NN: Two Great Candidates (and a very special guest) Today

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Friday August 14, 2009 · 6:01 AM PDT

2009/08/14 · 06:01

Two great candidates will be joining us at the Candidates Kiosk (exhibit hall) today at Netroots Nation.

1:30-2:30, come meet Dok Harris, who's running for mayor of host-city Pittsburgh as a progressive independent (and our very special guest - below the fold).

At 4, we'll be joined by Lois Herr, running in PA-16 against the truly odious Joe Pitts.

More below the fold.

privatewl

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Monday November 03, 2008 · 5:17 PM PST

2008/11/03 · 17:17

I'm in Palm Springs, CA tonight, on Julie Bornstein's campaign against Mary Bono Mack (CA-45).

It is my last race of the cycle. As my Facebook profile says: "I spent the winter in Erie, PA and the summer in Palm Springs, CA. On purpose."

Julie is a great underdog candidate. Smart, hard-working and (thank God) cheerful.

Bono Mack has cruised to reelection the last five times pretty easily. But this time is going to be different. We've closed the registration gap between Dems and Republicans from 36,000 in 2006 to 16,000 today. We've had Mack on the run, have been running some great ads, including one of the best I've ever worked on (video here).

But this isn't just about Julie, and certainly not about me. It's about all of us working tonight on underdog races. And for us, I have a treat, and a tradition.

privatewl

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Wednesday April 02, 2008 · 9:39 AM PDT

2008/04/02 · 09:39

As is usual in the last week of the quarter, it seems like every other diary has been a pitch for a candidate. (That's not even counting the front-page appeals for the Blur Majority folks.)

So, no doubt, many of you have been breathing small sighs of relief that, at least for a little while, we can return to your-Presidential-candidate-sucks diaries, and pie.

Not so fast, friends. Join me after flip, as I cue the music from Jaws.

privatewl

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Wednesday November 07, 2007 · 12:41 PM PST

2007/11/07 · 12:41

In the wake of all of our good news from last night, I cheerfully bring you some more: in a pretty red district, eight-term Republican incumbent Roscoe Bartlett (MD-6) is in serious trouble.

In a poll taken the last weekend in October, only 29% of voters favored Roscoe's re-election. And Democrat Andrew Duck beats him in the head-to-head.

A 29% re-elect number.

As a friend of mine said when I told him: "29? That dude's underwater!"

Join me for more under the fold.

privatewl

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Thursday April 26, 2007 · 6:46 AM PDT

2007/04/26 · 06:46

The conventional wisdom -- here and in the broader media -- is that the 2008 Democratic Presidential nomination will be sewed up by someone after the 2/5/2008 Super-Duper Tuesday primaries.

And why not? More than half the delegates will have been selected by then, and in previous years, 2004 in particular, the eventual nominee was rolling downhill well before that many delegates had been pledged.

I'm not so sure, and I've crunched some numbers. Join me for a down-in-the-weeds political mathfest after the fold . . .

privatewl

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Monday November 06, 2006 · 4:52 PM PST

2006/11/06 · 16:52

I'm in Lancaster, PA tonight, as for the past month, on Lois Herr's campaign against Joe Pitts in PA-16.

It is my last race of the cycle (out of eight), and it was my company's first race this cycle, as well.

Lois is a great underdog, in all senses of the word. Brutal district, always-cheerful candidate who passed the $300,000 mark in fundraising this weekend. (All her doing, all very heavy lifting.) She'll be up at oh-dark-thirty tomorrow, happy to be at the train station at 6:15am to greet voters and then run all day. She feels, and we all feel, great about tomorrow, as we smell an upset in the air.

But this isn't just about Lois, and certainly not about me. It's about all of us working tonight on underdog races. And for us, I have a treat, and a tradition. Read More

A Totally Unscientific Indicator of Repub Intensity

privatewl

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Saturday October 28, 2006 · 4:06 PM PDT

2006/10/28 · 16:06

Before you even start in, yes, I know that what I'm writing about isn't a "poll." It isn't scientific in any way. I know.

But we've all been reading about (and fervently hoping for) both a surge in Democratic intensity for November 7th, and a deflation of Republican intensity.

In this diary, I give you an unscientific indicator of the latter.

More below the fold . . . Read More

MD-SEN: On Primary Eve, Mfume Leads Steele by 11

privatewl

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Monday September 11, 2006 · 5:52 AM PDT

2006/09/11 · 05:52

In a Zogby poll released on the eve of the Maryland Senate primary, Kweisi Mfume leads Michael Steele 49.9% to 39%.

Full results (click on "MD"): http://online.wsj.com/...

Ben Cardin leads Steele by a slightly smaller margin, 9.2%.

This represents a 15-point swing for Mfume from a largely discredited Gonzales poll three weeks ago.

The major Dem establishment tactic against Mfume's candidacy has been to question whether he could beat Steele in the general. That will clearly have to be rethought.

Cong. Kweisi Mfume on Censure: "I'd Cosponsor"

privatewl

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Monday March 20, 2006 · 4:25 AM PST

2006/03/20 · 04:25

Yesterday, the Leisure World Democratic Club in Montgomery County held a forum for the US Senate candidates.

(For those not steeped in Maryland politics, Leisure World is an enormous retirement community in Silver Spring. I'm told that the three precincts in LW are among the highest turnout precincts in the country, so, it matters.)

One moment stood out. Each of the candidates had the opportunity to ask the others a 30-second question. Read More

Who's xenophobic again?

privatewl

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Saturday February 25, 2006 · 4:20 PM PST

2006/02/25 · 16:20

The "opponents of the port deal are racists and xenophobes" argument has both puzzled and enraged me for the past 48 hours. People much smarter than me have pointed out that if you spend three years drumming into Americans' heads that "Arabs = scary" they might believe you.

So, I was looking at the Dubai tourism website from a link on a previous diary, and found this under the "General Information" section of the "Visa Regulations" tab:

Nationals of "Israel" may not enter the U.A.E.

Link: http://www.dubaitourism.ae/...

Now, there are those who want us to believe that this is a matter of simply "free trade" or "international business as usual" and "confidence building among trade partners." But ask yourselves if this were any other situation in which our "trading partner" imposed such a restriction, whether outrage would be warranted.

And STFU about the "xenophobia" stuff.

My Brother's Brilliant NYT Katrina Letter

privatewl

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Friday December 16, 2005 · 5:13 AM PST

2005/12/16 · 05:13

My brother, who has lived in New Orleans for about 25 years, was among the hundreds of thousands who evacuated. He and his girlfriend were in better shape than many: they were non-poor and mobile.

They roamed the country for about six weeks after the flood, including a stop in Crawford to meet Cindy Sheehan (who, wonderfully, asked what she could do to help them).

They went back to find their house relatively undamaged, and have been helping their neighbors dig out. On Sunday, he had a letter to the editor printed in the New York Times. Read More

Alternative History: Treasury Secretary Ken Lay

privatewl

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Saturday October 15, 2005 · 9:21 AM PDT

2005/10/15 · 09:21

I've been reading Conspiracy of Fools, Kurt Eichenwald's new book on Enron and its unraveling. It's a great read, as long-time NYT financial reporter and Pulitzer finalist Eichenwald is able to take what is essentially an accounting story and make it sing.

Overall, what strikes me is this: yes, avarice and greed (QED), but truly, the Enron people were for the most part incompetent dolts.

And right in the middle of the book, on page 407, this fascinating bit of "what might have been." Read More

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NN: Two Great Candidates (and a very special guest) Today

For All Of Us Working on Underdog Races Tonight

Just When You Thought It Was Safe . . .

Roscoe Bartlett (MD-6) is "Underwater," Duck Leads

Brokered Convention? Could Be . . .

For all of us working on underdog races tonight

A Totally Unscientific Indicator of Repub Intensity

MD-SEN: On Primary Eve, Mfume Leads Steele by 11

Cong. Kweisi Mfume on Censure: "I'd Cosponsor"

Who's xenophobic again?

My Brother's Brilliant NYT Katrina Letter

Alternative History: Treasury Secretary Ken Lay