Holy smokes! Fivethirtyeight: 80.5% chance Obama wins presidency

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Sunday September 28, 2008 · 3:28 PM PDT

2008/09/28 · 15:28

According to Nate Silver over at the excellent fivethirtyeight.com, Barack Obama currently has an 80.5% chance of defeating John McCain (19.5%) in this election. He has been gaining momentum for the last week, reaching about 75% yesterday, and skyrocketing another 5% into today.

Barack Obama currently enjoys the biggest lead he has had all year, according to fivethirtyeight.

Poll

530 votes Show Results

Outcome of the presidential election will be

530 votes Vote Now!

Outcome of the presidential election will be

McCain wins with 300+ E.V.

13 votes

McCain wins with 270+ E.V.

6 votes

269-269 tie goes to McCain

1 vote

269-269 tie goes to Obama

6 votes

Obama wins with 270+ E.V.

132 votes

Obama wins with 300+ E.V.

226 votes

Obama wins with 330+ E.V.

78 votes

Obama wins with 360+ E.V.

52 votes

Mitt Romney

16 votes

Venting: Minnesota is not a toss-up state!

cmangin

Community (This content is not subject to review by Daily Kos staff prior to publication.)

Friday September 26, 2008 · 9:48 AM PDT

2008/09/26 · 09:48

toss·up /ˈtɔsˌʌp, ˈtɒs-/ [taws-uhp, tos-]
–noun

the tossing of a coin to decide something by its fall.

2. an even choice or chance

Sites like Pollster (RealClearPolitics and CNN Election Center too) currently show Minnesota as a toss-up state, with the likes of Ohio, Virginia, and Nevada, who have actually shown conflicting polling results. Minnesota has not.

Poll

237 votes Show Results

Which presidential candidate will carry Minnesota in the 2008 election?

237 votes Vote Now!

Which presidential candidate will carry Minnesota in the 2008 election?

Barack Obama

228 votes

John McCain

2 votes

Not sure

7 votes

Bush to British Special Forces: "Get Osama." Me to Bush: "Why now?"

cmangin

Community (This content is not subject to review by Daily Kos staff prior to publication.)

Sunday June 15, 2008 · 7:57 PM PDT

2008/06/15 · 19:57

George W. Bush has enlisted British special forces to attempt to capture Osama Bin Laden in a last ditch effort to salvage some kind of legacy for his presidency.

Defence and intelligence sources in Washington and London confirmed that a renewed hunt was on for the leader of the September 11 attacks. "If he [Bush] can say he has killed Saddam Hussein and captured Bin Laden, he can claim to have left the world a safer place," said a US intelligence source.

Poll

143 votes Show Results

Why has Bush renewed the search for Osama Bin Laden?

143 votes Vote Now!

Why has Bush renewed the search for Osama Bin Laden?

He has America's best interests in mind.

1 vote

He has Bush's best interests in mind.

142 votes

Hillary Clinton's Concession Today: Most Likely Outcome? (Poll)

cmangin

Community (This content is not subject to review by Daily Kos staff prior to publication.)

Saturday June 07, 2008 · 6:57 AM PDT

2008/06/07 · 06:57

According to all major sources, Hillary Clinton is conceding today.

Poll

136 votes Show Results

How will Hillary Clinton choose her words today?

136 votes Vote Now!

How will Hillary Clinton choose her words today?

"Suspending" her campaign / "Supporting" Barack Obama

58 votes

"Suspending" her campaign / "Endorsing" Barack Obama

32 votes

"Ending" her campaign / "Supporting" Barack Obama

1 vote

"Ending" her campaign / "Endorsing" Barack Obama

11 votes

We were fooled.. the campaign goes on! Please send your donations to hillaryclinton.com

34 votes

Lautenberg or Andrews? (poll)

cmangin

Community (This content is not subject to review by Daily Kos staff prior to publication.)

Monday June 02, 2008 · 12:42 PM PDT

2008/06/02 · 12:42

Tomorrow's election: Lautenberg vs. Andrews

Poll

139 votes Show Results

Who is the better candidate?

139 votes Vote Now!

Who is the better candidate?

Rob Andrews

27 votes

Frank Lautenberg

112 votes

Forget Ohio or Missouri, so goes NEW MEXICO, so goes the country

cmangin

Community (This content is not subject to review by Daily Kos staff prior to publication.)

Wednesday May 21, 2008 · 10:28 AM PDT

2008/05/21 · 10:28

Sure Missouri has only picked one losing candidate since the onset of the 20th century (Adlai Stevenson in 1956). And yes, Ohio has an equally impressive resume of only two losses since 1892 (Thomas Dewey in 1944 and Richard Nixon in 1960).

Poll

124 votes Show Results

How important do you think a New Mexico victory would be for Barack Obama?

124 votes Vote Now!

How important do you think a New Mexico victory would be for Barack Obama?

Crucial

19 votes

Extremely important

41 votes

Very important

34 votes

Pretty important

22 votes

Not that important

6 votes

Not at all important

2 votes

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