Cloudy with a Chance of Meatballs

rlepre

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Friday July 07, 2006 · 2:14 PM PDT

2006/07/07 · 14:14

Is energy really scarce? What to do about it. What is being done about it. Read More

The Singularity Summit

rlepre

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Friday May 19, 2006 · 11:27 AM PDT

2006/05/19 · 11:27

Last weekend I attended the Singularity Summit at Stanford University. This is about the future implications of AI and nanotechnology. I write a blog about macroeconomics so in addition to presenting the science I evaluate the macroeconomic implications thereof. Read More

Inverted Yield Curve? What it Means.

rlepre

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Wednesday December 28, 2005 · 8:32 AM PST

2005/12/28 · 08:32

At present the Treasury yield curve (duration on X-axis, yield on Y-axis) is extremely flat and yesterday the 10 year yield was at times just slightly lower than the 2 year yield conjuring suggestions of curve inversion. What does this imply? Read More

Macroeconomics du Jour

rlepre

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Thursday December 01, 2005 · 11:51 AM PST

2005/12/01 · 11:51

The Dow is up 100. Why? In brief we have had 3 days of news showing growth without inflation. Investors like that. Does this mean that everything is peachy-keen with the economy? Of course not. It means that things are looking good this week. The Fed's main enemy continues to be inflation. If you read on you will see that Europe is sharing that opinion.

If you find these comments of use you can view what I write each day at my daily market commentary. This is intended for individuals looking to see where interest rates are going, mortgage professionals and Realtors. Read More

Alito's Attack on the Environment!

rlepre

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Thursday November 03, 2005 · 3:23 PM PST

2005/11/03 · 15:23

Several neighbors of neo-con Bushie Scalito have signed sworn affidavits that in 1997 he was seen spitting on a D.C. sidewalk. This story will run in tomorrow's Boston Globe, the NYT, the SF Chronicle and the LA Times all parts of the right-wing, MSM smear machine formerly controlled by Dick Cheney's indicted evil twin, Scotter Libby.

Greenpeace is going to court to unseal records to prove that Alito did not file an environmental impact report before launching the luggie without applying for much less receiveing approval from the UN or even Congress!

Minority Leader Harry "God (darn, I mean Evolutionary Forces) Bless Him" Reid stated on the Senate floor that he had great expectation that Alito's expectoration may have been part of the Plame/Wilson/Niger/Cheney/Bush/Rove/Libbey/O'Reilley/Malkin coverup.

New Fiscal Policy - A Real Solution

rlepre

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Tuesday October 04, 2005 · 8:33 AM PDT

2005/10/04 · 08:33

A Major Change to Fiscal Policy

The premise of this piece is the following: the policy role of the federal government in regard to the economy is two-fold: monetary and fiscal.
It has always been regarded that there was a necessity to keep these two roles untangled. We have come to regard the only effective force to be monetary
policy. Bad fiscal policy has been offset by the adept ability of the Fed to conjure a solution to fiscal policy mistakes with monetary policy corrections. It may be time to take a serious look at revising the modus of fiscal policy.

rlepre

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Saturday October 01, 2005 · 9:23 AM PDT

2005/10/01 · 09:23

Today's NYT says, "This was a call," he [her attorney] said, "that lasted about 15 minutes, and Judy could measure the timbre and tone of the source's response and real feelings regarding whether or not he was being coerced and whether or not he really wanted her to testify."

rlepre

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Friday September 23, 2005 · 11:08 AM PDT

2005/09/23 · 11:08

This is a lengthy piece which requires some attention and time. Since many will get lost reading it I want to bring my conclusion to the fore.

My points are the following:
1) global warming is happening.
2) significant changes in the earth's average surface temperature have been occurring for several million years and were obviously unrelated to human activity. Ice ages and global warming are natural occurrences.
3) presently the polar ice caps on earth are melting but so is the southern polar ice cap on Mars.
4) little of the greenhouse gas including carbon dioxide (which gets a lot of attention as a cause of global warming) comes from human activity.

Is Global Warming Really Happening?

There is substantial melting of the polar ice caps so something is going on. The second question is: what causes global warming or, more accurately, what causes long-term (multi-decadenal) changes in temperature? The answer, unfortunately, is quite complex.

rlepre

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Wednesday September 21, 2005 · 8:19 AM PDT

2005/09/21 · 08:19

So you think that Bush knows nothing about the economy. Ha! This is from my weekly newsletter. It is an alleged intercept of a chat between Bush and Greenspan. You will some serious matters exchanged between these two powerful men. It also indicates what Greenspan might be doing when he retires in January.

rlepre

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Tuesday September 20, 2005 · 12:26 PM PDT

2005/09/20 · 12:26

Cindy Sheehan stages a 26-day protest near Bush's ranch outside Crawford, Texas and meets with near-zero flak from the police.

One day after dissing Hilary Clinton and talking in the New York Senator's state she gets shut down.

The message is clear - don't diss Hilary on her turf.

Maybe this is just a coincidence.

Global Warming, Carbon Dioxide - a few Facts

rlepre

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Sunday September 18, 2005 · 5:15 PM PDT

2005/09/18 · 17:15

Premise #1: Global Warming is bad.

Premise #2: Global Warming is caused by an increase in "greenhouse gases" primarialy carbon dioxide

So far I am OK.

Question: What percent of the 155 billion tons of carbon dioxide pushed into the atmosphere each year comes from human activity?

Answer: Just over 4%.

It may be the case that we are looking at an effect which is a longer version of night and day or winter and summer - something more or less natural.

If we hit a "tipping point" because of human activities this must have been a delicately balanced system. While that may be the case it is something less than obvious.

The Value of Polls

rlepre

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Friday September 16, 2005 · 12:01 PM PDT

2005/09/16 · 12:01

Polls

Bush's poll numbers are low. I predict that he will not be reelected.

There are a lot of polls about who is responsible for Katrina or, more accurately, the slow response to it. 65% of the folks in a Time survey said Bush did fair or poor in response to Katrina.

But I got to thinking about polls and the absurdities associated therewith. Here is some research which I have done on the topic. I am not going to cite links here because I hate typing but I assure you that I have not made any of this up.

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Cloudy with a Chance of Meatballs

The Singularity Summit

Inverted Yield Curve? What it Means.

Macroeconomics du Jour

Alito's Attack on the Environment!

New Fiscal Policy - A Real Solution

Judith Miller - the Human Lie Detector

Global Warming and Science - a Serious Piece

The Truth about Bush/Greenspan and Rate Hikes

Don't Mess with Hilary

Global Warming, Carbon Dioxide - a few Facts

The Value of Polls