Polling Cell Phones - Missing Obama Votes?

dbeach13

Community (This content is not subject to review by Daily Kos staff prior to publication.)

Friday October 03, 2008 · 8:46 PM PDT

2008/10/03 · 20:46

There is an emerging challenge for pollsters in the 2008 election - polling cell phone users.

dbeach13

Community (This content is not subject to review by Daily Kos staff prior to publication.)

Tuesday September 23, 2008 · 5:40 PM PDT

2008/09/23 · 17:40

(Rank, State, Score (max=1))

Pennsylvania - .854

Michigan - .775

Florida - .685

Minnesota - .675

Colorado - .652

Wisconsin - .620

Washington - .589

New Jersey - .583

Ohio - .576

Virginia -.560

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Just Missed: North Carolina, New Mexico, Indiana, Oregon, Nevada

(2000 Florida would rank 1st, 2004 Ohio would rank 2nd just below Pennsylvania)

Current National Average: +3.0 for Obama
Nate Silver's top 5 tipping point states: Pennsylvania, Ohio, Virgina, Colorado, and Michigan

dbeach13

Community (This content is not subject to review by Daily Kos staff prior to publication.)

Wednesday September 10, 2008 · 11:37 AM PDT

2008/09/10 · 11:37

As you can see from Gallup and other polls - John McCain has been polling much better this week. The studies suggest this is because of his VP selection of Gov. Palin and the republic convention that was held last week - and may be short lived.

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Polling Cell Phones - Missing Obama Votes?

What state will be this years Ohio or Florida?

Response Bias and Daily Tracking Polls