of Post-partisanship

Accept Petraeus' Framing

Holding the 57 Accountable

SurveyUSA Polling: Electability?

Enough of this Democrat nonsense

Not a "truly nutball idea"